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MEASURING AND UNDERSTANDING THE IMPACT OF TERRORISM

2015 Global Terrorism Index Report_0_0

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EXPERT<br />

CONTRIBUTIONS<br />

ISIL INC.: A PORTRAIT <strong>OF</strong> A MODERN TERRORIST ENTERPRISE<br />

Dr Christina Schori Liang, Senior Programme Advisor and Senior Fellow,<br />

Emerging Security Challenges Programme, Geneva Centre for Security Policy (GCSP)<br />

INTRODUCTION<br />

In the past year the world became fixated on<br />

the rise of the Islamic State (ISIL), the richest<br />

and most violent terrorist group in modern<br />

history. It is gathering extremist fighters from<br />

around the globe to support its goal of<br />

establishing a “lasting and expanding”<br />

caliphate. ISIL has eclipsed all other terrorist<br />

groups on the world stage by transforming<br />

terror from a regional to a global security<br />

threat. This is due to its ability to establish<br />

and govern a semi-functioning autonomous<br />

territory, its use of 21st century marketing<br />

tools to create an international brand, and its<br />

strategy of attracting foreign fighters. ISIL’s<br />

power is also due to its unprecedented<br />

wealth, which is based on diverse and<br />

sophisticated financing strategies.<br />

The West’s reaction to ISIL has been driven<br />

largely by a desire for regional stability and<br />

fears that ISIL-fuelled terrorism will spread to<br />

its borders. So far the US and its 60 member<br />

coalition in 2014-2015 have spent most of<br />

their war chest on kinetic power. The<br />

coalition claims to have targeted some 13,781<br />

assets ranging from armored vehicles to oil<br />

facilities. The cost of the campaign from<br />

August 2014 to October 2015 had an average<br />

cost of US$11 million per day, or a total of<br />

US$4.75 billion. 1<br />

Despite this investment, ISIL has proven to be<br />

resilient. Indeed, its reach has been<br />

spreading far beyond the Levant and<br />

Mesopotamia. ISIL has been engaging in<br />

attacks in Egypt, Libya, Tunisia and Yemen.<br />

It has received support or affiliation from 42<br />

international groups, of which 30 have<br />

pledged formal affiliation, and 12 have<br />

pledged support. Groups such as Ansar<br />

al-Sharia in Libya, the Okba Ibn Nafaa<br />

Battalion in Tunisia and Ansar Beit al-Maqdis<br />

in the Egyptian Sinai have carried out attacks,<br />

and pro-ISIL factions have begun to emerge<br />

in Algeria and Gaza while splinter factions<br />

from Afghanistan and Pakistan have sent<br />

fighters to the Syria-Iraqi battlefields. The<br />

Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU)<br />

declared its support to ISIL, and in 2014, the<br />

Indonesian Abu Sayyaf Group announced its<br />

allegiance as well. 2<br />

The West’s inability to contain ISIL stems<br />

from its singular perception that it is a rogue<br />

state and nothing more. ISIL is indeed now a<br />

real, if nascent and unrecognised, state actor.<br />

ISIL does not operate out of a safe haven<br />

within a sponsor state; it has become a de<br />

facto state that provides a safe haven for<br />

terrorists, ruthlessly and mercilessly<br />

administrating a territory. However ISIL has<br />

become much more than a hostile state<br />

entity; it is also a successful criminal<br />

enterprise. The West has so far failed to<br />

impede the ISIL’s financial gains which are<br />

marked by a fluidity and wealth never seen<br />

before. ISIL’s diverse financial portfolio makes<br />

it the richest terrorist organisation in history,<br />

with an estimated wealth of 2 billion US$. The<br />

aim of this paper is to examine the business<br />

side of ISIL and to put forward that the West’s<br />

strategy to fight ISIL should take a much<br />

broader and more holistic approach.<br />

<strong>THE</strong> ISIL BUSINESS STRATEGY<br />

ISIL is effective because it runs its criminal/<br />

terrorist enterprise with a business acumen<br />

that has no historical precedent. The<br />

predecessor of ISIL, the Islamic State of<br />

Iraq, compiled a list of ‘lessons learned’<br />

based on what it perceived as al-Qa’ida’s<br />

failure in effectively using its financial<br />

resources. Among these were the failure to<br />

distribute funds among local cells and the<br />

inability to acquire a regular funding<br />

source. 3 Based on al-Qa’ida’s failures, ISIL<br />

redesigned a modern business strategy to<br />

run its terrorist enterprise.<br />

ISIL also has a corporate plan which<br />

originates from a blueprint designed by<br />

Samir Abd Muhammad al-Khifani, a former<br />

GLOBAL <strong>TERRORISM</strong> INDEX 2015 | Expert Contributions<br />

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