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to download report - Geological Survey of Ireland

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for susceptibility mapping purposes. The table shows that the newly defined peat class for input <strong>to</strong> thesusceptibility modelling process would potentially include some peaty podzol categories which are a mineralsoil with a peaty surface horizon. This is primarily due <strong>to</strong> the fact that these classes mapped by soil surveyinclude both peaty podzols and peat which, in hill and mountain environments, <strong>of</strong>ten intergrade in<strong>to</strong> each otherover short distances.Similarly it was decided <strong>to</strong> include all peat derived from this selection process despite the criteria suggestinguse <strong>of</strong> peat greater than 50cm in depth. This was again deemed justifiable on the basis <strong>of</strong> the inherent variability<strong>of</strong> soil/peat classes in the field. Combined with the established field mapping specification for peats whichrequires them <strong>to</strong> be >40cm in depth in an undrained state it was considered that for conservative purposes insusceptibility mapping all peat classes derived from this modelling process would be included.The model process for the second run susceptibility map is described in Fig. 5.7. The second susceptibilitymap is shown in Fig. 5.6. Here the susceptible areas have not been adjusted for display purposes. It isapparent that there is a significantly greater area classified as susceptible in this output.Fig. 5.7 Model schematic for second susceptibilty mapFor the final model run both criteria for landslide hazard assessment were included in the map process. In thisfinal run <strong>of</strong> the susceptibility map, the output <strong>of</strong> the second run susceptibility map was combined with allsubsoils mapped as peat. Once again, all peat mapped in the subsoils map was included on the basis that inthe majority <strong>of</strong> cases most mapped peat will approach or be greater than the 50cm depth limit specified by thehazard criteria. The results <strong>of</strong> this model run are shown in Fig. 5.8.Once again there is a significant increase in the area mapped as susceptible <strong>to</strong> landslide. Fig. 5.9 shows theareas mapped as susceptible by all three approaches as percentages <strong>of</strong> the <strong>to</strong>tal land area <strong>of</strong> Co. Mayo.Whereas previously the areas mapped as susceptible were confined <strong>to</strong> predominantly upland areas, whereslopes would be expected <strong>to</strong> be in excess <strong>of</strong> 15º, the inclusion <strong>of</strong> the criteria relating <strong>to</strong> peat greatly extendsthe area and range <strong>of</strong> susceptible areas, accounting for 42% <strong>of</strong> the <strong>to</strong>tal land area in Co. Mayo. While appearinglarge, this figure is not necessarily an incorrect or exaggerated result. When viewed in light <strong>of</strong> the eventsrecorded in the landslide database and their coincidence with susceptible-mapped areas, the results suggestthat there is merit <strong>to</strong> the development <strong>of</strong> susceptibility mapping in the manner described here. This is furthersupported by the fact that in all three model runs the Polla<strong>to</strong>mish area is identified as being susceptible <strong>to</strong>landslide hazard. However, uncertainties inherent in the model output should be investigated fully.It is important <strong>to</strong> note that this case study focuses only on organic soils and their susceptibility <strong>to</strong> landslide.Mineral soils and rock areas have not been evaluated. Furthermore, the issue <strong>of</strong> run-out zones, which are areasoccurring in landslide fall-lines, has not been examined here and such areas have not been incorporated in<strong>to</strong>the map. It could be argued that the investigation and mapping <strong>of</strong> run-out zones should be deemed a veryimportant area for future research.Susceptibility maps tend <strong>to</strong>wards mapping landslide initiation sites only, which are those sites where theenvironmental conditions prevailing suggest the possibility <strong>of</strong> a landslide hazard. However those areas downslope<strong>of</strong> the initiation site will not be mapped in many susceptibility efforts as these will not exhibit conditions known<strong>to</strong> be associated with landslide initiation. These areas in the fall-zone are more likely <strong>to</strong> be inhabited ordeveloped and therefore where the proper assessment <strong>of</strong> risk <strong>of</strong> landslide events should be targeted.44

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