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BITRE | Working paper 73<br />

Table A7<br />

Base case projections <strong>of</strong> carbon dioxide (CO 2<br />

) emissions for<br />

Australian road transport by type <strong>of</strong> vehicle, 1990–2020<br />

Financial year Cars Light<br />

commercial<br />

vehicles<br />

Rigid <strong>and</strong><br />

other trucks<br />

Articulated<br />

trucks<br />

(gigagrams)<br />

Buses Motorcycles Total<br />

1990 33 932 7 601 5 031 5 593 1 231 242 53 629<br />

1991 33 871 7 300 4 500 5 509 1 189 214 52 582<br />

1992 34 450 7 501 4 335 5 556 1 160 214 53 216<br />

1993 35 458 7 691 4 275 5 970 1 145 214 54 753<br />

1994 36 281 7 869 4 425 6 148 1 181 211 56 115<br />

1995 37 180 8 267 4 662 6 616 1 202 208 58 137<br />

1996 37 593 8 522 4 936 6 959 1 219 202 59 431<br />

1997 37 727 8 534 5 315 7 267 1 210 201 60 254<br />

1998 37 935 9 000 5 394 7 579 1 225 193 61 327<br />

1999 38 614 9 260 5 362 7 844 1 236 186 62 503<br />

2000 39 242 9 479 5 450 8 099 1 243 187 63 699<br />

2001 38 781 9 629 5 328 8 032 1 276 190 63 236<br />

2002 39 672 10 080 5 519 8 309 1 264 194 65 038<br />

2003 40 656 10 427 5 741 8 617 1 309 203 66 954<br />

2004 42 263 10 843 5 867 8 941 1 332 221 69 468<br />

2005 42 399 10 958 6 085 9 232 1 329 229 70 232<br />

2006 41 918 11 084 6 364 9 454 1 311 239 70 369<br />

2007 42 513 11 290 6 622 9 899 1 329 256 71 909<br />

Forecasts<br />

2008 42 984 11 553 6 746 10 118 1 336 263 72 999<br />

2009 44 096 11 822 6 884 10 419 1 344 268 74 832<br />

2010 44 711 12 167 6 993 10 787 1 356 274 76 288<br />

2011 45 118 12 528 7 067 11 172 1 366 280 77 530<br />

2012 45 420 12 921 7 097 11 563 1 376 284 78 662<br />

2013 45 727 13 292 7 129 11 953 1 396 290 79 786<br />

2014 46 048 13 661 7 192 12 314 1 416 294 80 925<br />

2015 46 392 14 041 7 256 12 668 1 440 300 82 097<br />

2016 46 640 14 431 7 342 13 014 1 471 304 83 202<br />

2017 46 859 14 857 7 415 13 372 1 508 307 84 317<br />

2018 47 039 15 287 7 484 13 741 1 540 311 85 400<br />

2019 47 304 15 729 7 592 14 095 1 575 317 86 612<br />

2020 47 445 16 200 7 688 14 451 1 609 321 87 714<br />

Notes:<br />

Sources:<br />

Emission values based on the assumption <strong>of</strong> full carbon combustion (apart from unburnt portion released as<br />

fine solids) for transport fuels.<br />

Energy supply emissions are not included. Biomass derived emissions (i.e. CO 2<br />

emissions from the combustion<br />

<strong>of</strong> bi<strong>of</strong>uels) are also not included.<br />

Gigagrams = 10 9 grams, equivalent to thous<strong>and</strong> tonnes.<br />

BTE (1999a), BTRE (2006a, 2003a, 2003c, 2002a) <strong>and</strong> BITRE estimates.<br />

98

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