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The Group KD Group and KD Group dd

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<strong>The</strong> <strong>Group</strong> <strong>KD</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Annual Report 2009<br />

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements as at <strong>and</strong> for the year ended 31 December 2009<br />

5.1.4. Long-term life insurance – assumptions, changes in assumptions <strong>and</strong> sensitivity<br />

a.) Procedure of establishing assumptions<br />

Liabilities from life insurance contracts with DPF were calculated using assumptions on future mortality from statistical tables.<br />

<strong>The</strong> portfolio of insurance contracts was too small in the past, so for the purpose of estimating mortality the following statistical<br />

tables are used:<br />

- for life insurance contracts with DPF, Slovenian morality tables from 1992 were used;<br />

- for annuity products, German mortality tables from 1987 were used<br />

- cancellations,<br />

- returns on investments (rate 2.6%-4%).<br />

<strong>The</strong>se assumptions are set at the time of concluding the contract <strong>and</strong> remain the same throughout the term of insurance, or<br />

safer assumptions are used in the calculation of liability to provide for the possibility of unfavourable deviation from<br />

expectations. An a<strong>dd</strong>itional adjustment is applied to these assumptions to account for risk <strong>and</strong> uncertainty.<br />

New estimates are made for each subsequent financial year for the purpose of checking the adequacy of liabilities determined<br />

in this manner. If it is determined that the established liabilities are adequate, assumptions remain unchanged. If the<br />

established liabilities prove to be inadequate, assumptions are revised to reflect new expectations. Consequently, the<br />

provisions are measured according to appropriate level.<br />

<strong>The</strong> assumptions used for insurance contracts described hereunder are as follows:<br />

• mortality<br />

Depending on the type of contract, the appropriate mortality table is chosen <strong>and</strong> adjusted to reflect actual mortality<br />

of the insurance portfolio in past years <strong>and</strong> the current period.<br />

• cancellations<br />

An analysis of the <strong>Group</strong>’s experience of the past three years is carried out by application of statistical methods, <strong>and</strong><br />

the appropriate cancellation percentage is determined. Cancellation percentages vary by type of product <strong>and</strong> term<br />

of the insurance period. <strong>The</strong> analysis is carried out in order to determine the best estimate of the policyholders’<br />

behaviour.<br />

• returns on investments<br />

<strong>The</strong> <strong>Group</strong> established assumptions for returns on investments by taking into account present returns on<br />

government-issued securities <strong>and</strong> other financial instruments on the market. In a<strong>dd</strong>ition to this, the structure of<br />

assets which are used to cover liabilities stemming from life insurance contracts (long-term business fund) is taken<br />

into consideration by determining weighted average returns.<br />

• costs<br />

Future costs are determined on the basis of current costs. <strong>The</strong> future inflation assumption was also applied.<br />

b.) Changes in assumptions<br />

In 2009 the <strong>Group</strong> made no changes in the assumptions used in the calculation of insurance contracts.<br />

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