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Full report. - Social Research and Demonstration Corp

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learn$ave Project: Final ReportTable 5.4 Initial Typology of learn$ave Savers According to Saving/Dissaving PatternsPattern of Account UseDescriptionAssociated BaselineCharacteristicsUnsuccessful /disengagedNo savings or very low savings(less than $120) <strong>and</strong> little/no dissavingStruggling Modest savings ($120-$999.99)<strong>and</strong> very high rates of dissavingMay have used learn$ave as an inadvertentoperating account ratherthan strict savings accountModerateMore savings but less than maximum($1,000 to $1,483.33 <strong>and</strong>moderate rates of dissavingMay have had changes in circumstancethat precluded additionalsavingsEarly Quickly saved maximum ($1,500)within 18 month or less, little dissavingMay have been highly motivatedby learn$ave incentive; may havehad higher financial flexibility tomeet savings goals so earlyDeterminedSaved maximum but did so makinguse of longer saving period, littledissavingNone identified; not related tolower baseline incomes or financialconstraintsMore predominant amongCanadian-born, participants withlower level of prior education; notrelated to lower baseline incomesor observable financial constraintsMore predominant amongcanadian-born, participants withlower level of prior education; notrelated to lower baseline incomesor observable financial constraintsMore predominant among recentimmigrants to Canada <strong>and</strong> participantswith higher levels of prioreducationProportionof Participants10.6%12.7%11.8%43.0%None identified 21.9%project purposes. This stage of the program model is theoutlined box in Figure 5.7. As with any defined purposesavings account, it is important to emphasize that thelearn$ave accounts had a clear expected accumulation/saving phase <strong>and</strong> a clear expected investment phaseduring which the financial capital would be depleted. Thisperiod began no earlier than 12 months after entering theprogram (the earliest date that a participant could qualifyfor matched savings) <strong>and</strong> ended no later than 48 monthsafter entering the program (the time 12 months after thesaving period when learn$ave matched credits had to beused or forfeited).On average (Figure 5.8), at month 48 — the end ofthe saving period — participants had earned $3,077 inmatched credits, or about two-thirds (68.3 per cent)of the potential maximum of $4,500. It is important tonote that these earned credits are an average across allparticipants including the “early,” “struggling,” <strong>and</strong> allother types of savers in the project. It is also worth notingthat this figure is lower than the average credits earnedobserved at the end of the saving period ($3,267 at month36) because of dissaving (unmatched withdrawals)between months 36 <strong>and</strong> 48.Turning to credits use, by the end of the investmentperiod at month 48, participants spent $2,435, onaverage, for eligible project purposes (Table 5.5) orroughly 80 per cent of average available matched funds($3,077). An analysis of the use of learn$ave accountusage during the investment phase, however, should takeinto consideration use of own funds, as participants hadto use at least $1 of their own learn$ave savings for every$3 of matched credits used for approved purchases. Whenindividual participant own savings are imputed usingthe 3:1 match rate, we estimate an average participantat month 48 had $4,103 ($3,077 + $3,077/3) in availablefunds (disregarding approved purchases made) <strong>and</strong>invested a minimum of $3,247 ($2,435 + $2,435/3) ineligible project goals.The trend line in earning matched credits was heavilyinfluenced by the “early” <strong>and</strong> then “determined” savers,rising steeply from 0 to 12 months <strong>and</strong> then along aflatter slope from 12 to 36 months. The trend line inmatched credits used did rise more consistently overtime after 12 months, although perhaps less steeply<strong>and</strong> at a lower overall level than the project designersoriginally expected. 2 The sudden upturn in the averageuse of matched credits after month 46 almost certainlyreflects the last-minute efforts of participants to investavailable learn$ave funds before they expired, either oftheir own initiative or in response to reminders from casemanagers.2 Based on projections by SEDI for HRSDC’s project financial forecasting.<strong>Social</strong> <strong>Research</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Demonstration</strong> <strong>Corp</strong>oration Chapter 5 | 55

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