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Appendix A | Aggregate model inputs <strong>and</strong> detailed data series<br />

Table A12 Base case projections <strong>of</strong> nitrogen oxide (NO x<br />

) emissions for<br />

Australian road transport by type <strong>of</strong> vehicle<br />

Financial year Cars Light<br />

commercial<br />

vehicles<br />

Rigid <strong>and</strong><br />

other trucks<br />

Articulated<br />

trucks<br />

(gigagrams)<br />

Buses Motorcycles Total<br />

1990 233.2 51.3 62.6 69.6 16.5 0.90 434.1<br />

1991 235.9 50.7 55.2 68.3 15.8 0.80 426.7<br />

1992 245.4 53.4 52.7 68.3 15.4 0.80 436.0<br />

1993 252.1 55.4 51.5 72.7 15.2 0.80 447.6<br />

1994 256.9 57.2 52.9 73.7 15.7 0.78 457.2<br />

1995 263.3 61.0 55.1 77.8 15.9 0.77 473.9<br />

1996 265.7 63.6 57.6 79.6 16.1 0.74 483.3<br />

1997 265.1 65.3 61.3 80.0 15.9 0.73 488.4<br />

1998 262.1 67.5 61.3 80.1 16.1 0.70 487.8<br />

1999 260.2 68.9 59.6 79.5 16.0 0.67 484.9<br />

2000 257.9 69.8 59.2 79.2 16.0 0.68 482.8<br />

2001 247.2 69.7 56.7 75.9 16.3 0.69 466.4<br />

2002 245.3 71.3 57.4 75.5 16.0 0.70 466.3<br />

2003 243.4 72.3 58.1 75.7 16.2 0.71 466.5<br />

2004 243.3 72.4 58.0 75.5 16.3 0.77 466.2<br />

2005 231.9 69.6 58.8 75.0 16.0 0.80 452.0<br />

2006 218.4 67.9 59.9 74.6 15.6 0.83 437.2<br />

2007 210.3 65.5 60.5 75.1 15.6 0.90 427.9<br />

Forecasts<br />

2008 201.6 63.9 59.6 73.4 15.3 0.92 414.7<br />

2009 196.1 62.0 58.5 72.3 15.0 0.94 404.9<br />

2010 188.6 60.4 57.3 71.9 14.8 0.95 393.9<br />

2011 180.8 59.0 56.0 71.7 14.5 0.97 383.0<br />

2012 172.9 57.4 54.5 71.7 14.3 0.99 371.8<br />

2013 165.4 55.9 53.1 71.4 14.0 1.00 360.8<br />

2014 158.7 54.8 52.0 71.0 13.7 1.02 351.1<br />

2015 152.7 53.6 51.0 70.7 13.5 1.04 342.5<br />

2016 147.2 52.5 50.2 70.4 13.3 1.05 334.6<br />

2017 142.0 51.7 49.3 70.1 13.2 1.07 327.3<br />

2018 138.3 51.3 48.5 70.1 13.0 1.09 322.2<br />

2019 135.8 51.0 48.0 70.1 13.0 1.10 319.0<br />

2020 133.5 50.7 47.6 70.4 13.0 1.12 316.2<br />

Note:<br />

Sources:<br />

Energy supply emissions are not included.<br />

BTE (1999a), BTRE (2006a, 2003a, 2003c, 2002a) <strong>and</strong> BITRE estimates.<br />

103

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