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Deliverable D 1.3 RESULTS OF META-ANALYSIS ... - cast-eu.org

Deliverable D 1.3 RESULTS OF META-ANALYSIS ... - cast-eu.org

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Campaigns and awareness raising strategies in traffic safety — <strong>Deliverable</strong> D-1.17.5.3 SCOPEDimensions of campaign scope considered were duration, scale andspecificity. To examine any link between the length of a campaign and itseffect, we grouped the effects according to duration of their correspondingcampaigns, and looked for any differences in overall effects between thesegroups (Table 7.28).Table 7.28. Overall effect of road safety campaigns on road accidents and seatbelt useaccording to length of campaign. Results are given after accounting for publication bias.Each overall effect is based on n individual effects (excluding any artificial effects generatedby trim-and-fill).AccidentsSeatbelt usecampaigndurationeffect(%)95%confidenceinterval (%)nSig.?(p < 0.05)effect(%)95%confidenceinterval (%)nSig.?(p < 0.05)52 weeks -12 (-20;-2) 29 yes +57 (+28;+94) 5 yesAs can be seen, in this sample there is no clear link between duration andeffect, whether this is measured in accident counts or in percentage seatbeltuse. An apparent pattern of decreasing improvements in seatbelt use withcampaign duration, from +78 per cent for campaigns lasting less than a weekto +14 per cent for those lasting between 12 and 52 weeks, is confounded bythe strong overall effect (+52 per cent) of campaigns lasting over a year,although the latter is only based on five effects.Likewise there is no clear link between the scale of the campaigns in thissample – as defined by whether they are carried out at a local, regional ornational level – and effect (Table 7.29).Table 7.29. Overall effect of road safety campaigns on road accidents and seatbelt useaccording to scale of campaign. Results are given after accounting for publication bias. Eachoverall effect is based on n individual effects (excluding any artificial effects generated bytrim-and-fill).AccidentsSeatbelt usescaleeffect(%)95%confidenceinterval (%)nSig.?(p < 0.05)effect(%)95%confidenceinterval (%)nSig.?(p < 0.05)local -5 (-13;+4) 23 no +27 (+20;+35) 95 yesregional -13 (-18;-8) 68 yes +34 (+19;+51) 20 yesnational -8 (-15;-1) 14 yes +17 (+3;+33) 13 yes78

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