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Module B1 Study Book - the Graduate School of the Environment

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20 Michael McCarthy, The Independent, UK (24 May 2004).<br />

21 Julian Darley, High Noon for Natural Gas: The New Energy Crisis (Chelsea<br />

Green Publishing Company, 2004).<br />

22 It took until 1830 for <strong>the</strong> human population <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> earth to reach 1 billion<br />

people. The world’s population reached <strong>the</strong> two billion mark in 1930, three<br />

billion in 1960, four billion in 1975, five billion in 1986, six billion in 1999,<br />

and stands at 6.5 billion in 2006. During <strong>the</strong> next half century this number<br />

is expected to increase by 2.5 billion ―approximately <strong>the</strong> size <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> current<br />

combined populations <strong>of</strong> China and India ― to 9.1 billion people. Almost<br />

all <strong>of</strong> this growth will take place in <strong>the</strong> poorest countries <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> world where<br />

population growth already outpaces economic growth, environmental<br />

protections and social services. (Statistics are drawn from <strong>the</strong> Population<br />

Institute’s website, www.populationinstitute.org .)<br />

23 http://www.overpopulation.org.<br />

24 Paul and Anne Ehrlich, The Population Explosion (New York, Simon and<br />

Schuster, 1990) passim; private communication from Anne Ehrlich, 1993.<br />

25 Private communication, 1994. A variety <strong>of</strong> measures support <strong>the</strong>se<br />

estimates, including resource depletion, deforestation, desertification,<br />

pollution, famine, and loss <strong>of</strong> biodiversity.<br />

26 Newsletter <strong>of</strong> Negative Population Growth, 1993.<br />

27 Heinberg, Richard. Powerdown: Options and Actions for a Post-Carbon<br />

World (New Society Publishers, 2004).<br />

28 Jared Diamond, Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed<br />

(Viking Penguin, 2004).<br />

29 Peter M. Hess, “A Conspiracy <strong>of</strong> Silence: Theologians, Ethicists, and<br />

<strong>the</strong> Question <strong>of</strong> Human Overpopulation,” AAR Western Regional Conference<br />

(March 1994); A. A. Bartlett, “Thoughts <strong>of</strong> Long-Term Energy Supplies:<br />

Scientists and <strong>the</strong> Silent Lie,” Physics Today (July, 2004), 53-54.<br />

30 Pope John Paul II, Sollicitudo Rei Socialis (On Social Concern) (Washington,<br />

D.C.: U.S. Catholic Conference, 1987), 42. His 1989 encyclical message<br />

on The Ecological Crisis: a Common Responsibility was pr<strong>of</strong>oundly silent on<br />

<strong>the</strong> question.<br />

31 A fine example <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> elaboration <strong>of</strong> this assumption may be found in James<br />

A. Weber’s Grow or Die! (New Rochelle, N.Y.: Arlington House, 1970)<br />

32 Richard J. Douthwaite, The Growth Illusion: How Economic Growth Has<br />

Enriched <strong>the</strong> Few, Impoverished <strong>the</strong> Many and Endangered <strong>the</strong> Planet<br />

(Bideford, Devon: Green <strong>Book</strong>s; Dublin, Ireland : Lilliput Press, 1992); Herman<br />

E. Daly and John B. Cobb, For <strong>the</strong> Common Good: Redirecting <strong>the</strong> Economy<br />

toward Community, <strong>the</strong> <strong>Environment</strong>, and a Sustainable Future (Boston:<br />

Beacon Press, 1989). See also o<strong>the</strong>r works by Daly, such as Steady-State<br />

Economics: The Economics <strong>of</strong> Biophysical Equilibrium and Moral Growth<br />

(San Francisco: W.H. Freeman, 1977), and Economics, Ecology, Ethics:<br />

Essays Toward a Steady State Economy (San Francisco: W.H. Freeman,<br />

1980); and <strong>of</strong> William Ophuls, Economics and <strong>the</strong> Politics <strong>of</strong> Scarcity: A<br />

Prologue to a Political Theory <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Steady State (San Francisco: William<br />

H. Freeman, 1977).<br />

33 Jacqueline Kasun, The War against Population: <strong>the</strong> Economics and<br />

Ideology <strong>of</strong> Population Control (San Francisco: Ignatius Press, 1988), 34-<br />

35.<br />

Paper: Ethics in uncertainty 157

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