Final Technical Report - weADAPT

More documents

Recommendations

Info

model simulation was conducted for the whole region of Southeast Asia and also southern part of People Republic of China, but the analysis and adjusting were performed only on the lower region of Mekong River basin in Lao PDR, Thailand and Vietnam only due to the limited availability of the observed climate date which is required for adjusting process. The analysis of climate scenario in Cambodia area was also excluded under this study due to insufficient data from Cambodia. The focused area of study, which covers most part of Lao PDR, northeastern part of Thailand and Mekong River delta in Viet Nam, is shown in the illustration below: Figure 10: Geographic coverage of the analysis on climate change – Mekong River basin in Lao PDR, Thailand and Viet Nam The statistical adjustment process is based on cumulative rainfall using a nonlinear function (log-log regression) to exponentially increase the daily variability. An arbitrary rainfall threshold of 3 mm/day was applied to reduce number of rain days. The observed data used for the adjusting of future climate information are from: • Meteorology and Hydrology Department, Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, Lao PDR • Meteorological Department, Ministry of Science and Technology, Thailand • Sub-institute of Hydrometeorology of South Vietnam, Vietnam <strong>Final</strong> technical report – AIACC AS07 30
Observed rainfall data from 23 meteorological observation stations from 3 countries during the period of 1980s was used for climate scenario adjusting. The name and location of those stations are as shown in the illustration below: Figure 11: Location of meteorological stations that provide observed data for rainfall calibration process 4.3 Results: Climate change in lower Mekong River basin The result of the climate simulation is the daily climate data for the period of 10 years of climate condition at atmospheric CO 2 concentrations of 360ppm/540ppm/720ppm. The climate parameters from the simulation include: • Daily maximum, minimum and average temperature ( o C) • Specific humidity (kg/kg) • Heat flux (W/m 2 ) • Pressure (hPa) • Cloud cover (%) <strong>Final</strong> technical report – AIACC AS07 31
Page 1: Final Technical Report AIACC AS07 S
Page 4 and 5: Part 2: Details Report Page 3 Intro
Page 7 and 8: Part 1: Project Information and bri
Page 9 and 10: 5. Attachai Jintrawet, Multiple Cro
Page 11 and 12: 2 Executive Summary 2.1 Research pr
Page 13 and 14: processes taking place at the land
Page 15 and 16: set of climate scenario will be wit
Page 17 and 18: 2.3.2 Impact of climate change on h
Page 19 and 20: From the mathematic model simulatio
Page 21 and 22: also coupled with influence of clim
Page 23 and 24: sensitive to climate and helps to i
Page 25 and 26: than its first generation, yet expe
Page 27 and 28: Part 2: Details Report 3 Introducti
Page 29: forcing. It also addresses both cli
Page 33 and 34: Figure 13: Future temperature in th
Page 35 and 36: 10-year Averaged Minimum Temperatur
Page 37 and 38: will expand by 3-4 weeks throughout
Page 39 and 40: 4.3.2 Change in future precipitatio
Page 41 and 42: and wet years will be wider in the
Page 43 and 44: Figure 19: Selected Mekong River tr
Page 45 and 46: Sub-Basin: Station: Sub-Basin: Stat
Page 47 and 48: Sub-Basin: Station: Sub-Basin: Stat
Page 49 and 50: The illustrations below show the su
Page 51 and 52: climate data from climate scenario,
Page 53 and 54: The result from the simulation is s
Page 55 and 56: Figure 26: Framework on the assessm
Page 57 and 58: which fall in the period May to Oct
Page 59 and 60: Background of study site in Lao PDR
Page 61 and 62: • Dependency on on-farm productio
Page 63 and 64: interview would be analyzed accordi
Page 65 and 66: Climate Risk Group - Baseline condi
Page 67 and 68: ely on income from rice production
Page 69 and 70: Vulnerable group: Climate consition
Page 71 and 72: Vulnerable group: Climate condition
Page 73 and 74: The focus on the understanding abou
Page 75 and 76: 6.1 Activities Conducted: Assessmen
Page 77: • Potential measures and strategi
Page 80 and 81:
Maintain appropriate farming condit
Page 82 and 83:
Table 14: Community Level Measures
Page 84 and 85:
other water diversion infrastructur
Page 86 and 87:
2005). The forecasts are used for s
Page 88 and 89:
ice variety for their own consumpti
Page 90 and 91:
change in cooperation with the nati
Page 92 and 93:
At all of the study sites, farmers
Page 94 and 95:
The adaptation strategy tends to li
Page 96 and 97:
institutions with vitality and high
Page 98 and 99:
In addition to the researchers and
Page 100 and 101:
9 Outputs of the project This regio
Page 102 and 103:
Thailand o The study on vulnerabili
Page 104 and 105:
Liang, X., Lettenmaier, D. P., Wood
Page 106 and 107:
Figure 18: Average annual rainfall
Page 108 and 109:
Table 15: National Level Measures f
Page 110 and 111:
80 Vientiane Rainfall (milimeter) 6
Page 112 and 113:
80 Cantho Rainfall (milimeter) 60 4
Page 114 and 115:
Sub-Basin: Station: Nam Ou - Lao PD
Page 116 and 117:
Sub-Basin: Station: Nam Ngum - Lao
Page 118 and 119:
Sub-Basin: Nam Nhiep - Lao PDR Stat
Page 120 and 121:
Sub-Basin: Nam Songkhram - Thailand
Page 122 and 123:
Sub-Basin: Se Bang Hieng - Lao PDR
Page 124 and 125:
Sub-Basin: Nam Mun - Thailand Stati
Page 126 and 127:
Sub-Basin: Se Kong - Lao PDR Statio
Page 128 and 129:
Sub-Basin: Nam Ou - Lao PDR Station
Page 130 and 131:
Sub-Basin: Upper Nam Ngum - Lao PDR
Page 132 and 133:
Sub-Basin: Nam Nhiep - Lao PDR Stat
Page 134 and 135:
Sub-Basin: Se Bang Fai - Lao PDR St
Page 136 and 137:
Sub-Basin: Se Done - Lao PDR Statio
Page 138 and 139:
Sub-Basin: Se Son - Lao PDR Station
Page 140 and 141:
Sub-Basin: Nam Songkhram - Thailand
Page 142:
Sub-Basin: Nam Mun - Thailand Stati
show all

Final Technical Report - weADAPT

Create successful ePaper yourself

Delete template?

Save as template?