Biomass Resource Assessment Part I - Gainesville Regional Utilities

5.004.504.003.50$/MMBtu3.002.502.001.501.000.502005 Without Competing Demand2005 With Competing DemandBase Projections in 2040Conservative Projections in 20400.000 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20TBtu/yrFigure 27. Comparison of scenario #1: “Without competing demand”, scenario #2: “Withcompeting demand” and base case and conservative case projections to 2040 for the TALHopkins facility.3.4. ConclusionsThe results of these scenarios reflect projections of increased supply due to both increasedurban wood waste streams from expansion of urban areas as well as expanded production offorest products. However, at this stage we are unable to project how competing demand forbiomass for energy may affect future prices. This will probably be largely influenced by futuregovernment policies regarding renewable energy and bioenergy technologies. Still the resultssuggest that even though projections indicate a reduction in timberland area during the nextseveral decades, increases in per acre productivity will largely offset any losses in area. Indeed,the results from the projections are not widely different from other scenarios.88