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MEASURING AND UNDERSTANDING THE IMPACT OF TERRORISM

2015 Global Terrorism Index Report_0_0

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colonel in the intelligence service of Saddam<br />

Hussein’s air defence force. Also known as<br />

the “Lord of the Shadows”, he meticulously<br />

designed the original structure of ISIL. His<br />

master plan represents the source code of<br />

how to create and run an “Islamic<br />

Intelligence State” resembling the Stasi, East<br />

Germany’s notorious domestic intelligence<br />

agency. 4 The plan articulates how to recruit<br />

followers, how to identify sources of income,<br />

and how to target influential families and<br />

military opponents. ISIL is also resultsoriented:<br />

it has articulated its strategic goals,<br />

complete with a 2020 vision and 14 key<br />

indicators that measure its monthly<br />

performance and investments from region to<br />

region. To emphasise its transparency and<br />

professionalism, it publishes an annual report<br />

which sets out its business strategy of terror<br />

and destruction, including specific<br />

investments, down to the cost of each<br />

suicide mission.<br />

<strong>THE</strong> ISIL BR<strong>AND</strong><br />

Moreover, ISIL has effectively managed its<br />

strategic branding. It uses online media tools<br />

to disseminate its vision of the caliphate.<br />

Similar to a start-up business, it retains its<br />

competitive advantage with its al-Hayat<br />

Media arm which oversees several media<br />

divisions and provides each province content<br />

that pays tribute to fighters and extols<br />

battlefield exploits. Its strategic messaging<br />

and use of media as a psychological weapon<br />

in war is used tactically to magnify its power,<br />

attract foreign fighters and new citizens, and<br />

win greater economic resources. It has not<br />

only populated social media platforms but<br />

has attracted a global network of supporters<br />

that articulate, magnify and circulate its<br />

violent extremist messages worldwide. So far<br />

little has been done to counter the ISIL’s<br />

digital campaign. 5<br />

One of the most powerful tools of the ISIL is<br />

the creation of its brand and image, linked to<br />

the notion that it is a modern-day “caliphate”.<br />

By creating this notion, ISIL presents itself as<br />

the vanguard of militant Islam, the only<br />

legitimate jihadist movement to hold territory<br />

and govern a pseudo state. It claims to offer<br />

an “authentic” way of life different from<br />

secularism. The ISIL propaganda machine<br />

maintains that it is providing medical, social,<br />

policing, and rescue services and an effective<br />

administration. 6<br />

ISIL has attempted to preserve its public<br />

service personnel in their jobs through<br />

pre-existing governance structures. Some<br />

services are even financed by Baghdad, which<br />

has continued to pay public employees. ISIL<br />

profits from this arrangement by forcing state<br />

employees to give “zakat” a percentage of<br />

their salary. ISIL obligates financially capable<br />

Muslims to pay a sum of their money and<br />

assets to the Caliph’s treasury. ISIL has a Zakat<br />

Department which is responsible for collecting<br />

the fee, it claims to use the money for locals in<br />

need. A research paper published earlier this<br />

month by Aymenn al-Tamimi found that ISIL<br />

documents obtained from pro- and anti-<br />

Islamic State sources pointed to a<br />

“bureaucratic system with a level of<br />

complexity and professionalism that probably<br />

makes the Islamic State sustainable, even<br />

under containment.” 7<br />

The claim to be the true Islamic State has<br />

facilitated the group’s recruitment of<br />

Westerners, thousands of whom have<br />

flocked to join its ranks. The appeal to join is<br />

rooted deeper than just the romanticised<br />

rise of an Islamic fighting force; the<br />

caliphate is also appealing to more secular<br />

interests by advertising jobs, a regular<br />

monthly salary, a wife or husband, and in<br />

some cases even a home.<br />

ISIL maintains that the new “caliphate is all<br />

inclusive and allows Muslims to practice their<br />

religion without discrimination.” Even those<br />

with criminal or troubled pasts have the<br />

opportunity to become extraordinary<br />

overnight. ISIL’s appeal was captured in<br />

statement by Canadian foreign fighter Abu<br />

Muslim al-Canadi (André Poulin) in a<br />

September 2014 video released by ISIL.<br />

You know, there’s a role for everybody.<br />

Every person can contribute something to<br />

the Islamic State…If you cannot fight, then<br />

you give money, if you cannot give money<br />

then you can assist in technology, and if you<br />

can’t assist in technology you can use some<br />

other skills. 8<br />

ISIL’s military prowess is also attractive to<br />

many. ISIL leadership includes former officers<br />

in the military and intelligence services of the<br />

Sadam Hussein regime. ISIL’s military as of<br />

September 2015 has attracted approximately<br />

25,000 foreign fighters from over 100 different<br />

countries, including 4,500 Westerners. 9<br />

Foreign fighters bring with them new skills,<br />

and they are offered the highest salaries<br />

ranging from US$400-1,200 a month. 10<br />

Salaries are a magnet for attracting fighters in<br />

Syria: there are accounts that some Free<br />

Syrian Army fighters left their US$60 per<br />

month positions to join Jabhat al-Nusra group<br />

who offered US$300; ultimately they joined<br />

ISIL which offered the highest salaries,<br />

housing and career advancement. 11<br />

In addition to fresh troops, foreign fighters<br />

also provide ISIL with new income, either by<br />

depositing funds that are later accessed in<br />

areas near ISIL or by bringing cash. ISIL also<br />

solicits funds online via Skype and Twitter or<br />

via money remitters, and international<br />

prepaid cards. 12<br />

OIL<br />

Oil is the black gold of ISIL. As of September<br />

2015, ISIL controls 10 oilfields in Syria and Iraq.<br />

Oil wealth serves several purposes: it provides<br />

energy needs for the estimated 10 million<br />

civilians living in ISIL controlled territory and it<br />

helps fuel the war machine. More importantly,<br />

oil is used as a leveraging device to control its<br />

enemies. Many opposition forces are<br />

dependent on ISIL for diesel.<br />

ISIL sells most of its crude directly to<br />

independent traders at the oil fields in an<br />

organised system. Tankers queue for weeks to<br />

get access to the prized commodity. Estimates<br />

by local traders and engineers put crude<br />

production in ISIL-held territory at about<br />

34,000-40,000 barrels per day. The oil is sold<br />

at the wellhead for between US$20 and<br />

US$45 a barrel, earning the militants an<br />

average of US$1.5 million a day.13 The US<br />

Assistant Secretary of Treasury for terrorist<br />

financing stated that in a one month period<br />

earlier this year, ISIL made about $US40<br />

million off the sale of oil.14 A large portion of<br />

the money that ISIL raised from June 2014<br />

onwards came from oil fields and refineries.<br />

Oil is also a tool to launder money.15 Oil is<br />

smuggled throughout Iraq and Kurdistan and<br />

into Syria through a shadowy network of<br />

criminal operatives using desert routes and<br />

rugged mountains using trucks or donkeys,<br />

and through legitimate crossings for<br />

consumption in Turkey, Iran, and Jordan. Many<br />

of these were already established to<br />

circumvent the UN sanctions imposed on Iraq.<br />

If they are caught, poor border guards in Iraq,<br />

Syria, Iran and Turkey are bribed.<br />

Oil also allows ISIL to extort the regime of<br />

Bashar al-Assad. Gas supplies 90 per cent of<br />

Syria’s power grid on which ISIL and the Assad<br />

regime depend on for energy. ISIL controls at<br />

least eight power plants in Syria, including<br />

three hydro-electric facilities and the<br />

countries’ largest gas plant. Cooperation<br />

between ISIL and Syrian regime is strongest<br />

over gas that generates Syria’s electricity grid.<br />

GLOBAL <strong>TERRORISM</strong> INDEX 2015 | Expert Contributions<br />

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