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MEASURING AND UNDERSTANDING THE IMPACT OF TERRORISM

2015 Global Terrorism Index Report_0_0

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SOMALIA<br />

INCIDENTS<br />

DEAD<br />

469<br />

801<br />

PROPERTY<br />

DAMAGE<br />

INJURED<br />

531<br />

568<br />

GTI RANK 8<br />

GTI SCORE 7.6<br />

INCREASE IN DEATHS SINCE 2000<br />

2000<br />

2014<br />

+784<br />

ATTACKS BY TARGET<br />

Military, militia or terrorist groups<br />

Private citizens & property<br />

Government<br />

Business<br />

Other<br />

WORST ATTACK<br />

20 killed and 20 injured when<br />

a suicide bomber targeting<br />

a government minister<br />

detonated a vehicle at a café.<br />

Al-Shabaab were responsible.<br />

DEATHS BY GROUP<br />

Al-Shabaab<br />

Unknown<br />

MAJOR ATTACK<br />

Somalia has recorded an increase in terrorism for the fourth<br />

year in a row. There were twice as many attacks and deaths in<br />

2014 than in 2013. In 2014 Somalia had the most attacks and<br />

deaths from terrorism in its history.<br />

Somalia continues to face violence in the south with rebel<br />

forces and terrorist groups. As in previous years, the al-<br />

Shabaab group were responsible for most claimed attacks.<br />

This militant group is allied with al-Qa’ida and has an<br />

estimated 7,000 to 9,000 soldiers. The only other group that<br />

claimed responsibility for attacks in 2014 was the Raskamboni<br />

Movement, a paramilitary group opposed to al-Shabaab and<br />

seeking to control the Jubbaland region.<br />

There has been infighting in al-Shabaab over whether it<br />

should focus on local and regional objectives rather than<br />

transcontinental jihad. Notably, this was one of the reasons<br />

why the American recruit to al-Shabaab, Abu Mansoor<br />

Al-Amriki, was killed by al-Shabaab in 2013 as he criticised the<br />

group for being too focused on domestic affairs and neglecting<br />

international jihad. Nevertheless, al-Shabaab continues to<br />

attract foreign fighters, particularly in Kenya. Radicalisation is<br />

in part due to perceptions by Muslim youth of mistreatment<br />

by the Kenyan government. 2<br />

As well as recruiting people from Kenya, al-Shabaab has<br />

staged numerous attacks in Kenya. This includes the Westgate<br />

shopping mall attack in September 2013 which resulted in 67<br />

deaths and 175 injuries and the 2 April 2015 massacre at<br />

Garissa University where gunmen stormed a university and<br />

killed 147 people.<br />

Al-Shabaab has controlled several areas of Somalia including<br />

the capital Mogadishu in 2010. A joint military mission called<br />

Operation Indian Ocean began on 16 August 2014 to challenge<br />

al-Shabaab. The military mission involves the Somali military,<br />

the African Union and the US military. This military mission<br />

has led to the death of many of the leaders of al-Shabaab. The<br />

overall leader, Moktar Ali Zubeyr, was killed by a US drone<br />

strike in September 2014.<br />

Al-Shabaab generally uses guerrilla warfare and is structured<br />

as an insurgency force in three parts: intelligence gathering,<br />

law enforcement and a military arm. A third of their attacks<br />

are bombings or explosions, averaging 1.8 deaths per attack.<br />

This is a lower lethality than 2013 where two and a half people<br />

were killed per attack. The change in lethality may reflect<br />

deterioration in their effectiveness. The highest death toll<br />

from a bombing was 20 in 2014, whereas in 2013 there was an<br />

attack which killed 38 and another that killed 28.<br />

Southern Somalia continues to have the majority of attacks.<br />

The largest city and capital Mogadishu experienced 36 per<br />

cent of attacks, followed by 11 in the southern city Kudhaa in<br />

Lower Juba and eight per cent of attacks in Baidoa in the<br />

south-central Bay region. The Bay region saw the biggest<br />

increase in terrorist attacks in 2014 with 133 deaths compared<br />

to 21 deaths in 2013.<br />

GLOBAL <strong>TERRORISM</strong> INDEX 2015 | Results<br />

27

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