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How to Kill a Black Swan Remy Briand and David Owyong ...

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S&P Introduces<br />

Risk-Controlled Indexes<br />

S&P rolled out two new strategy<br />

indexes in mid-May designed for<br />

risk-weary inves<strong>to</strong>rs that are alternate<br />

versions of two of its bestknown<br />

benchmarks—the S&P 500<br />

<strong>and</strong> the S&P/ASX 200, which tracks<br />

the Australian market.<br />

The S&P 500 Risk Control 10%<br />

Index <strong>and</strong> the S&P/ASX 200 Risk<br />

Control 15% Index target different<br />

levels of volatility—10 percent <strong>and</strong><br />

15 percent, respectively, as the<br />

indexes’ names would imply. The<br />

indexes adjust their exposure <strong>to</strong><br />

match their volatility levels, either<br />

decreasing exposure when volatility<br />

of the original index is <strong>to</strong>o high or<br />

using leverage <strong>to</strong> increase exposure<br />

when the volatility of the original<br />

index is <strong>to</strong>o low.<br />

The index provider already offered<br />

risk-controlled versions of its benchmark<br />

indexes covering the BRIC countries,<br />

Southeast Asia, Latin America<br />

<strong>and</strong> the global infrastructure sec<strong>to</strong>r.<br />

Barclays Unveils Global<br />

Target ‘Exceed’ Index<br />

May saw the launch of a new<br />

strategy index from Barclays Capital<br />

via its “Exceed” family of indexes.<br />

The Barclays Capital Global Target<br />

Exceed Index, like all the indexes<br />

in the Exceed series, according <strong>to</strong><br />

Barclays, “aims <strong>to</strong> extract alpha from<br />

term premium in the short end of<br />

the yield curves in a fully transparent<br />

<strong>and</strong> liquid way by trading libor<br />

futures contracts.”<br />

Barclays already has a few indexes<br />

of this nature tracking the yield<br />

curves of the U.S dollar <strong>and</strong> the<br />

euro, alone <strong>and</strong> in combination, but<br />

the new index provides exposure <strong>to</strong><br />

the yield curves of four currencies:―<br />

the U.S. dollar, the euro, the British<br />

pound <strong>and</strong> the Japanese yen.<br />

Barclays says the index’s performance<br />

can be accessed via a range of<br />

investable products including swaps,<br />

options <strong>and</strong> principal-protected<br />

notes, among others.<br />

News<br />

FTSE And Renaissance Capital<br />

Launch IPO Indexes<br />

Index provider FTSE Group has<br />

partnered with research house<br />

Renaissance Capital <strong>to</strong> launch a<br />

series of indexes tracking the performance<br />

of initial public offerings<br />

in the U.S. The launch of the flagship<br />

index, the FTSE Renaissance IPO<br />

Composite Index, was announced in<br />

mid-April.<br />

IPOs are added <strong>to</strong> the index on<br />

their first day of trading <strong>and</strong> remain<br />

for two years, or about 500 trading<br />

days. According <strong>to</strong> FTSE, IPOs often<br />

must wait three months before joining<br />

most st<strong>and</strong>ard benchmarks, causing<br />

inves<strong>to</strong>rs <strong>to</strong> miss out on what can<br />

be a very strong performance period.<br />

Renaissance Capital focuses its<br />

research on IPOs, <strong>and</strong> previously<br />

calculated its own index tracking the<br />

U.S. IPO market.<br />

MSCI Launches ‘Tilt’ Indexes<br />

In late March, MSCI announced<br />

the launch of the first indexes of a<br />

new series. The MSCI Fac<strong>to</strong>r indexes<br />

are designed <strong>to</strong> maximize their<br />

exposure <strong>to</strong> a single source of risk—<br />

identified as a “fac<strong>to</strong>r” in the Barra<br />

risk models—while controlling their<br />

exposure <strong>to</strong> other sources of risk<br />

<strong>and</strong> seeking <strong>to</strong> track the original<br />

benchmark equity index as closely<br />

as possible.<br />

The first two members of the<br />

new index family include the MSCI<br />

Europe Momentum Tilt Index <strong>and</strong><br />

the MSCI Europe Value Tilt Index,<br />

which are derived from the benchmark<br />

MSCI Europe Index.<br />

According <strong>to</strong> MSCI, the new indexes<br />

are designed for use in portfolio<br />

analysis <strong>and</strong> construction <strong>and</strong> also <strong>to</strong><br />

underlie investable products.<br />

Markit And BlueNext<br />

Create Emissions Indexes<br />

Markit, a firm known for its fixedincome<br />

<strong>and</strong> CDS indexes, is teaming<br />

up with carbon-trading exchange<br />

BlueNext in a partnership that<br />

includes the creation of a new set of<br />

carbon emission credit indexes.<br />

The first two benchmarks <strong>to</strong> be<br />

launched under the joint venture are<br />

the Markit BlueNext EUA 1 Spot Index<br />

<strong>and</strong> the Markit BlueNext CER Spot<br />

Index. The former tracks the performance<br />

of European Union allowances<br />

(EUAs) under the EU Emission Trading<br />

System, while the latter tracks the<br />

performance of certified emission<br />

reductions (CERs), which are defined<br />

by the Kyo<strong>to</strong> Pro<strong>to</strong>col. Both an EUA<br />

<strong>and</strong> a CER are equal <strong>to</strong> one <strong>to</strong>nne of<br />

carbon dioxide.<br />

The announcement from Markit<br />

<strong>and</strong> BlueNext implied that more products—indexes<br />

<strong>and</strong> otherwise—would<br />

be forthcoming, but it did not specify<br />

what might be down the road.<br />

DJI Suspends Distressed<br />

Securities Hedge Index<br />

Dow Jones temporarily suspended<br />

publication of its Dow Jones Hedge<br />

Fund Distressed Securities Strategy<br />

Benchmark in early May. The suspension<br />

is open-ended until further<br />

notice, according <strong>to</strong> the company.<br />

Dow Jones said the decision was<br />

made jointly with the investment<br />

manager of the managed account<br />

platform that supports the Dow Jones<br />

hedge fund index family <strong>and</strong> was<br />

made due <strong>to</strong> market conditions.<br />

Previously, on Jan. 2, the index<br />

provider halted publication of the<br />

Dow Jones Hedge Fund Convertible<br />

Arbitrage Strategy Benchmark. That<br />

index remains suspended. <strong>How</strong>ever,<br />

Dow Jones noted that its remaining<br />

strategies—Equity Long/Short, Equity<br />

Market Neutral, Event Driven <strong>and</strong><br />

Merger Arbitrage—will continue <strong>to</strong><br />

be published on an end-of-day basis.<br />

FTSE And Borsa Italiana<br />

Debut Index Family<br />

It was announced earlier this year<br />

that FTSE would take over the calculation<br />

of the indexes for the Borsa<br />

Italiana from S&P, <strong>and</strong> the index provider<br />

unveiled a preliminary index<br />

lineup in April.<br />

The indexes are constructed based<br />

46<br />

July/August 2009

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