Republic of Montenegro: Public Expenditure and ... - Vlada Crne Gore

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96 Annex 1 Indicator 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 CAD after grants, mln EUR -175.0 -161.1 -102.0 -119.6 -140.7 CAD after grants, as % GDP -15.7 -13.1 -7.1 -7.8 -8.6 Gross official reserves, mln EUR 34.5 43.0 38.5 53.5 FDI, mln EUR 10.6 87.3 38.7 50.6 374.7 FDI, % GDP 9.5 6.7 2.7 3.3 22.8 Tourism income, mln USD 94.9 144.0 151.2 179.7 Monetary M1 na 402.0 386.1 430.7 595.1 M2, mln EUR na 496.0 460.8 535.5 801.1 M2, as %GDP na 38.1 32.2 34.9 48.7 Wages Average net wage in EUR 108.0 142,2** 173.9 195.9 213.0 Average pension, EUR 98.4 108.7 112.0 123.0 Employment Average employment (official), 000 141.1 140.1 142.7 143.5 143.7 Registered unemployment, average in 000 81.6 80.9 71.7 65.0 55.0 LFS unemployment rate 24.6 24.5 26.9 27.7 Indebtedness Total External Debt, EUR mln 903.2 510.1 601.7 683.9 Total External Debt, % GDP 69.4 35.6 39.2 41.6 Public external debt, EUR mln 674.4 893.6 461.5 488.1 526.1 Public external debt, % GDP 54.2 68.7 32.2 31.8 32.0 Public debt, EUR mln na 1149.2 711.2 742.9 695.4 Public debt, %GDP na 88.3 49.6 48.4 42.3 Memorandum items: Population 613328 615534 61774 620145 USD per 1 EUR, end of period 0.883 1.043 1.250 1.362 1.186 USD per 1 EUR, period average 0.896 0.946 1.131 1.244 1.244
Annex 2 97 ANNEX 2. PROJECTIONS OF SCHOOL-AGE POPULATION, STUDENTS, AND TEACHERS Projected population for Montenegro in School-Age Cohorts Age 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 6-14 years 80,811 79,701 76,027 74,901 73,821 72,283 71,516 70,981 70,691 70,632 15-18 years 39,871 39,193 37,030 36,229 35,555 34,748 34,053 33,400 32,731 32,021 19-22 years 40,347 40,610 40,578 40,131 39,470 38,337 37,177 36,095 35,156 34,354 Source: MONSTAT estimations for 2003 and 2004. Own estimations for the later years, based on population growth rate for Serbia Projections of Numbers of School Pupils and Teachers, assuming current enrollment ratios and improving enrollment ratios, 2004-2012 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Scenario 1: Current enrollment and pupil-teacher ratios Primary Students 74,205 74,630 73,524 72,416 70,810 69,305 68,663 68,297 68,209 Teachers 4,796 4,846 4,774 4,702 4,598 4,500 4,459 4,435 4,429 Teacher reduction (increase) from previous year (50) 72 72 104 98 42 24 6 Cumulative teacher reduction (increase) (50) 22 94 198 296 337 361 367 Secondary Students 32,078 31,903 31,430 30,957 30,270 29,627 29,352 29,196 29,158 Teachers 2,245 2,231 2,198 2,165 2,117 2,072 2,053 2,042 2,039 Teacher reduction (increase) from previous year 14 33 33 48 45 19 11 3 Cumulative teacher reduction (increase) 14 47 80 128 173 192 203 206 Scenario 2: Increase enrollment to 100% in primary and 88% in secondary by 2012; current pupil-teacher ratios Primary Students 74,205 74,630 74,062 74,185 73,759 72,559 72,250 72,227 72,279 Teachers 4,796 4,846 4,809 4,817 4,790 4,712 4,692 4,690 4,693 Teacher reduction (increase) from previous year (50) 37 (8) 28 78 20 2 (3) Cumulative teacher reduction (increase) (50) (13) (21) 6 84 104 106 103 Secondary Students 32,078 31,903 30,278 30,458 30,492 30,238 30,356 29,748 29,103 Teachers 2,245 2,231 2,117 2,130 2,132 2,115 2,123 2,080 2,035 Teacher reduction (increase) from previous year 14 114 (13) (2) 18 (8) 43 45 Cumulative teacher reduction (increase) 14 128 115 113 130 122 165 210
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Report No. 36533 Republic of Monten
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CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ..........
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TABLES Table 1.1. Montenegro’s Gr
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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This is the first v
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ii Executive Summary and procuremen
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iv Executive Summary 2006-2010 is p
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vi Executive Summary bill in the ke
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viii Executive Summary 23. Going fo
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x Executive Summary 27. The impleme
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2 Chapter 1: The Economic and Insti
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10 Chapter 1: The Economic and Inst
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12 Chapter 2: Composition of Public
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3. PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION REFORM 3.1
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Chapter 3: Public Administration Re
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Republic of Montenegro: Public Expenditure and ... - Vlada Crne Gore

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