MEASURING AND UNDERSTANDING THE IMPACT OF TERRORISM

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Quantifying Peace and its Benefits The Institute for Economics and Peace (IEP) is an independent, non-partisan, non-profit think tank dedicated to shifting the world’s focus to peace as a positive, achievable, and tangible measure of human well-being and progress. IEP achieves its goals by developing new conceptual frameworks to define peacefulness; providing metrics for measuring peace; and uncovering the relationships between business, peace and prosperity as well as promoting a better understanding of the cultural, economic and political factors that create peace. IEP has offices in Sydney, New York and Mexico City. It works with a wide range of partners internationally and collaborates with intergovernmental organizations on measuring and communicating the economic value of peace. For more information visit www.economicsandpeace.org SPECIAL THANKS to the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START) headquartered at the University of Maryland for their cooperation on this study and for providing the Institute for Economics and Peace with their Global Terrorism Database (GTD) datasets on terrorism.
CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2 ABOUT THE GLOBAL TERRORISM INDEX 6 1 RESULTS9 Global Terrorism Index map 10 Terrorist incidents map 12 Ten countries most impacted by terrorism 20 Terrorism compared to other forms of violence 30 2 TRENDS 33 Changes in the patterns and characteristics of terrorist activity 34 Terrorist group trends 38 Foreign fighters in Iraq and Syria 45 3 TERRORISM IN WESTERN COUNTRIES 49 Lone wolf terrorism in the West 54 Terrorism and the refugee crisis 59 4 ECONOMIC COSTS OF TERRORISM 61 Economic cost of government responses to terrorism 64 Terrorism and economic growth 66 5 CORRELATES & DRIVERS OF TERRORISM 67 The link between political terror and terrorism 70 The link between ongoing conflict and terrorism 71 Why individuals become foreign fighters for violent extremists groups 73 6 EXPERT CONTRIBUTIONS 76 — Dr Christina Schori Liang, Geneva Centre for Security Policy ISIL Inc.: A portrait of a modern terrorist enterprise 76 — Dr Andrew Glazzard and Raffaello Pantucci, Royal United Services Institute Extreme measures: The challenges and opportunities of measuring terrorism 80 — Dr Khalid Koser and Amy E. Cunningham, Global Community Engagement and Resilience Fund Migration, violent extremism and terrorism: Myths and realities 83 — Dr Anne Aly, Edith Cowan University Terrorism: Historical and contemporary issues 85 — Georgia Holmer, United States Institute of Peace What to do when foreign fighters come home 87 ANNEXES 89 Annex A: GTI ranks and scores, 2015 90 Annex B: 50 worst terrorist attacks in 2014 93 Annex C: Global Terrorism Index methodology 95 Annex D: Foreign fighters data source 98 Annex E: Economic costs of terrorism methodology 99 Annex F: Table of correlations100 ENDNOTES 105 GLOBAL TERRORISM INDEX 2015 1
Page 1: MEASURING AND UNDERSTANDING THE IMP
Page 5 and 6: The report highlights the striking
Page 7 and 8: Terrorism in Western Countries 3 Th
Page 9 and 10: In addition to this baseline defini
Page 11 and 12: RESULTS The 2015 Global Terrorism I
Page 13 and 14: 40 Paraguay 4.094 50 Ethiopia 3.544
Page 15 and 16: DATE COUNTRY CITY FATALITIES / INJU
Page 17 and 18: TABLE 1 NUMBER OF YEARS A COUNTRY H
Page 19 and 20: INCREASING SPREAD OF TERRORISM One
Page 21 and 22: The country with the second largest
Page 23 and 24: AFGHANISTAN INCIDENTS 1,591 PROPERT
Page 25 and 26: PAKISTAN INCIDENTS 1,821 PROPERTY D
Page 27 and 28: INDIA INCIDENTS 763 DEAD 416 PROPER
Page 29 and 30: SOMALIA INCIDENTS DEAD 469 801 PROP
Page 31 and 32: THAILAND INCIDENTS DEAD 156 366 654
Page 33 and 34: FIGURE 8 CITIES WITH HIGHEST HOMICI
Page 35 and 36: TRENDS Over the last 15 years, more
Page 37 and 38: FIGURE 10 NUMBER OF ATTACKS AND DEA
Page 39 and 40: 2014, 50 Sunni Muslim civilians wer
Page 41 and 42: TERRORISM & ONGOING CONFLICT The fi
Page 43 and 44: THE FIVE MOST DEADLY TERRORIST GROU
Page 45 and 46: convoy with members of the British
Page 47 and 48: FOREIGN FIGHTERS IN IRAQ & SYRIA Th
Page 49 and 50: FIGURE 20 FOREIGN FIGHTERS IN IRAQ
Page 51 and 52: TERRORISM IN WESTERN COUNTRIES Over
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TABLE 3 DEATHS FROM TERRORISM IN 20
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FIGURE 24 PERCENTAGE OF PEOPLE IN W
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The largest category of lone wolf a
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FIGURE 28 DEATHS BY LONE WOLF TERRO
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TERRORISM & THE REFUGEE CRISIS The
Page 63 and 64:
ECONOMIC COSTS OF TERRORISM The glo
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FIGURE 34 THE COSTS OF TERRORISM, U
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FIGURE 35 COSTS OF TERRORISM COMPAR
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CORRELATES & DRIVERS OF TERRORISM I
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In OECD countries, socio-economic f
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THE LINK BETWEEN ONGOING CONFLICT &
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WHY INDIVIDUALS BECOME FOREIGN FIGH
Page 77 and 78:
FIGURE 42 SYSTEMS MAP OF GTI CORREL
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colonel in the intelligence service
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as Facebook, Twitter, Tumblr, Sound
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statistics. As they were no longer
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MIGRATION, VIOLENT EXTREMISM AND TE
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community engagement and resilience
Page 89 and 90:
The internet is just one of the way
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ANNEXES GLOBAL TERRORISM INDEX 2015
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GTI RANK COUNTRY 2015 GTI SCORE (OU
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ANNEX B 50 WORST TERRORIST ATTACKS
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ANNEX C GLOBAL TERRORISM INDEX METH
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COMPARING THE GLOBAL TERRORISM DATA
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ANNEX E ECONOMIC COSTS OF TERRORISM
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CATEGORY SOURCE INDICATOR GLOBAL OE
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CATEGORY SOURCE INDICATOR GLOBAL OE
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END NOTES 1. Global Terrorism Datab
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49. Sources for the foreign fighter
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NOV 2015 / IEP REPORT 36 ISBN 978-0
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MEASURING AND UNDERSTANDING THE IMPACT OF TERRORISM

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