PIK Biennial Report 2000-2001 - Potsdam Institute for Climate ...

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Impressum Publisher Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung e.V. (PIK) Postal address P.O. Box 601203 14412 Potsdam Germany Visitor address Telegrafenberg 14473 Potsdam Germany Phone +49 - 331-288-2500 Fax +49 - 331-288-2600 E-mail pik@pik-potsdam.de Internet http://www.pik-potsdam.de Main Editor Margret Boysen Technical Management Dietmar Gibietz-Rheinbay Layout Margret Boysen (photo layout), Dietmar Gibietz-Rheinbay (template design), Wilhelmine Seelig, Ursula Werner (technical assistance). Cover design: POLYFORM, Büro für Grafik- und Produktdesign, Berlin. Printed by neue odersche Verlag und Medien GmbH Photo and Illustration Credits Illustrations: Front cover: Pol de Limbourg “Très Riches Heures du duc de Berry”, Janvier: le duc à table (banquet scene), vellum, 15th Century, Calendrier, Ms. 65/ 1284 f.1v, Musée Condé, Chantilly, France, © Giraudon/Brigdeman Art Library. Back cover: Pol de Limbourg, “Très Riches Heures du duc de Berry”, Novembre: la glandée; (feeding acorns to the pigs), vellum, avec zodiaque, 15th Century, Calendrier. Ms. 65/1284 f.11v, vellum. Musée Condé, Chantilly, France, © Giraudon/Bridgeman Art Library. Inside: all illustrations by PIK scientists or from publications to which PIK scientists have contributed, except: p. 13: Simon Bening, “Die Sintflut”, 16. Jh. © Faksimile Verlag Luzern (www.faksimile.ch); p. 104: reprinted with permission from: Vörösmarty, C.J. et al., 2000, Science, 289, pp. 284-288, © AAAS; p. 101 POLYFORM, Büro für Grafik- und Produktdesign; p. 90, p. 100: Architektenbüro Borck, Boye, Schaefer. Photos by: ARDAU Weinimport GmbH (www.hola-iberica.de): p. 75; Hans Bach: (© PIK) pp. 19, 20, 22, 87, 92 bottom, 93 middle, 94 middle, 95, 96 1st row right, 97, 100 right; Helmut Biess: (© PIK) p. 14; Friedrich Karl Borck: p. 96 2nd row middle; Heinke Boysen: p. 111; Margret Boysen: pp. 83 right, 89, 92 top, (© PIK) pp. 18, 21; Lutz Hannemann: (© PIK) pp. 5, 10; Hans Hubberten: p. 85 (detail); F. Krügler: p. 85 (detail; © DMG); Matthew C. Larsen, U.S. Geological Survey: p. 37; Lothar Lindenhan: (© Architektenbüro Borck, Boye, Schaefer) pp. 92 middle, 93 top, 94 left; 96 3rd row left, 96 3rd row middle, (© PIK) pp. 9, 81, 82 left, middle, 83 middle, 96 2nd row left, 96 2nd row right, 96 3rd row right, 96 bottom row left, 96 bottom row middle, 96 bottom row right, 99, 100 left; NASA: p. 85; Stefan Rahmstorf: pp. 82 right, 83 left; Restaurierungsbetrieb für Architekturfassungen Hans Karo: p. 96; Dietrich Schaefer: pp. 11, 93 bottom; Hans Joachim Schellnhuber: p. 71 (Sequoia sempervirens); Uwe Schröter: p. 38; Richard Simonis: p. 23 (Flooding in the Sossusvlei desert, Namibia, end of September 1997); Tokyo Shimbun: p. 9. The copyright is with the author, if not indicated otherwise.
Table of Contents Looking Back 5 The First 10 Years 7 Petra Schellnhuber: an Obituary 10 The Institute and its Mission 11 The Potsdam Approach to the Integrated Investigation of Climate Change 13 Departments 15 Five Scientific Departments to Advance the Knowledge Base 17 Climate System 18 Global Change & Natural Systems 19 Global Change & Social Systems 20 Integrated Systems Analysis 21 Data & Computation 22 Research 23 The Evolution of PIK’s Research Programme 25 TOPIK 1 - Nonlinear Dynamics of the Ecosphere 29 TOPIK 2 - Management of Singular Events 35 TOPIK 3 - Socio-economic Causes of Global Change 40 TOPIK 4 - Emergence of a Global Subject 42 TOPIK 5 - Regional Simulators 46 TOPIK 6 - Sectoral Climate Sensitivity 50 TOPIK 7 - PIKuliar Culture 54 Completed Projects 60 Sustainability Science 71 Integrating Science for Sustainability 73 Coevolution of Nature, Society and Science - The Dynamics of a Complex Relationship Becomes Critical 73 The First Sustainability Days 79 The First Sustainability Days and the 10th Anniversary of PIK 81 The New Main Building 87 The Historic Astrophysical Observatory 89 From the Royal Astrophysical Observatory to the Climate Impact Research Institute 90 3
Page 4 and 5: The New High-Performance Computer 9
Page 7 and 8: The First 10 Years By Udo E. Simoni
Page 9 and 10: Understanding the Earth system is a
Page 11: The Institute and its Mission
Page 14 and 15: major contributions from the Europe
Page 17 and 18: Five Scientific Departments to Adva
Page 19 and 20: Global Change & Natural Systems Hea
Page 21 and 22: Integrated Systems Analysis Co-Head
Page 23: Research
Page 26 and 27: Table 1: Internal Contest of Ideas
Page 28 and 29: Catalogue of TOOLs INTEGRATED SYSTE
Page 30 and 31: Holocene (the past ~10,000 years).
Page 32 and 33: Research Questions • How do we de
Page 34 and 35: Model Structure and Design The desi
Page 36 and 37: We have built a module of investmen
Page 38 and 39: The implementation of this inter-di
Page 40 and 41: TOPIK 3 - Socio-economic Causes of
Page 42 and 43: TOPIK 4 - Emergence of a Global Sub
Page 44 and 45: Subproject MANUS - “Managers of G
Page 46 and 47: TOPIK 5 - Regional Simulators Diffe
Page 48 and 49: Land-use Change in Developing Count
Page 50 and 51: TOPIK 6 - Sectoral Climate Sensitiv
Page 52 and 53:
esulting in unbalanced sugar/acid r
Page 54 and 55:
TOPIK 7 - PIKuliar Culture PIK oper
Page 56 and 57:
Fig. 4: Focus graph for the exam- H
Page 58 and 59:
investigate the effect of uncertain
Page 60 and 61:
Completed Projects QUESTIONS Qualit
Page 62 and 63:
POEM Potsdam Earth System Modelling
Page 64 and 65:
RAGTIME Regional Assessment of Glob
Page 66 and 67:
EUROPA European Network Activities
Page 68 and 69:
CHIEF Global Change Impacts on Euro
Page 71:
Sustainability Science
Page 74 and 75:
"coevolution science". This also pr
Page 76 and 77:
state government, whose promises co
Page 78 and 79:
ence will not hesitate to stage the
Page 81 and 82:
The First Sustainability Days and t
Page 83 and 84:
Scientific Symposia on the First Su
Page 85 and 86:
Palaeoperspectives on Global Sustai
Page 87:
The New Main Building
Page 90 and 91:
From the Royal Astrophysical Observ
Page 92 and 93:
92 tinctly set apart from the highe
Page 94 and 95:
A project to expand the building wa
Page 96 and 97:
Rediscovering hidden beauty. Ceilin
Page 99 and 100:
The Big 42-Check - an Interview Q:
Page 101 and 102:
Scientific Relations
Page 103 and 104:
A Network for Our Future Understand
Page 105 and 106:
issues, and integration of discipli
Page 107 and 108:
place in October 2001 and was part
Page 109 and 110:
Public Relations
Page 111 and 112:
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impac
Page 113 and 114:
Appendix
Page 115 and 116:
Organization Chart
Page 117 and 118:
Board of Trustees Chair: State/Fede
Page 119 and 120:
eclipse of August 11, 1999. Meteoro
Page 121 and 122:
per unit leaf area in Solanum melon
Page 123 and 124:
In: Public participation and integr
Page 125 and 126:
Hoff, H. (2000): Deep rooted or: Ho
Page 127 and 128:
Schaaf, C.; Strahler, A.; Gao, F.;
Page 129 and 130:
and future climate changes: North-s
Page 131 and 132:
131 Lectures at PIK (continued) Dat
Page 133 and 134:
Symposia Name of Event Place and Da
Page 135 and 136:
135 External Funding Project Name A
Page 137 and 138:
137 Project Name Acronym Reference
Page 139 and 140:
139 Project Name Acronym Reference
Page 141 and 142:
Co-operations Australia Institution
Page 143 and 144:
Germany Institution/Location Type o
Page 145 and 146:
Institution/Location Type of co-ope
Page 147 and 148:
Page 149 and 150:
Universität Marburg, FB Wirtschaft
Page 151 and 152:
Page 153 and 154:
Switzerland Institution/Location Ty
Page 155 and 156:
Page 157 and 158:
Schröder, Birgit Schröter, Dr. Da
Page 159 and 160:
Notes 159
Page 161 and 162:
Publications 2000 Publications, pee
Page 163 and 164:
Republic, IHP-V, Technical Document
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