27.01.2015 Views

Final Technical Report - weADAPT

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climate condition at CO 2 concentration of 540 ppm, however yield would drop by<br />

approximately 4-8% from baseline condition under climate condition at CO 2<br />

concentration of 720 ppm. The summer-autumn crop tends to get severe impact from<br />

climate change, which the simulation result shows significant drop by approximately 8-<br />

12% under climate condition at CO 2 concentration of 540 ppm, and would sharply drop<br />

further by approximately 15% to almost 50% in some areas under climate condition at<br />

CO 2 concentration of 720 ppm. On average, the simulation result shows that yield of rice<br />

production in the Mekong River delta would drop by approximately 18% toward the end<br />

of this century (under climate condition at CO 2 concentration of 720 ppm, which<br />

according to SRES A1FI, will be around the end of the century).<br />

<strong>Final</strong> technical report – AIACC AS07 52

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