Conference Programme (PDF, 1019KB) - Trinity College Dublin

abstracts by stream and session
Labour migration from Latvia to other countries – mostly EU member states which have opened up their labour markets – usually is
migration without a permanent change in the country of residence, and that is true irrespective of how long people stay away. This
suggests that forms of migration should be reviewed again, because throughout the world, temporary, circular and transnational aspects
of population mobility are coming to the fore. In Latvia, however, economic and temporary aspects continue to dominate.
The impact of the recent wave of emigration on the Polish labour market and its social implications in the public debates
Mariusz Dzieglewski, Uniwersytet Pedagogiczny im. KEN, Poland
The latest wave of migration from Poland which occurred after the 1st May, 2004 – the day of Polish accession to the European Union – is
unprecedented in the history of the country. First of all, the destinations have changed, the UK and Ireland being the most popular
destination countries to receive Poles. In the case of Ireland, the country was to become a completely new destination. Secondly, the scale
and dynamics of the wave is unusual.Within just a few years about 2 million Poles have fled the country. Thirdly, the socio-demographic
profile of migrants has changed, more and more young graduates becoming a part of the wave. What is more, the last migration takes
place within the Europe that had opened its labour markets to Polish workers.
All these aspects of recent migration have changed the profile of the country. Poland, while still being a country of emigration, is more
and more likely to become a country receiving migrants from the beyond its eastern border.
The paper is based on a qualitative analysis of the new migrant
representation in the weekly Polish press, which echoes the public debates and in-depth interviews that have been conducted with Polish
migrants in Ireland. The research provides arguments to track the main concerns in the public debate considering issues such as: the
impact of the recent wave of emigration on the Polish labour market; the new regulations considering the gap in the labour market; new
policies of immigration; the social implications of migration (family bonds, new attitudes and values);adaptation of migrants in the
receiving countries, their professional careers (professional mobility) and the possibilities of social and economic transfer in the case of
return from migration.
SESSION 8b EU Enlargement and the Free Movement of Labour
The macroeconomic consequences of migration diversion: evidence for Germany and the UK
*Timo Baas, IAB Institute for Employment Research, Germany
Herbert Bruecker, IAB Institute for Employment Research, Germany
This paper examines the macroeconomic consequences of the diversion of migration flows away from Germany towards the UK in the
course of the EU’s Eastern Enlargement.The EU has agreed transitional periods with the new member states from Central and Eastern
Europe for the free movement of workers. The selective application of migration restrictions during the transitional periods has resulted
in a reversal of the pre-enlargement allocation of migration flows from the new member states across the EU. Based on a forecast of the
migration potential under the conditions of free movement and of the transitional arrangements, we employ a CGE model with imperfect
labour markets to analyse the macroeconomic effects of this diversion process. We find that EU Eastern enlargement has increased in
the GDP per capita in the UK substantially, but that the diversion of migration flows towards the UK has reduced wage gains and the
decline in unemployment there. The effects of the EU Eastern enlargement are less favourable for Germany, but the diversion of
migration flows has protected workers there against a detrimental impact on wages and unemployment. The migration diversion has
reduced the joint GDP of Germany and UK by about 0.11 per cent.
Occupational attainments of New Member States migrants in the Irish labour market
Justyna Salamonska, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
This paper will examine the occupational attainment of migrants in the Irish labour market. Migrants will be defined as persons who were
born outside of Ireland and declaring other than Irish nationality. Analysis will focus particularly on the occupational positions occupied by
migrants from the New Member States (NMS) relative to both the indigenous workforce and other group of migrants, including migrants
from the rest of the EU and other countries. The analysis will utilise data from a nationally representative sample from the Quarterly
National Household Survey (QNHS) micro-data for 2005, 2006, 2007 and 2008.
Research conducted by Barrett and Duffy (2008) on the QNHS data from 2005 pointed to the lack of labour market integration of migrants
in Ireland. Their analysis highlighted how migrants who arrived in Ireland shortly before 2005, many of them coming from the NMS,
tended to occupy lower occupational positions than the native workforce, controlling for age and education. This research will extend the
above analysis up to 2008 examining whether the occupational position of NMS migrants has improved four years after the EU accession.
A multinomial logistic regression model will be used to examine the impact of a range of factors, including nationality, age, education
level, length of time spent in Ireland, gender and marital status, on the occupational status. The analysis will shed light on changes in the
employment situation of ‘new immigrants’ in the Irish labour market.
60