Final Technical Report - weADAPT

Lao PDR:
Savannakhet Province
Changes in rice productivity under climate change impact
Climate condition under
CO 2 concentration 540
ppm
Normal
condition
Extreme
climate event
Climate condition under
CO 2 concentration 720
ppm
Normal
condition
Extreme
climate event
Songkhone District -9.14% -39.14% -2.56% -32.56%
Thailand:
Ubonratchathani Province
Zone 1 7.00% -23.00% 15.29% -14.71%
Zone 2 4.30% -25.70% 7.94% -22.06%
Zone 3 1.86% -28.14% 3.18% -26.82%
Zone 4 1.29% -28.71% 1.95% -28.05%
Zone 5 0.90% -29.10% 1.48% -28.52%
Table 12: Scenario on change in rice productivity – proxy used for evaluating
farmer’s risk and vulnerability to impact of climate change
5.4.2 Result: Risk and vulnerability to climate impact of rain-fed farmer in lower Mekong
River basin
Baseline risk of farmer to climate impact
From the assessment, the information from household survey was summarized
and analyzed. The analysis shows that farmer in Lao PDR are highly resilience to climate
impact as over 80% of the surveyed population is classified in the low risk group, while
only less than 5% of the population is high risk to climate impact. However, on the
contrary, surveyed farmers in Thailand are riskier to climate impact as about one-third of
the surveyed population is classified as low risk and approximately 15%-25% are in the
high risk category. The moderate risk group is the largest group of the surveyed farmers
in Thailand, which in some study sites is as high as half of the total surveyed population.
Final technical report – AIACC AS07 64