Use of Models and Facility-Level Data in Greenhouse Gas Inventories
Use of Models and Facility-Level Data in Greenhouse Gas Inventories
Use of Models and Facility-Level Data in Greenhouse Gas Inventories
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<strong>Use</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Models</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Facility</strong>-<strong>Level</strong> <strong>Data</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greenhouse</strong> <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>Inventories</strong><br />
Annex 3.<br />
Co-Chairs Summary<br />
Expert Meet<strong>in</strong>g on <strong>Use</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Models</strong> <strong>and</strong> Measurements <strong>in</strong> GHG <strong>Inventories</strong><br />
9-11 August 2010, Sydney<br />
Co-Chairs Summary<br />
1. The expert meet<strong>in</strong>g considered the use <strong>of</strong> models <strong>and</strong> measurements for all sectors <strong>in</strong> greenhouse gas emission<br />
<strong>in</strong>ventories. In the light <strong>of</strong> experience to date, the meet<strong>in</strong>g compiled a report on experience <strong>and</strong> the lessons learnt,<br />
particularly related to transparency so that <strong>in</strong>ventory compilers address<strong>in</strong>g these issues can benefit from this<br />
experience.<br />
2. Measured data underlie both models <strong>and</strong> facility level data. Measurements may be made at <strong>in</strong>dividual plant cover<strong>in</strong>g<br />
all <strong>of</strong> part <strong>of</strong> specific sub-sectors, <strong>and</strong> the meet<strong>in</strong>g noted that there are an <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g number <strong>of</strong> report<strong>in</strong>g systems<br />
that comb<strong>in</strong>e such measured data with other facility level <strong>in</strong>formation. In general, models, use measured data for<br />
calibration, evaluation <strong>and</strong> validation to estimate those emissions or removals that cannot be easily otherwise<br />
obta<strong>in</strong>ed, <strong>and</strong> so extend limited <strong>in</strong>formation to cover national emissions <strong>and</strong> removals.<br />
3. The use <strong>of</strong> both models <strong>and</strong> facility level data <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>ventories provides significant opportunities to improve the overall<br />
quality <strong>and</strong>, usually, accuracy <strong>of</strong> the <strong>in</strong>ventory, through, amongst other th<strong>in</strong>gs, (i) reduc<strong>in</strong>g uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty <strong>and</strong> improv<strong>in</strong>g<br />
uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty estimates <strong>in</strong> the national <strong>in</strong>ventory; (ii) improv<strong>in</strong>g spatial <strong>and</strong> temporal resolution <strong>of</strong> data <strong>and</strong> further<br />
disaggregat<strong>in</strong>g data categories; or (iii) improv<strong>in</strong>g potential to correctly estimate impacts <strong>of</strong> mitigation on national<br />
<strong>in</strong>ventories by, for example, reflect<strong>in</strong>g any mitigation effects from measurements or by improv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>ventory<br />
stratification. Therefore their use <strong>in</strong> the national <strong>in</strong>ventory should be encouraged.<br />
4. The key issue identified <strong>in</strong> the use <strong>of</strong> both models <strong>and</strong> facility level data, is transparency. While approaches to<br />
ensur<strong>in</strong>g transparency, document<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> report<strong>in</strong>g lower Tier approaches are clearly given <strong>in</strong> the IPCC Guidel<strong>in</strong>es,<br />
the use <strong>of</strong> models <strong>and</strong> facility level data is only discussed more generally as the specifics depend on national<br />
circumstances. The 2006 IPCC Guidel<strong>in</strong>es do provide the overall approach to transparently document<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong><br />
report<strong>in</strong>g these types <strong>of</strong> data. The meet<strong>in</strong>g noted that clearer descriptions <strong>of</strong> the approaches used to derive national<br />
emissions would help ensure the results underst<strong>and</strong>able <strong>and</strong> credible <strong>and</strong> that recent experience provides useful<br />
guidance to <strong>in</strong>ventory compilers on how to do this.<br />
5. The meet<strong>in</strong>g compiled lists <strong>of</strong> typical items that, when reported, may lead to improved transparency. These <strong>in</strong>clude:<br />
<strong>Models</strong><br />
• Basis <strong>and</strong> type <strong>of</strong> model<br />
• Application <strong>and</strong> adaptation <strong>of</strong> the model<br />
• Ma<strong>in</strong> equations/processes<br />
• Key assumptions<br />
• Doma<strong>in</strong> <strong>of</strong> application<br />
• How the model parameters were estimated<br />
• Description <strong>of</strong> key <strong>in</strong>puts <strong>and</strong> outputs<br />
• Details <strong>of</strong> calibration & model evaluation<br />
• Uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty <strong>and</strong> sensitivity analysis<br />
• QA/QC procedures adopted<br />
• References to peer-reviewed literature<br />
<strong>Facility</strong> <strong>Level</strong> <strong>Data</strong><br />
Institutional arrangements<br />
• Legal basis<br />
• Elements covered<br />
• Criteria for data selection<br />
• QA/QC<br />
• Confidentiality<br />
Category-specific<br />
• Category emissions<br />
• Implied emission factor<br />
• Uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty<br />
• How completeness <strong>and</strong> time series consistency<br />
are ensured<br />
6. The meet<strong>in</strong>g also considered some <strong>of</strong> the factors <strong>in</strong>ventory compilers need to consider <strong>in</strong> the use <strong>of</strong> models <strong>and</strong><br />
facility level data.<br />
7. For models considerations <strong>in</strong>clude: reasons for model selection; <strong>in</strong>terpretation <strong>of</strong> model results; calibration <strong>and</strong><br />
parameterisation; evaluation <strong>of</strong> model methods, processes <strong>and</strong> results; comparisons with lower tiers <strong>and</strong><br />
measurements; uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty <strong>and</strong> sensitivity analysis.<br />
IPCC Expert Meet<strong>in</strong>g Report 125 TFI