In addition <strong>to</strong> broadening the debate from the relatively-narrow, biophysical research onimpacts of climate change on crop growth, the GECAFS food system concept was speciallydesigned <strong>to</strong> enhance interdisciplinary research on the two-way interactions between GEC andefforts <strong>to</strong> meet food security. Integrating the notions of food system activities with foodsecurity outcomes (Figure 1), the GECAFS food system concept provides a framework fordesigning research <strong>to</strong> systematically analyse a wide range of GEC-food security interactionsand questions. It has proven robust across a range of socioeconomic and geographicalcontexts, strengthened by the recognition of the range of ‘scales’ and ‘levels’ inherent inmodern food systems. ‘Scale’ is the spatial, temporal, quantitative, or analytical dimensionsused <strong>to</strong> measure and study any phenomenon, and ‘levels’ is the units of analysis that arelocated at different positions on a scale (Gibson et al., 2000; Cash et al., 2006). Apredominant feature of 21 st Century food systems is that they are inherently cross-level andcross-scale (Ericksen et al., 2010a).The following examples illustrate the utility of this food system concept for improvingunderstanding of vulnerability of food systems <strong>to</strong> GEC; analysing the consequences oftechnical interventions on food security outcomes; analysing the consequences of foodsystem activities for environmental parameters; framing scenario analyses; and analysing thefood security dimension in international environmental assessments.Example 1: Analysing the vulnerability of food systems <strong>to</strong> GEC and identifyingadaptation optionsThere is a rich and diverse food security literature addressing the vulnerability of individualsand/or households <strong>to</strong> a range of stresses including GEC (e.g. (Adger, 2006; Ericksen, 2008b;Misselhorn et al., 2010)). By considering the whole food system, it is possible <strong>to</strong> identifywhere vulnerability arises within the full range of food system activity ‘determinants’, i.e. thefac<strong>to</strong>rs that determine how a given food system activity in undertaken/operates (Eakin, 2010).Focussing on these, rather than the food security outcomes per se, helps indicate what, whereand how adaptation measures <strong>to</strong> enhance food security in the face of GEC might be mosteffective. Further, looking across all food system activities offers the chance of identifyingintervention points that might not be apparent if, for instance, one only considers theagricultural aspect. This is exemplified by a case study of the vulnerability of district-levelfood systems <strong>to</strong> GEC in the Indo-Gangetic Plain.Major investment in infrastructure has allowed Ludhiana District of the Indian Punjab <strong>to</strong>developed very effective irrigated agriculture, but excessive ground water extraction (alocally-significant environmental change) has significantly lowered water tables, therebyreducing irrigation supply. This will be exacerbated by anticipated changes in rain and glaciermelt, leading <strong>to</strong> a major vulnerability point relating <strong>to</strong> producing food. This, in turn threatensthe ‘producing food’ activity, affecting the overall food production at the District-level andhence the ‘availability’ component of food security (Figure 1). In contrast, in the Ruhani42
Basin District in Nepal’s Terai region, where food production has his<strong>to</strong>rically often sufferedfrom poor harvests, local food security depends on the ability <strong>to</strong> move food from village <strong>to</strong>village, especially in times of stress. <strong>Food</strong> distribution infrastructure is however not robust,and increased flooding due <strong>to</strong> GEC-induced potential glacier melt coupled with more extremeweather will disrupt footpaths, bridges and other vital aspects, affecting the ‘distributing’activity, and thence the distribution element of food availability (Figure 1). The food systemapproach identified the principle vulnerability points in the two Districts and shows them <strong>to</strong>be quite different. They will need very different adaptation responses <strong>to</strong> reduce theirrespective vulnerabilities. Improved water governance would reduce the food systemvulnerability in the Indian case (Aggarwal et al., 2004), while in the Nepali case, investmentin infrastructure and policies for strategic food reserves at local level are needed (Dixit,2003).Adaptation options <strong>to</strong> reduce food system vulnerability tend <strong>to</strong> focus on technicalinterventions <strong>to</strong> increase food production. By and large, and as noted above, these aretargeted at increasing yields of crops, lives<strong>to</strong>ck or fish, and are important in many parts of theworld, especially sub-Saharan Africa. These are complemented by advances in food s<strong>to</strong>rage,processing and packaging which have helped limit post-harvest losses and combat foodwaste. However, and as the Indian and Nepali cases show, options <strong>to</strong> adapt <strong>to</strong> the additionalstresses that GEC will bring also need <strong>to</strong> be vigorously explored in the policy domain. Thesemay be particularly effective when considered at regional level and over multiple years(Liverman and Ingram, 2010). Examples include establishing strategic grain reserves for aregion, harmonizing regional trade and quarantine agreements, introducing water pricing andagreeing the sharing of water and other natural resources (Aggarwal et al., 2004), (Drimie etal., 2011). Other options related <strong>to</strong> improving regional infrastructure, such as road, rail andharbour facilities allow the rapid movement of food in a crisis. These all need <strong>to</strong> beconsidered when seeking ways <strong>to</strong> reduce the vulnerability of the food system <strong>to</strong> GEC, and theGECAFS framework helps <strong>to</strong> remind researchers and decision-makers of the wide range ofpotentials interventions that need <strong>to</strong> be considered.Example 2: Analysing the consequences of interventions on food security outcomesExample 1 discusses the identification of food system ‘vulnerability points’ and considersadaptation interventions in different food system activities (producing food and distributingfood). When discussing adaptation interventions in response <strong>to</strong> GEC, it is important <strong>to</strong>explicitly state how a given intervention <strong>to</strong> a food system activity will affect the ‘target’ foodsecurity element. While adapting agronomic practice can have direct and clear impact onincreasing food production, the impacts of more novel technologies on other food securityoutcomes may be less obvious, especially when applied <strong>to</strong> other food system activities. Theseinclude information and telecommunications (ITC) technologies which are playing everincreasingroles in food systems. Although perhaps less relevant <strong>to</strong> developing worldsituations (at least at present) will likely constitute important <strong>to</strong>ols in the basket of adaptation43
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BIELAK, A., HOLMES, J., SAVGÅRD, J
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EAKIN, H. 2010. What is Vulnerable?
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Curriculum VitaeFollowing a BSc in