Impressum Publisher <strong>Potsdam</strong> <strong>Institute</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> Impact Research (<strong>PIK</strong>) <strong>Potsdam</strong>-Institut für Klimafolgen<strong>for</strong>schung e.V. (<strong>PIK</strong>) Postal address P.O. Box 601203 14412 <strong>Potsdam</strong> Germany Visitor address Telegrafenberg 14473 <strong>Potsdam</strong> Germany Phone +49 - 331-288-2500 Fax +49 - 331-288-2600 E-mail pik@pik-potsdam.de Internet http://www.pik-potsdam.de Main Editor Margret Boysen Technical Management Dietmar Gibietz-Rheinbay Layout Margret Boysen (photo layout), Dietmar Gibietz-Rheinbay (template design), Wilhelmine Seelig, Ursula Werner (technical assistance). Cover design: POLYFORM, Büro für Grafik- und Produktdesign, Berlin. Printed by neue odersche Verlag und Medien GmbH Photo and Illustration Credits Illustrations: Front cover: Pol de Limbourg “Très Riches Heures du duc de Berry”, Janvier: le duc à table (banquet scene), vellum, 15th Century, Calendrier, Ms. 65/ 1284 f.1v, Musée Condé, Chantilly, France, © Giraudon/Brigdeman Art Library. Back cover: Pol de Limbourg, “Très Riches Heures du duc de Berry”, Novembre: la glandée; (feeding acorns to the pigs), vellum, avec zodiaque, 15th Century, Calendrier. Ms. 65/1284 f.11v, vellum. Musée Condé, Chantilly, France, © Giraudon/Bridgeman Art Library. Inside: all illustrations by <strong>PIK</strong> scientists or from publications to which <strong>PIK</strong> scientists have contributed, except: p. 13: Simon Bening, “Die Sintflut”, 16. Jh. © Faksimile Verlag Luzern (www.faksimile.ch); p. 104: reprinted with permission from: Vörösmarty, C.J. et al., <strong>2000</strong>, Science, 289, pp. 284-288, © AAAS; p. 101 POLYFORM, Büro für Grafik- und Produktdesign; p. 90, p. 100: Architektenbüro Borck, Boye, Schaefer. Photos by: ARDAU Weinimport GmbH (www.hola-iberica.de): p. 75; Hans Bach: (© <strong>PIK</strong>) pp. 19, 20, 22, 87, 92 bottom, 93 middle, 94 middle, 95, 96 1st row right, 97, 100 right; Helmut Biess: (© <strong>PIK</strong>) p. 14; Friedrich Karl Borck: p. 96 2nd row middle; Heinke Boysen: p. 111; Margret Boysen: pp. 83 right, 89, 92 top, (© <strong>PIK</strong>) pp. 18, 21; Lutz Hannemann: (© <strong>PIK</strong>) pp. 5, 10; Hans Hubberten: p. 85 (detail); F. Krügler: p. 85 (detail; © DMG); Matthew C. Larsen, U.S. Geological Survey: p. 37; Lothar Lindenhan: (© Architektenbüro Borck, Boye, Schaefer) pp. 92 middle, 93 top, 94 left; 96 3rd row left, 96 3rd row middle, (© <strong>PIK</strong>) pp. 9, 81, 82 left, middle, 83 middle, 96 2nd row left, 96 2nd row right, 96 3rd row right, 96 bottom row left, 96 bottom row middle, 96 bottom row right, 99, 100 left; NASA: p. 85; Stefan Rahmstorf: pp. 82 right, 83 left; Restaurierungsbetrieb für Architekturfassungen Hans Karo: p. 96; Dietrich Schaefer: pp. 11, 93 bottom; Hans Joachim Schellnhuber: p. 71 (Sequoia sempervirens); Uwe Schröter: p. 38; Richard Simonis: p. 23 (Flooding in the Sossusvlei desert, Namibia, end of September 1997); Tokyo Shimbun: p. 9. The copyright is with the author, if not indicated otherwise.
Table of Contents Looking Back 5 The First 10 Years 7 Petra Schellnhuber: an Obituary 10 The <strong>Institute</strong> and its Mission 11 The <strong>Potsdam</strong> Approach to the Integrated Investigation of <strong>Climate</strong> Change 13 Departments 15 Five Scientific Departments to Advance the Knowledge Base 17 <strong>Climate</strong> System 18 Global Change & Natural Systems 19 Global Change & Social Systems 20 Integrated Systems Analysis 21 Data & Computation 22 Research 23 The Evolution of <strong>PIK</strong>’s Research Programme 25 TO<strong>PIK</strong> 1 - Nonlinear Dynamics of the Ecosphere 29 TO<strong>PIK</strong> 2 - Management of Singular Events 35 TO<strong>PIK</strong> 3 - Socio-economic Causes of Global Change 40 TO<strong>PIK</strong> 4 - Emergence of a Global Subject 42 TO<strong>PIK</strong> 5 - Regional Simulators 46 TO<strong>PIK</strong> 6 - Sectoral <strong>Climate</strong> Sensitivity 50 TO<strong>PIK</strong> 7 - <strong>PIK</strong>uliar Culture 54 Completed Projects 60 Sustainability Science 71 Integrating Science <strong>for</strong> Sustainability 73 Coevolution of Nature, Society and Science - The Dynamics of a Complex Relationship Becomes Critical 73 The First Sustainability Days 79 The First Sustainability Days and the 10th Anniversary of <strong>PIK</strong> 81 The New Main Building 87 The Historic Astrophysical Observatory 89 From the Royal Astrophysical Observatory to the <strong>Climate</strong> Impact Research <strong>Institute</strong> 90 3
- Page 4 and 5: The New High-Performance Computer 9
- Page 7 and 8: The First 10 Years By Udo E. Simoni
- Page 9 and 10: Understanding the Earth system is a
- Page 11: The Institute and its Mission
- Page 14 and 15: major contributions from the Europe
- Page 17 and 18: Five Scientific Departments to Adva
- Page 19 and 20: Global Change & Natural Systems Hea
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- Page 26 and 27: Table 1: Internal Contest of Ideas
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- Page 32 and 33: Research Questions • How do we de
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esulting in unbalanced sugar/acid r
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TOPIK 7 - PIKuliar Culture PIK oper
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Fig. 4: Focus graph for the exam- H
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investigate the effect of uncertain
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Completed Projects QUESTIONS Qualit
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POEM Potsdam Earth System Modelling
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RAGTIME Regional Assessment of Glob
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EUROPA European Network Activities
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CHIEF Global Change Impacts on Euro
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Sustainability Science
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"coevolution science". This also pr
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state government, whose promises co
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ence will not hesitate to stage the
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The First Sustainability Days and t
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Scientific Symposia on the First Su
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Palaeoperspectives on Global Sustai
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The New Main Building
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From the Royal Astrophysical Observ
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92 tinctly set apart from the highe
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A project to expand the building wa
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Rediscovering hidden beauty. Ceilin
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The Big 42-Check - an Interview Q:
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Scientific Relations
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A Network for Our Future Understand
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issues, and integration of discipli
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place in October 2001 and was part
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Public Relations
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Potsdam Institute for Climate Impac
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Appendix
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Organization Chart
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Board of Trustees Chair: State/Fede
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eclipse of August 11, 1999. Meteoro
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per unit leaf area in Solanum melon
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In: Public participation and integr
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Hoff, H. (2000): Deep rooted or: Ho
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Schaaf, C.; Strahler, A.; Gao, F.;
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and future climate changes: North-s
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131 Lectures at PIK (continued) Dat
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Symposia Name of Event Place and Da
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135 External Funding Project Name A
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137 Project Name Acronym Reference
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139 Project Name Acronym Reference
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Co-operations Australia Institution
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Germany Institution/Location Type o
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Institution/Location Type of co-ope
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Institution/Location Type of co-ope
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Universität Marburg, FB Wirtschaft
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Institution/Location Type of co-ope
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Switzerland Institution/Location Ty
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Institution/Location Type of co-ope
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Schröder, Birgit Schröter, Dr. Da
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Notes 159
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Publications 2000 Publications, pee
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Republic, IHP-V, Technical Document