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Use of Models and Facility-Level Data in Greenhouse Gas Inventories

Use of Models and Facility-Level Data in Greenhouse Gas Inventories

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<strong>Use</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Models</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Facility</strong>-<strong>Level</strong> <strong>Data</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greenhouse</strong> <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>Inventories</strong><br />

• Assume <strong>in</strong>ventory Tier 2 approach (or Tier 1 <strong>in</strong> special circumstances) is typical <strong>of</strong> the plant without<br />

specific data;<br />

• F<strong>in</strong>d a relationship between the facility-level data <strong>and</strong> some features <strong>of</strong> each facility <strong>and</strong> use this to<br />

model the emissions for facilities without data (“Surrogate <strong>Data</strong>”);<br />

• <strong>Use</strong> <strong>in</strong>ventory approach to estimate category emissions <strong>and</strong> disaggregate this by facility-level data.<br />

The choices made by <strong>in</strong>ventory compilers regard<strong>in</strong>g the use <strong>of</strong> facility-level data require the use <strong>of</strong> expert judgement. In<br />

some countries, steps are be<strong>in</strong>g taken to develop frameworks to make better use <strong>of</strong> available evidence to support these<br />

judgements <strong>and</strong> to encourage consistent decision mak<strong>in</strong>g across sources. The IPCC plans to cont<strong>in</strong>ue its efforts to<br />

explore <strong>and</strong> support the development <strong>of</strong> such frameworks <strong>in</strong> its future work programme.<br />

4.3.5 Time series consistency<br />

In general, facility-level data are not available for all <strong>in</strong>ventory years. In order to achieve a consistent time series it is<br />

necessary to splice facility-level data with traditional category level estimates. The IPCC Guidel<strong>in</strong>es give guidance on<br />

how to do this. (See Chapter 5 “Time Series Consistency”, Volume 1, 2006 IPCC Guidel<strong>in</strong>es for guidance on time series<br />

consistency, not<strong>in</strong>g especially Section 5.3.3.6 “Select<strong>in</strong>g the most appropriate technique”.)<br />

The participants noted that an overlap <strong>of</strong> several years worth <strong>of</strong> data will improve the splic<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> the two data sources. As<br />

additional years data are collected this splic<strong>in</strong>g should be reviewed. It is also possible that as experience <strong>in</strong> the<br />

production <strong>of</strong> facility-level data improves the quality <strong>of</strong> the facility-level data may improve.<br />

In order to recalculate earlier years data based on facility-level data, an issue to consider is the changes <strong>in</strong> technology<br />

<strong>and</strong> practices that may have occurred.<br />

It may be the case that facility-level data are not collected annually. This could pose particular problems for time series<br />

consistency. <strong>Data</strong> collected less than annually should be reviewed carefully aga<strong>in</strong>st the criteria outl<strong>in</strong>ed above <strong>and</strong> the<br />

<strong>in</strong>ventory compiler should evaluate if, <strong>and</strong> if so how, the data could be <strong>in</strong>corporated <strong>in</strong>to the <strong>in</strong>ventory. If it is determ<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

that it is not appropriate to use the data <strong>in</strong> the national <strong>in</strong>ventory, the data may still be valuable for QA/QC.<br />

4.4 Energy data<br />

4.4.1 Align<strong>in</strong>g facility-level fuel <strong>and</strong> IPCC fuel types<br />

The types <strong>of</strong> fuels reported <strong>in</strong> facility-level data may be clear, <strong>and</strong> the <strong>in</strong>ventory compilers may be able to map the facility<br />

fuel data to one <strong>of</strong> the st<strong>and</strong>ard IPCC fuel types. In some cases, the fuels <strong>in</strong> the facility-level data may be ambiguous,<br />

<strong>and</strong> may not match the st<strong>and</strong>ard set <strong>of</strong> IPCC fuel types. In this case:<br />

• Clarification could be sought from the operators <strong>of</strong> the facility about the nature <strong>of</strong> fuels be<strong>in</strong>g used to try <strong>and</strong><br />

remove the ambiguity.<br />

• A decision will need to be taken about the appropriate mapp<strong>in</strong>g to use between the facility-level data fuel type<br />

<strong>and</strong> the IPCC fuel type where ambiguity rema<strong>in</strong>s.<br />

• Or if the ambiguity is too great, then the <strong>in</strong>ventory compilers may choose not to <strong>in</strong>clude the facility-level data <strong>in</strong><br />

the <strong>in</strong>ventory at all.<br />

4.4.2 Ensur<strong>in</strong>g biogenic carbon can be separated<br />

Biomass is now quite commonly used <strong>in</strong> comb<strong>in</strong>ation with fossil fuels<br />

or <strong>in</strong>deed as a primary fuel. In Energy Sector <strong>in</strong> a national<br />

greenhouse gas <strong>in</strong>ventory, CO 2 emissions from biogenic carbon<br />

should be reported as an <strong>in</strong>formation item separately from national<br />

total emissions. <strong>Facility</strong>-level report<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> emissions may <strong>in</strong>clude<br />

emissions from biogenic carbon, <strong>and</strong> so these data need careful<br />

exam<strong>in</strong>ation to ensure that emissions from fossil fuel <strong>and</strong> biomass<br />

are correctly reported.<br />

4.4.3 Consistency with energy statistics for the country<br />

Estimates <strong>of</strong> emissions <strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>ventories <strong>of</strong>ten rely heavily on<br />

national energy statistics. If energy data reported from facilities were<br />

to be used <strong>in</strong> an <strong>in</strong>ventory, it is important to underst<strong>and</strong> the reasons<br />

Example for EU-ETS<br />

Emissions reported under the EU ETS<br />

should exclude emissions from bio-carbon.<br />

However, <strong>in</strong>ventory compilers should be<br />

aware that the raw emissions data taken<br />

from the more detailed ETS show <strong>in</strong>stances<br />

<strong>of</strong> companies report<strong>in</strong>g emissions from biocarbon<br />

use – either these are errors <strong>in</strong> the<br />

data, or more probably they represent<br />

emissions <strong>of</strong> fossil carbon from fuels that<br />

are mixtures <strong>of</strong> bio-fuels <strong>and</strong> fossil fuels.<br />

IPCC Expert Meet<strong>in</strong>g Report 22 TFI

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