Final Technical Report - weADAPT

More documents

Recommendations

Info

The result from the simulation shows that most of the tributaries of Mekong River in Lao PDR and Thailand tend to have more water in the future due to higher precipitation. For the wet year scenario, almost every watershed will have higher discharge under the climate condition at CO 2 concentration of 540 ppm and increase further under the climate condition at CO 2 concentration of 720 ppm. However, in the dry year scenario, many sub-basins will have slightly less water under climate condition at CO 2 concentration of 540 ppm, but the discharge will increase under the climate condition at CO 2 concentration of 720 ppm. Change in the discharge of Mekong River’s tributary under influence of climate change is summarized in the table below: Mekong River’s tributary Lao PDR Impact of Climate Change on Water Resource in Mekong River’s tributaries in Lao PDR and Thailand Wet Year Scenario: Tributary catchment’s Dry Year Scenario: Tributary catchment’s discharge under climate condition at different discharge under climate condition at CO 2 CO 2 concentration different concentration Baseline: 360 ppm (million m 3 ) 540 ppm (% change from baseline) 720 ppm (% change from baseline) Baseline: 360 ppm (million m 3 ) 540 ppm (% change from baseline) 720 ppm (% change from baseline) Nam Ou 11,458 +7.23% +16.78% 9,035 -15.56% +24.38% Nam Khan 1,293 +6.65% +6.93% 946 -11.17% +44.80% Upper Nam 3,820 +14.77% +8.44% 2,891 -12.30% +51.49% Ngum (before dam) Nam Ngum 14,837 +6.83% +11.79% 11,837 +4.70% +46.63% Nam Nhiep 4,796 +4.70% +46.63% 3,902 -4.00% +33.28% Nam Theun 39,427 -5.86% +18.75% 31,483 +11.03% +30.47% Se Bang Fai 8,330 -4.54% +14.92% 6,412 +1.40% +32.69% Se Bang 10,057 +0.04% +27.95% 6,784 +10.60% +51.21% Hieng Se Done 2,574 +13.30% +100.05% 1,829 +2.91% +53.43% Se Kong 37,506 +20.20% +63.21% 35,138 -13.64% +5.57% Se Son 14,279 +24.74% +51.75% 13,303 -11.60% +1.84% Se Pok 13,050 +22.39% +51.26% 12,382 -15.29% -3.53% Thailand Nam 12,270 +6.34% +7.41% 11,750 +7.18 +24.98 Songkram Nam Chi 6,423 +12.73% +21.27% 7,788 -10.24 +14.43 Nam Mun 18,645 +10.02% +34.06% 21,232 -15.01 +15.39 Table 8: Impact of climate change on discharge of Mekong River’s tributaries in Lao PDR and Thailand <strong>Final</strong> technical report – AIACC AS07 48
The illustrations below show the summary result Impact of climate change on hydrological condition in tributaries of Mekong River in Lao PDR and Thailand. Figure 22: Change in discharge of Mekong River tributaries in Lao PDR and Thailand under dry year scenario of climate condition at CO2 concentration of 540ppm and 720ppm Figure 23: Change in discharge of Mekong River tributaries in Lao PDR and Thailand under wet year scenario of climate condition at CO2 concentration of 540ppm and 720ppm <strong>Final</strong> technical report – AIACC AS07 49
Page 1: Final Technical Report AIACC AS07 S
Page 4 and 5: Part 2: Details Report Page 3 Intro
Page 7 and 8: Part 1: Project Information and bri
Page 9 and 10: 5. Attachai Jintrawet, Multiple Cro
Page 11 and 12: 2 Executive Summary 2.1 Research pr
Page 13 and 14: processes taking place at the land
Page 15 and 16: set of climate scenario will be wit
Page 17 and 18: 2.3.2 Impact of climate change on h
Page 19 and 20: From the mathematic model simulatio
Page 21 and 22: also coupled with influence of clim
Page 23 and 24: sensitive to climate and helps to i
Page 25 and 26: than its first generation, yet expe
Page 27 and 28: Part 2: Details Report 3 Introducti
Page 29 and 30: forcing. It also addresses both cli
Page 31 and 32: Observed rainfall data from 23 mete
Page 33 and 34: Figure 13: Future temperature in th
Page 35 and 36: 10-year Averaged Minimum Temperatur
Page 37 and 38: will expand by 3-4 weeks throughout
Page 39 and 40: 4.3.2 Change in future precipitatio
Page 41 and 42: and wet years will be wider in the
Page 43 and 44: Figure 19: Selected Mekong River tr
Page 45 and 46: Sub-Basin: Station: Sub-Basin: Stat
Page 47: Sub-Basin: Station: Sub-Basin: Stat
Page 51 and 52: climate data from climate scenario,
Page 53 and 54: The result from the simulation is s
Page 55 and 56: Figure 26: Framework on the assessm
Page 57 and 58: which fall in the period May to Oct
Page 59 and 60: Background of study site in Lao PDR
Page 61 and 62: • Dependency on on-farm productio
Page 63 and 64: interview would be analyzed accordi
Page 65 and 66: Climate Risk Group - Baseline condi
Page 67 and 68: ely on income from rice production
Page 69 and 70: Vulnerable group: Climate consition
Page 71 and 72: Vulnerable group: Climate condition
Page 73 and 74: The focus on the understanding abou
Page 75 and 76: 6.1 Activities Conducted: Assessmen
Page 77: • Potential measures and strategi
Page 80 and 81: Maintain appropriate farming condit
Page 82 and 83: Table 14: Community Level Measures
Page 84 and 85: other water diversion infrastructur
Page 86 and 87: 2005). The forecasts are used for s
Page 88 and 89: ice variety for their own consumpti
Page 90 and 91: change in cooperation with the nati
Page 92 and 93: At all of the study sites, farmers
Page 94 and 95: The adaptation strategy tends to li
Page 96 and 97: institutions with vitality and high
Page 98 and 99:
In addition to the researchers and
Page 100 and 101:
9 Outputs of the project This regio
Page 102 and 103:
Thailand o The study on vulnerabili
Page 104 and 105:
Liang, X., Lettenmaier, D. P., Wood
Page 106 and 107:
Figure 18: Average annual rainfall
Page 108 and 109:
Table 15: National Level Measures f
Page 110 and 111:
80 Vientiane Rainfall (milimeter) 6
Page 112 and 113:
80 Cantho Rainfall (milimeter) 60 4
Page 114 and 115:
Sub-Basin: Station: Nam Ou - Lao PD
Page 116 and 117:
Sub-Basin: Station: Nam Ngum - Lao
Page 118 and 119:
Sub-Basin: Nam Nhiep - Lao PDR Stat
Page 120 and 121:
Sub-Basin: Nam Songkhram - Thailand
Page 122 and 123:
Sub-Basin: Se Bang Hieng - Lao PDR
Page 124 and 125:
Sub-Basin: Nam Mun - Thailand Stati
Page 126 and 127:
Sub-Basin: Se Kong - Lao PDR Statio
Page 128 and 129:
Sub-Basin: Nam Ou - Lao PDR Station
Page 130 and 131:
Sub-Basin: Upper Nam Ngum - Lao PDR
Page 132 and 133:
Sub-Basin: Nam Nhiep - Lao PDR Stat
Page 134 and 135:
Sub-Basin: Se Bang Fai - Lao PDR St
Page 136 and 137:
Sub-Basin: Se Done - Lao PDR Statio
Page 138 and 139:
Sub-Basin: Se Son - Lao PDR Station
Page 140 and 141:
Sub-Basin: Nam Songkhram - Thailand
Page 142:
Sub-Basin: Nam Mun - Thailand Stati
show all

Final Technical Report - weADAPT

Create successful ePaper yourself

Delete template?

Save as template?