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Full report. - Social Research and Demonstration Corp

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learn$ave Project: Final Reportcompared to the learn$ave-only group (just 80 per centmet the same test of activity). If the program outputis measured by the number of active participants, theaverage present value cost was about $100 lower for thelearn$ave-only group ($4,755 per active participant) thanfor learn$ave-plus group ($4,861). The small increasein active participation for the learn$ave-plus groupexceeded the small increase in cost due to the additionalservices provided.Results for another program output measure, theamount of learn$ave savings accumulated, indicateminimal increases in unit costs due to the services. Theaverage present value of peak learn$ave savings was$925 for learn$ave-only group members <strong>and</strong> $982 forlearn$ave-plus (as observed in Table 8.1). As a result,the average costs per dollar of participant savings were$4.13 <strong>and</strong> $4.17, respectively. This means that, while theaddition of the services to the matched savings creditgenerated a somewhat higher delivery cost for thelearn$ave-plus group, the additional services slightlyreduced cost-efficiency, as the increased savings inducedby the services outweighed the additional cost incurredfor them.Compared to studies of the cost-efficiency of the U.S.ADD IDA program, learn$ave was more cost-efficientin encouraging savings. As noted, the total cost perparticipant-dollar-saved was between $4.13 <strong>and</strong> $4.17,both lower than the ADD cost of $4.56. 13 If only deliverycosts are considered (i.e., excluding the cost of the matchingsavings credits), then learn$ave-plus costs were $2.10per dollar saved (about $2.065 / $982; Table 8.1), comparedto $3.06 for the ADD program (Schreiner, 2005).Although learn$ave compares very favourably, there wereimportant differences, however, between the projectsthat may help to explain some of these differences incost-efficiency. For example, the ADD results are based onan IDA with a much broader range of savings goals, whichmay have affected the costs of the matched withdrawalsprocess. The ADD results are also based on data from anearlier period (1998–2003) than learn$ave with differentinterest rates <strong>and</strong> it used a lower match rate (just 1:1 or2:1 compared to learn$ave’s 3:1).A third output measure is the number of participantsattending education or training. Because educationenrolment rates were similar to the proportions ofactive participants in each program group, the costs perparticipant-attending education were at a similar level($4,516 for learn$ave-only group members <strong>and</strong> $4,724 for13 SRDC calculations are based on information from Schreiner (2005). Inflation is not controlledfor, though it would not greatly affect the results because of the short timeframe of theprojects <strong>and</strong> low inflation present over that period.learn$ave-plus). These figures are 1.5 times the averagecost of an EI Employment Benefits <strong>and</strong> Support Measure(EBSM) intervention of $2,977 per person per year, 14though it should be noted that EI-supported trainingtends to be short term.Cost-effectivenessCost-efficiency does not necessarily imply costeffectiveness.If most participants would have takeneducation or training in the absence of learn$ave, thenthe project’s cost-effectiveness would be very low.Cost-effectiveness estimates are meaningful only whenthe impacts of the program are statistically significantlypositive. The current discussion is limited to thoselearn$ave impacts that were statistically significant<strong>and</strong> positive (as discussed in Chapter 7). Note, again,that education impact estimates used here are for allparticipants, whereas those presented in Chapter 7 arefor just education stream participants. Table 8.2 showsthe cost-effectiveness of learn$ave in encouragingparticipation in adult learning. On top of the 79.2 per centof control group members who took education or trainingduring the 54-month duration of the project, the impactswere a 5.5-percentage-point increase for matched creditsalone on the learn$ave-only group <strong>and</strong> a 7.5-percentagepointincrease for matched the credits <strong>and</strong> servicescombined for the learn$ave-plus group. This means that,of the 84.7 per cent of the learn$ave-only group who wereinduced into education through the matched credits,93.5 per cent (79 / 84.5) would have done so without thecredits. In other words, for each person who was inducedinto education by the matched credits <strong>and</strong> would havenot done so without the credits, the government paid forabout 14.5 others who would have gone to school withoutthe credits. This has implications for cost-effectiveness, aswill be discussed below.The results indicate that, based on the per capita costof $3,824 for learn$ave-only, the financial incentive(matched credits) cost the government $70,168 ($3,824 /5.45 per cent) to induce each additional person to acquireeducation <strong>and</strong> training, which includes the cost of thewindfall gains of those who would have entered educationor training without the learn$ave credits. When the financialincentive is combined with the enhanced services inthe learn$ave-plus group, the cost-effectiveness actuallyimproves to about $55,000 per participant ($54,966 =$4,095 / 7.45 per cent). The difference is due to the largerimpacts in the learn$ave-plus group even though thissame group showed higher costs per participant. For a14 According to the 2007 EI Monitoring <strong>and</strong> Assessment Report (HRSDC, 2007), totalexpenditures on EBSM interventions was about $2,0867 million in fiscal year 2006/2007<strong>and</strong> the number of claimants was 618,202. After adjusting for inflation, the average costwas $2,977 per person per year in constant 2002 dollars.<strong>Social</strong> <strong>Research</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Demonstration</strong> <strong>Corp</strong>oration Chapter 8 | 97

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