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MEASURING AND UNDERSTANDING THE IMPACT OF TERRORISM

2015 Global Terrorism Index Report_0_0

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ANNEX E<br />

ECONOMIC COSTS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>TERRORISM</strong> METHODOLOGY<br />

The costs of terrorism are calculated using data from the Global Terrorism Database<br />

(GTD), which is collated by the National Consortium of the Study of Terrorism and<br />

Responses to Terrorism (START). The model takes into account the direct and indirect<br />

costs associated with death and injury, as well as the direct costs from property<br />

damage and kidnapping.<br />

While the value of property damage is taken from the START<br />

database, the losses due to death and injury are calculated using<br />

IEPs costs from homicide (death) and assault (injury). The costs<br />

of homicides and assault are taken from McCollister (2010) as<br />

the cost of violent injury or death. This is then scaled to an<br />

individual country’s GDP per capita (GDP PPP) relative to the<br />

source of the estimate. The relative cost is then multiplied by<br />

the total number of deaths or injuries caused by terrorism for<br />

each country.<br />

FIGURE 44 ESTIMATED COSTS FROM AN<br />

ATTACK IN LEBANON ON 19 FEBRUARY 2014<br />

The major components of the costs from this<br />

attack were associated with the fatalities.<br />

This is consistent with the total economic<br />

costs of terrorism.<br />

The cost of property damage is taken from the average cost of<br />

an attack as shown in the START database. The START<br />

database contains the size of the attack and the type of attack,<br />

shown by the eight columns in table 14. As data is missing for<br />

some attacks, IEP takes the average cost for each category and<br />

applies it as a set unit cost.<br />

Injuries<br />

Property<br />

damage<br />

An example of the costing methodology can be shown using an<br />

incident which occurred in Beirut, Lebanon on 19, February<br />

2014. A minor bombing occurred in Beirut targeting private<br />

citizens. A total of seven people were killed and 64 wounded.<br />

According to IEPs estimations, the total economic cost of the<br />

event accumulated to US$27,812,477. This was comprised of<br />

$24,342,254 due to death (88 per cent), $3,067,860 due to injury<br />

(11 per cent) and $402,333 from property damage (1 per cent).<br />

Deaths<br />

Source: IEP calculations<br />

GLOBAL <strong>TERRORISM</strong> INDEX 2015 | Annexes<br />

99

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