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Synthesis Report - European Commission - Europa

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Ex-post Evaluation of the ERDF 2000-2006<br />

<strong>Synthesis</strong> <strong>Report</strong><br />

Chapter 4: The effects of policy on regional development and wider objectives<br />

Chapter 4 considers the overall effects of policy on regions in the different Member States.<br />

The chapter begins by reviewing the results of simulations carried out using two macroeconomic<br />

models, QUEST and HERMIN, to estimate the effects of the expenditure co-financed by the<br />

Structural Funds in the 2000-2006 programming period on GDP growth in Member States. Given<br />

the complexities of economies and the difficulties of tracing a direct link between the expenditure<br />

supported and economic performance, such models represent the only practical means of<br />

estimating the effects of cohesion policy.<br />

The second part of the chapter examines developments in Objective 1 and Objective 2 regions in<br />

the different Member States across the EU and relates these to the various pieces of evidence<br />

assembled during the evaluation on the results of the expenditure funded over the period.<br />

Chapter 5: Conclusions and implications for future policy<br />

The final chapter sets out the conclusions of the evaluation. It is divided into two parts. The first<br />

part summarises the main findings as regards the effects of cohesion policy in the regions<br />

receiving Objective 1 and Objective 2 support in the different parts of the EU over the 2000-2006<br />

period, distinguishing between EU15 and EU10 countries.<br />

The second part of the chapter draws out the main lessons to emerge from the evaluation for the<br />

future shape of cohesion policy after 2013. These relate to a number of different aspects,<br />

including the process of evaluation itself, the indicators to use for the design and assessment of<br />

policy, the concentration of funding and the form it should take and the decision-making process<br />

surrounding this.<br />

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