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Figure 5 Example of one deterministic output of overlayed ensemble mean and spread 274
More than 15 mm/6 hours Figure 6 Results of a case study. It presents probability maps of 6h accumulated precipitation higher than specific thresholds and the verifying map Figure 7 Spread skill diagram for the 6 to 72 hours 500 hPa forecasts and the rank histogram for the 24h geopotential height of 500 hPa forecasts computed against observations and ECMWF reanalysis 275
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NEWSLETTER of the 28 th EWGLAM and
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Newsletter of the 28th EWGLAM and 1
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6.2 P. Clark et al.: The Convective
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1.1 Foreword In 2006, MeteoSwiss ha
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Cornel Soci National Meteorological
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16:15 - 16:45 Filip Vana general Dy
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2 Consortia and ECMWF reports 12
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Research Progress at ECMWF 2005-200
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ocean data assimilation system for
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Physical Aspects 1) The introductio
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either with a 1-dimensional observa
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2.2 ALADIN 22
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Another important event happened, i
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• However inspection of T2m forec
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Figure 4: One case of intercomparis
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The COSMO Consortium in 2005-2006 T
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2. Model system overview The key fe
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Data Assimilation for LM Method: Nu
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2. LM performance known, critically
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expected to result in an improved r
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Schrodin, R. and H. Heise, 2002: Th
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HIRLAM-A activities in 2006 Jeanett
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addition, research on the construct
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HIRLAM Reference System development
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Fig. 2: Case study for 10 June 2006
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Unified Model Developments 2006 Met
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Figure 4: Noise in increments from
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Cycle Date Model change and impact
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1.5km On-demand model Figure 8: 1.5
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3.1 Belgium 59
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• A prognostic mass-flux scheme f
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Perspectives The integrated package
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3.2 Croatia 65
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New computer Core of the new comput
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3.3 Czech Republic 69
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LAM efforts at Estonian Meteorologi
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grid is 186x170 points in horizonta
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McDonald, A., and J. E. Haugen, 199
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Operational NWP Activities at the F
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Model Forecast model Limited area g
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3.7 France 87
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Fig.1. The ALADIN-France domain, wi
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Towards AROME, A first try of a Rap
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Status Report of the Deutscher Wett
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In August 2006 production with the
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3.9 Hungary 97
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• LBC coupling at every 3 hours O
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IFS as driving model for ALADIN. Th
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3.10 Ireland 103
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Filtering: Fourth order implicit ho
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The next chart shows wind arrows at
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Italian Meteorological Service Stat
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Fig.3 Integration domain for LM- EU
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3.12 Netherlands 113
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esults with fixed entrainment and d
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simulation. In order to allow a goo
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layer for three contrasting nights
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21 UTC). The severe thunderstorm fo
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Limited Area Modelling Activities a
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(a) Figure 2 ALADIN/Portugal geogra
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een locally implemented as an optim
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LAM ACTIVITIES IN ROMANIA Cornel SO
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Fig.3 HRM domain, 78 cumulated prec
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- Experiments : variation of the fr
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NWP activities at Slovak Hydrometeo
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Operational suite upgrades • 23/0
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3.16 Slovenia 139
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First experiments with new physical
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• resolution of meteorological fi
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NWP activities in INM Bartolomé Or
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1 System definition • Creation of
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MSLP June-August 2006 Geopotential
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NATIONAL STATUS REPORT on Operation
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Model input The observations used f
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Numerical Weather Prediction at Met
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The setup is based on a new numeric
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weight of importance in the voting
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4.1 F. Vana: Dynamics & Coupling, A
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5 Scientific presentations on data
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COSMO: Overview and Strategy on Dat
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Meteorology in Hamburg (MPI-M). The
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temperature forecasts, this had a s
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5.2 D. Leuenberger et al.: The Late
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scaling factor α and of the latent
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a) b) RAD 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 det
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5.3 C. Fischer and A. Horanyi: Alad
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Figure 1: analysis increments of wi
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3) Averaged emissivities + dynamica
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In parallel, a direct radar observa
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►Algorithms: • FGAT (with Hunga
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Data assimilation activities in LAC
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Fig.3 RMSE difference (WDEF-NAM2).
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6 Scientific presentations on physi
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Physics improvements in the NAE mod
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The top panel in figure 3 shows tha
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The Murk aerosol is based on the ur
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Relaxation term Due to these proble
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Figure 12: SOx emissions in 1990 an
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Buncefield oil depot fire Figure 15
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6.2 P. Clark et al.: The Convective
Page 225 and 226: y the model (e.g. streaks of gradua
Page 227 and 228: the Met Office Large Eddy Model (LE
Page 229 and 230: Figure 4 Domains used in high resol
Page 231 and 232: 1.0 95th percentile threshold Fract
Page 233 and 234: Figure 10 Surface precipitation rat
Page 235 and 236: HIRLAM Physics developments Sander
Page 237 and 238: strong winds. This causes a too lar
Page 239 and 240: epresenting the weather in the case
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Page 251 and 252: ALARO-0 Physics developments at LAC
Page 253 and 254: eflectance for sample of 3-layer in
Page 255 and 256: 2.1 Pseudo prognostic turbulent kin
Page 257 and 258: TKE and the integral buoyancy of th
Page 259 and 260: 7 Scientific presentations on predi
Page 261 and 262: LAMEPS Development of ALADIN-LACE Y
Page 263 and 264: The more iterations performed, the
Page 265 and 266: uncertainty in the model physics, t
Page 267 and 268: In Budapest, dynamical downscaling
Page 269 and 270: 7.2 J. García-Moya et al.: Recent
Page 271 and 272: Currently the size of the super ens
Page 273 and 274: Palmer, T.N., Alessandri, A., Ander
Page 275: Figure 4 Example of probability map
Page 279 and 280: 7.3 C. Marsigli et al.: The COSMO S
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Page 287 and 288: Overview COSMO ensemble systems Pie
Page 289 and 290: COSMO-LEPS 16-MEMBER EPS An objecti
Page 291 and 292: The used models are LAMI (Italy), a
Page 293 and 294: 28th EWGLAM Meeting 9-11 October 20
Page 295 and 296: 9 SRNWP business meeting report 293
Page 297 and 298: Minutes of the Meeting Participatio
Page 299 and 300: Training and Education Activities i
Page 301 and 302: These reports were very divers, fro
Page 303: Contacts with the Academia In his d
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