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Republic of Montenegro: Public Expenditure and ... - Vlada Crne Gore

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Chapter 6: Beyond the National Budget: Fiscal Risks <strong>of</strong><br />

Local Governments <strong>and</strong> State-owned Enterprises 83<br />

Assessment <strong>of</strong> Fiscal Risks<br />

6.8 Local government operations pose fiscal risks because <strong>of</strong> their sizeable extrabudgetary<br />

activities, the unsustainable nature <strong>of</strong> deficit financing, <strong>and</strong> the accumulation <strong>of</strong><br />

arrears. The combined deficit <strong>of</strong> local governments – as reported by local governments (i.e.,<br />

excluding municipal extra-budgetary activities) – was about 0.3 percent <strong>of</strong> GDP in 2004. 72 The<br />

municipality <strong>of</strong> Podgorica poses the largest risk as 80 percent <strong>of</strong> the deficit was concentrated in<br />

this municipality, <strong>and</strong> mainly financed through municipal property sales (Tables 6.1). 73<br />

Furthermore, accumulated arrears were equivalent to 1½ percent <strong>of</strong> GDP in 2004. Even<br />

excluding potential hidden liabilities (i.e., extrabudgetary operations <strong>and</strong> arrears), local<br />

government deficit, <strong>and</strong>, more importantly, the nonsustainable nature <strong>of</strong> its financing create<br />

important fiscal risks.<br />

Table 6.1. <strong>Montenegro</strong>: Fiscal Operations <strong>of</strong> Local Governments, 2002-04 1/<br />

2002 2003 2004 2002 2003 2004<br />

(in millions <strong>of</strong> euros)<br />

(in percent <strong>of</strong> GDP)<br />

Total Revenues 53.8 70.7 72.0 4.1 4.9 4.7<br />

Taxes 33.7 39.4 31.4 2.6 2.7 2.0<br />

Personal IncomeTax 16.9 18.7 9.0 1.3 1.3 0.6<br />

Real Estate Transfer Tax 3.0 3.0 1.9 0.2 0.2 0.1<br />

Local taxes 13.8 17.7 20.5 1.1 1.2 1.3<br />

Non-tax revenues 18.3 25.1 31.2 1.4 1.7 2.0<br />

Interests <strong>and</strong> penalties from unpaid local taxes 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0<br />

Interests on unpaid local taxes 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0<br />

Fines sentences through administrative procedure 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0<br />

Fees 14.3 21.4 25.5 1.1 1.5 1.7<br />

Other revenues 3.9 3.5 5.5 0.3 0.2 0.4<br />

Transfers received 1.8 6.2 9.4 0.1 0.4 0.6<br />

Transfers from State budget - Equalization Fund 1.1 3.4 9.4 0.1 0.2 0.6<br />

Other Subsidies 0.7 2.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0<br />

Total <strong>Expenditure</strong>s 58.7 77.2 75.8 4.5 5.4 5.0<br />

Operational <strong>Expenditure</strong>s 35.3 42.6 50.9 2.7 3.0 3.3<br />

Personnel overall expenditures 16.6 20.7 21.0 1.3 1.4 1.4<br />

Materials <strong>and</strong> services 8.7 12.1 18.9 0.7 0.8 1.2<br />

Interest <strong>and</strong> other financial related costs 0.0 0.5 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.1<br />

Subsidies to public financial corporations 9.2 8.6 5.2 0.7 0.6 0.3<br />

Social assistance <strong>and</strong> other transfers to individuals 0.7 0.7 4.0 0.1 0.0 0.3<br />

Capital <strong>Expenditure</strong>s 15.6 26.0 17.1 1.2 1.8 1.1<br />

Other <strong>Expenditure</strong>s 7.8 8.6 7.9 0.6 0.6 0.5<br />

Balance -4.9 -6.5 -3.9 -0.4 -0.5 -0.3<br />

Identified financing 5.1 7.6 5.6 0.4 0.5 0.4<br />

Proceeds from property sale 4.7 6.9 3.7 0.4 0.5 0.2<br />

Revenues from loans 0.4 0.7 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.1<br />

Change in deposits (+ = reduction) 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0<br />

Unidentified financing/discrepancy 0.2 1.1 1.7 0.0 0.1 0.1<br />

1/ Data for 21 municipalities.<br />

Source: Montenegrin authorities, <strong>and</strong> IMF staff estimates.<br />

72 Data are not available on the liabilities arising from extra-budgetary activities, though these are thought to be<br />

large.<br />

73 Property sales are politicized. Given legal ambiguity in the ownership <strong>of</strong> municipal l<strong>and</strong>, opposition municipalities<br />

have difficulties selling municipal l<strong>and</strong>.

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