<strong>Geological</strong> <strong>Survey</strong> (USGS) has been adopted here. The two main types <strong>of</strong> risk assessment are qualitative andquantitative. In <strong>Ireland</strong> rigorous quantitative assessment is not feasible at the moment as the large amounts <strong>of</strong>data required are just not available. The most pragmatic approach for <strong>Ireland</strong> would be a qualitative expression<strong>of</strong> probability combined with an estimation <strong>of</strong> potential costs arising from a landslide. Therefore it is recommendedthat landslide susceptibility mapping be undertaken in <strong>Ireland</strong> and this could be a powerful <strong>to</strong>ol for decisionmakers in dealing with landslide hazard issues.The spatial relationship between landslide occurrence and the pre-existing environmental or conditioning fac<strong>to</strong>rscan lead <strong>to</strong> the identification <strong>of</strong> areas <strong>of</strong> landslide susceptibility. GIS can provide an integrated framework foranalysis where different map datasets - geology, soils, vegetation, etc. can be superimposed one on anotherand the <strong>to</strong>tal character <strong>of</strong> a site or area can be identified. When combined with remote sensing datasets suchas LANDSAT or LIDAR they provide a very powerful <strong>to</strong>ol for susceptibility mapping. These datasets are nowavailable for <strong>Ireland</strong>.A pilot susceptibility mapping case study was done in Co. Mayo where landslides have occurred and where thenecessary digital datasets are available. Two key criteria, devised by the geotechnical engineers, were used asthe basis for the susceptibility modelling. These were – “peat is in excess <strong>of</strong> 0.5m thick or the peat slope isgreater than 15º”. Three different runs <strong>of</strong> the susceptibility model were done. In the first run the key input mapswere the EPA Soil and Subsoils Maps (prepared by the Spatial Analysis Group at Teagasc), and a Slope Mapderived from the EPA-Teagasc DEM, which, when the two criteria were applied, produced the first run susceptibilitymap. This indicated a low percentage <strong>of</strong> occurrences <strong>of</strong> susceptibile areas. In the second run the Subsoils Mapand the Land Cover map were combined <strong>to</strong> give a Reclassified Peat Map. This was combined with the SlopeMap (slope > 15º) <strong>to</strong> give a second run susceptibility map which showed a greater area <strong>of</strong> susceptibility. In thethird run both criteria were used with all peat cover. The area <strong>of</strong> susceptibility increased again. The study onlyexamined peat areas and did not consider mineral soils.The study highlighted the challenges in incorporating highly resolved criteria such as those used in<strong>to</strong> deterministicregional mapping. The modelling process can be greatly improved by evaluating these relationships. Thereneeds <strong>to</strong> be comprehensive research on the issues raised by this study. Also, susceptibility rules for mineralsoils and rock need <strong>to</strong> be devised, and the issue <strong>of</strong> run-out areas downslope needs <strong>to</strong> be considered in themodelling. This susceptibility mapping provides the potential for the development <strong>of</strong> planning guidance in thefuture.A second susceptibility pilot project was undertaken in the Bréifne Area covering parts <strong>of</strong> Counties Sligo,Cavan, and Leitrim. Several thematic datasets were used including bedrock geology, Quaternary geology, rockoutcrop, and Land Cover. This last, the Land Cover Map produced by Teagasc, was the most suitable. A 20mDEM, black and white orthopho<strong>to</strong>graphy, and colour stereopho<strong>to</strong>graphy were the main digital datasets used.The Landsat ETM was not used due <strong>to</strong> its poor spatial resolution. The two geotechnical criteria used in theMayo project were used here. As a result <strong>of</strong> this image interpretation and fieldwork 706 landslide events wereidentified and subdivided in<strong>to</strong> four groups – bedrock slides, peat slides, flows, and falls.A full statistical analysis was done on these events in relation <strong>to</strong> their occurrence on the various thematiclayers as well as the slope, elevation, and aspect parameters. The resultant weightings were then used <strong>to</strong>produce a series <strong>of</strong> landslide susceptibility maps for the region. An error assessment was then done <strong>to</strong> comparethe distribution <strong>of</strong> the actual landslides with the predicted susceptibility zones. The correlation was a good one.This pilot project was important in that it identified the thematic and digital datasets which were <strong>of</strong> value.Fieldwork was an important component <strong>of</strong> the project, and the combination <strong>of</strong> image interpretation and fieldworkon an iterative basis proved <strong>to</strong> be a very effective method <strong>of</strong> study. Further research is needed <strong>to</strong> improve theclassification systems used, and other thematic and digital datasets need <strong>to</strong> be added <strong>to</strong> the model <strong>to</strong> improveits robustness.6. Landslides and PlanningThe Planning and Development Acts 2000-2004 provide the legal framework for the Irish planning system.National guidelines relevant <strong>to</strong> the development <strong>of</strong> unstable land are “Guidelines on Quarrying and AncillaryActivities (2004)” and “Draft Wind Energy Development Guidelines (2004)”. Most Development Plans do notcontain objectives with regard <strong>to</strong> unstable ground, except for coastal areas. The Building Control Act 1990,through the Building Regulations, imposes requirements on the design and construction <strong>of</strong> buildings <strong>to</strong> ensurethey are safe. The Regulations make no specific reference <strong>to</strong> landslide risk.Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) applies <strong>to</strong> certain Development Plans, Local Area Plans, andSpecial Development Zones (SDZ). It is a formal, systematic evaluation <strong>of</strong> the likely significant effects andiv
involves a <strong>report</strong> on the current state <strong>of</strong> the physical environment. The Irish Landslides Database could be avaluable baseline data input at the start <strong>of</strong> the SEA process. Environmental Impact Statements (EIS) have <strong>to</strong> becompleted for specified projects. The <strong>to</strong>pics <strong>to</strong> be covered in an EIS are set out in the Regulations pertaining <strong>to</strong>such statements. Geology is not specifically mentioned, but the EPA Guidelines for them do make reference<strong>to</strong> consideration <strong>of</strong> all the natural materials underlying a development so geology should be considered.The United Kingdom (UK) has a lot more landslides than <strong>Ireland</strong>. England and Wales have specific guidance onlandslides and planning. These are PPG 14 “Landslides and Planning” and PPG 20 “Coastal Planning”. Theguidance aims <strong>to</strong> advise all interested parties about the exercise <strong>of</strong> planning controls on lands which are, orpotentially are, unstable. It requires the carrying out <strong>of</strong> detailed identification and assessment <strong>of</strong> landslides.Given that there may be a greater frequency <strong>of</strong> landslides in the future due <strong>to</strong> the impact <strong>of</strong> climate change andthe increased pressure for development in remoter areas, it is important that the issue <strong>of</strong> land instability isaddressed at all stages <strong>of</strong> the planning process. This will require up <strong>to</strong> date information on landslide occurrencein a readily accessible format. Before this can be achieved the Irish Landslides Database needs <strong>to</strong> be expanded,and research work on landslide susceptibility mapping and hazard assessment needs <strong>to</strong> be undertaken. Thisresearch would require an appropriate level <strong>of</strong> funding. The preparation <strong>of</strong> national guidance on this issueshould be considered as part <strong>of</strong> the wider issue <strong>of</strong> natural hazards in general. Specific national guidance couldthen be formulated which could call upon a landslides database, require the identification <strong>of</strong> susceptible areasand the formulation <strong>of</strong> landslide risk assessments where relevant. The guidance would also ensure that thetype <strong>of</strong> development is suitable for the ground in question, and recommend that landslide mitigation measuresbe taken <strong>to</strong> reduce the risks linked <strong>to</strong> developments.7. Landslides in Northern <strong>Ireland</strong>Landslides occur in a number <strong>of</strong> different geological settings in Northern <strong>Ireland</strong> and in some cases constitutesignificant geohazards. Landslides are common around the edge <strong>of</strong> the basalt plateau in Counties Antrim andLondonderry where large, deep-seated rotational slip blocks <strong>of</strong> basalt and chalk were activated as a result <strong>of</strong>glacial erosion <strong>of</strong> the underlying s<strong>of</strong>ter Jurassic muds<strong>to</strong>nes. Mudflows and debris flows are also a significanthazard along the Antrim Coast Road. Catastrophic flows <strong>of</strong> mud, triggered by the ground saturation <strong>of</strong> theJurassic muds<strong>to</strong>ne after heavy rainfall, have blocked the road near Glenarm on many occasions. Rock falls arean ever present problem around the edge <strong>of</strong> the plateau in Counties Antrim and Londonderry, and the steepoverhanging basalt cliffs require continuing management with the use <strong>of</strong> geotextiles or rock anchors and, insome cases, removal <strong>of</strong> sections <strong>of</strong> the rock face. In 1998 the British <strong>Geological</strong> <strong>Survey</strong> (BGS) under<strong>to</strong>ok ageohazard research project on the Antrim coast which identified zones <strong>of</strong> landslide risk and described theconstraints <strong>to</strong> development within the various hazard zones.In Co. Fermanagh landslides and large block screes occur at the base <strong>of</strong> the steep mountain slopes and alongthe cliff lines at Magho, Belmore, and Cuilcagh. Glacial erosion produced oversteepening <strong>of</strong> the cliffs <strong>of</strong> limes<strong>to</strong>neand muds<strong>to</strong>ne and triggered rotational landslides. Although now mainly dormant, slope instability at Maghocontinues <strong>to</strong> affect the A46 road.Peat slides and bog bursts are rapid mass movements in upland peat areas triggered by heavy rainfall. Theyhave been recorded on the Antrim Plateau and on Cuilcagh Mountain in Co. Fermanagh. Peat failure is not fullyunders<strong>to</strong>od but there are some common fac<strong>to</strong>rs. The peat generally overlies a low permeability mineral soillayer and there is connectivity between the surface drainage and the peat/impermeable layer interface. Theyare found on a convex slope or a slope with a break <strong>of</strong> slope at its head, and in proximity <strong>to</strong> local drainage.Upland peat areas are under pressure from wind farm developments and developers are now routinely asked <strong>to</strong>assess the risk <strong>of</strong> landslides in their Environmental Impact Assessment submissions.The <strong>Geological</strong> <strong>Survey</strong> <strong>of</strong> Northern <strong>Ireland</strong> (GSNI) is a statu<strong>to</strong>ry consultee <strong>to</strong> the Planning Service in Northern<strong>Ireland</strong> and provides advice on a range <strong>of</strong> geologically-related planning matters including landslide risk.It is difficult <strong>to</strong> predict whether or not landslide risk will increase as a result <strong>of</strong> future climate change. Thepredicted increase in amounts and intensity <strong>of</strong> winter precipitation, accompanied by increasing severity <strong>of</strong>winter gales, could increase the risk <strong>of</strong> slope instability.A landslides database for Northern <strong>Ireland</strong> would help raise awareness <strong>of</strong> landslide hazard and provide animproved capability <strong>to</strong> deliver geological information <strong>to</strong> key stakeholders. It is therefore recommended thatlandslides in Northern <strong>Ireland</strong> be fully documented in a database, and, where appropriate, research be undertakenin<strong>to</strong> landslide risk assessment and landslide susceptibility mapping. Consideration should also be given <strong>to</strong> thedevelopment <strong>of</strong> a detailed Planning Policy Statement similar <strong>to</strong> PPG 14 “Development on Unstable Ground”already in operation in England and Wales.v
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CHAPTER 5.2 - TABLE APPENDIXBedrock
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6. LANDSLIDES AND PLANNINGAileen Do
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6.5 Current Practice on Landslides
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Identifying, recognizing, and predi
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In the case of vulnerability mappin
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Steep slopes in glacial tillMichael
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9. RECOMMENDATIONS FOR FUTURE WORK9
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Priority 1 Peat slides and peat str
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TEXT REFERENCESAcreman, M., 1991. T
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Skipper, J., Follett, B., Menkiti,
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APPENDIX 2Glossary of TermsBlanket
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APPENDIX 3Nomenclature for Landslid
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Hammond, R. 1979. The Peatlands of
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APPENDIX 7Useful Web Linkswww.gsi.i