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6.3 Demographic and Socio-economic Profile<br />

Population forecasts for the decade i.e. from<br />

1998 to 2007 have been made on the<br />

assumption that the past trends have continued<br />

at least during this decade. The growth trends<br />

during the inter-censal period of 1981-98 have<br />

provided the basis for these projections. If<br />

things move with the current pace and direction,<br />

the likely scenario of the province after a<br />

decade is delineated in the adjacent table.<br />

Table: <strong>Sindh</strong> Demographic Indicators<br />

Indicator<br />

Statistics<br />

Urban population (%) 49<br />

Rural population (%) 51<br />

Population growth rate (%) 2.8<br />

Gender ratio (male per 100 female) 112.24<br />

Economically active population (mn) 22.75<br />

Source: 1998 census<br />

Table: <strong>Project</strong>ed Population of <strong>Sindh</strong> up to 2030<br />

Population in millions<br />

1998 2007 2020 2025 2030<br />

Pakistan 132.4 168.1 245.6 272.1 326<br />

<strong>Sindh</strong> 30.4 39.0 63.5 64.2 89.8<br />

Source: <strong>Sindh</strong> Vision 2030, Government of <strong>Sindh</strong><br />

In 2007, Karachi remained the largest city and<br />

Tando Muhammad Khan the smallest district of<br />

<strong>Sindh</strong> even though their shares in total<br />

population changed. The share of Karachi<br />

increased from 32.38% in 1998 to 32.4% in<br />

2007, whereas the shares of Nawabshah,<br />

Naushero Feroze, Hyderabad, Khairpur and<br />

Jacobabad appear to decline because of low<br />

growth rates. The share of Tharparkar rose<br />

substantially from 7.9% to about 9% percent of the total. If the current trends prevail, the GoS<br />

is looking at addressing and managing the needs of approximately 90 million people by the<br />

year 2030.<br />

31<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum

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