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Modelling dependence in finance using copulas - Thierry Roncalli's ...

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Problem: the marg<strong>in</strong>s of the multivariate Risk-Neutral Distribution<br />

(RND) are not the univariate RND.<br />

⇒ In this case, we may show that there exists arbitrage opportunities<br />

<strong>in</strong>side the same bank (see [10]).<br />

⇒ Moreover, one-asset options could be viewed as limits of<br />

multi-asset options — see e.g. the Basket option<br />

G (T ) = (α 1 S 1 (T ) + α 2 S 2 (T ) − K) + .<br />

The copula construction Let Q be the multivariate RND of the<br />

random vector S (T ) | F t0 . In [10], we show that the marg<strong>in</strong>s of Q are<br />

necessarily univariate RND ∗ . Us<strong>in</strong>g Sklar’s theorem, it comes that Q<br />

admits the follow<strong>in</strong>g canonical decomposition<br />

Q (S 1 (T ) , . . . , S N (T )) = C Q (Q 1 (S 1 (T )) , . . . , Q N (S N (T )))<br />

C Q is called the risk-neutral copula (RNC).<br />

∗ We prove this by us<strong>in</strong>g properties of the Girsanov theorem applied to multivariate<br />

probability measure.<br />

<strong>Modell<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>dependence</strong> <strong>in</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ance us<strong>in</strong>g <strong>copulas</strong><br />

New pric<strong>in</strong>g methods with <strong>copulas</strong> 4-3

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