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Synthesis Report - European Commission - Europa

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<strong>Synthesis</strong> <strong>Report</strong> Ex-post Evaluation of the ERDF 2000-2006<br />

and Slovakia, especially the former, where the deficit increased between these two years,<br />

signifying an expansionary fiscal policy. In Hungary, this led to financial problems and a<br />

significant tightening of policy in 2007 and 2008.<br />

Policy was also expansionary in the three Baltic States, where the high rate of growth would<br />

otherwise have led to a much more substantial reduction in the deficit or increase in the surplus.<br />

In the Czech Republic, Poland and Slovenia, fiscal policy seems to have been largely neutral over<br />

the period. In both Cyprus and Malta, however, there is evidence of some tightening in budgetary<br />

policy after entry into the EU.<br />

2.2.4 Government fixed investment over the programming period<br />

The budgetary policy pursued over the period is reflected to some extent in the funding made<br />

available for public investment 12 , which tends to be the category of government expenditure<br />

which can most easily – or less painfully – be postponed. There is still, however, a political choice<br />

over the items of expenditure to be reduced if government spending is cut back when the budget<br />

is tightened, so there is no automatic link between fiscal restraint and reductions in investment.<br />

Nevertheless, in most of the countries in which budgetary policy was relatively restrictive over the<br />

period, especially the latter part, public investment was comparatively low in relation to GDP. This<br />

was the case in Germany, Austria, Belgium, Denmark and Italy, while in the Netherlands, public<br />

investment was much higher but was reduced after 2003 (Table 2.2). It was not the case in<br />

Sweden, however, where despite the tightening of fiscal policy, public investment remained<br />

relatively high and was increased slightly as a share of GDP. This was also the case in France,<br />

where policy also seems to have been tightened over the period, if by less.<br />

In Portugal, the tightening of fiscal policy was reflected in a marked cutback in public investment<br />

which was reduced from almost 4% of GDP in 2001 to only just over 2% of GDP in 2008.<br />

In Greece, public investment was relatively high in the early years of the period up until the<br />

Olympic Games and then was reduced significantly in 2005.<br />

In Spain and Ireland, public investment remained high throughout the period, while in the UK,<br />

there was some increase, reflecting the expansionary nature of policy, even if the level of<br />

investment was relatively low 13 .<br />

12 For regional development, government investment is the most relevant category of government expenditure.<br />

Ideally, as argued above, the focus should be directly on national government expenditure on regional development,<br />

but this cannot be identified in the public sector accounts of any country. Nor can the necessary data be extracted<br />

easily from national published sources. Indeed, in most cases, the data cannot be extracted at all, so there are no<br />

statistics on development expenditure at national level which can be compared with the expenditure financed by the<br />

Structural Funds. A further problem is that the data for government investment are defined in the ESA 95 system of<br />

national accounts to be net of sales less purchases of assets. This means that they do not measure ‘new’ fixed<br />

investment as such if there are asset transactions (if the government, for example, sells a building or a piece of land<br />

or shares in a public company), Since such transactions have tended to become more important over time, with the<br />

trend towards privatisation, the figures for government investment have become less and less reliable as a measure<br />

of new investment. It is assumed here that asset transactions are small and do not have a significant distorting<br />

effect on the investment, figures, but this may well not be the case.<br />

13 It should be noted that in the UK especially, the figures for government investment are distorted by the sales of<br />

assets, which are counted as negative expenditure and so as an offset to expenditure on fixed investment, and<br />

which tend to be more important than in other countries, The decline in investment in 2005 seems to be entirely a<br />

consequence of an increase in such sales.<br />

50

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