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Final Technical Report - weADAPT

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model simulation was conducted for the whole region of Southeast Asia and also<br />

southern part of People Republic of China, but the analysis and adjusting were performed<br />

only on the lower region of Mekong River basin in Lao PDR, Thailand and Vietnam only<br />

due to the limited availability of the observed climate date which is required for adjusting<br />

process. The analysis of climate scenario in Cambodia area was also excluded under this<br />

study due to insufficient data from Cambodia. The focused area of study, which covers<br />

most part of Lao PDR, northeastern part of Thailand and Mekong River delta in Viet<br />

Nam, is shown in the illustration below:<br />

Figure 10: Geographic coverage of the analysis on climate change –<br />

Mekong River basin in Lao PDR, Thailand and Viet Nam<br />

The statistical adjustment process is based on cumulative rainfall using a nonlinear<br />

function (log-log regression) to exponentially increase the daily variability. An<br />

arbitrary rainfall threshold of 3 mm/day was applied to reduce number of rain days. The<br />

observed data used for the adjusting of future climate information are from:<br />

• Meteorology and Hydrology Department, Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry,<br />

Lao PDR<br />

• Meteorological Department, Ministry of Science and Technology, Thailand<br />

• Sub-institute of Hydrometeorology of South Vietnam, Vietnam<br />

<strong>Final</strong> technical report – AIACC AS07 30

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