- Page 1 and 2: ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENT To
- Page 4: C O N T E N T S ECONOMIC REPORT OF
- Page 9 and 10: lot of Americans feel anxious—is
- Page 11 and 12: without kids. All these things stil
- Page 14: letter of transmittal Council of Ec
- Page 17 and 18: Consumer Spending. ................
- Page 19 and 20: THE ROLE OF THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT.
- Page 21 and 22: 2-15. Consumer Sentiment, 2006-2015
- Page 23 and 24: 4.15. Effects of WIC Participation
- Page 25 and 26: Box 5-1: Trade.....................
- Page 27 and 28: efficiency as well as equity, unlea
- Page 29 and 30: income. Until the 1980s, the United
- Page 31 and 32: Figure 1-2a Share of Total, Labor,
- Page 33 and 34: eturn—likely reflecting increased
- Page 35 and 36: Figure 1-4 Distribution of Househol
- Page 37 and 38: Figure 1-5 Intergenerational Earnin
- Page 39 and 40: gaps in education and experience; d
- Page 41 and 42: differences in productivity, there
- Page 43 and 44: To some extent, some of these force
- Page 45 and 46: Figure 1-8 U.S. Union Membership &
- Page 47 and 48: Table 1-2 Change in Market Concentr
- Page 49 and 50: Housing and Land-Use Restrictions T
- Page 51 and 52: een shown to increase incomes in la
- Page 53 and 54: wage growth manifests itself as a g
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20th century saw higher wages, more
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Percent 11 Figure 2-1 Unemployment
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Figure 2-2 Oil and Commodity Prices
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leum and products averaged 1.8 bill
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other hand, oil-using industries be
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there was some risk of a government
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Box 2-2: Challenges in the State an
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Figure 2-v State and Local Pensions
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Figure 2-7 12-Month Change in Nonfa
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Figure 2-9 Unemployment Rate by Dur
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Figure 2-11 Alternative Measures of
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Box 2-3: Expectations for Future Jo
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Consumer Spending Real consumer spe
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Box 2-4: A Better Measure of Output
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above GDP growth. In fact, at the a
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Figure 2-17 Household Debt Relative
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might be a sign of a growing measur
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any shift from consumer-paid media
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Index* 220 Figure 2-20 Housing Affo
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studies note that land-use regulati
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Figure 2-21 Single-Family and Multi
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Box 2-7: Slowdown in Investment Gro
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On the other hand, there are longer
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Percentage Points 2.0 Figure 2-27 C
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is, output per hour) has been below
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grounds for optimism about the futu
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Percent 50 40 30 20 Figure 2-34 Ene
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crisis.9 But these changes have bee
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The Outlook Forecast over the Next
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Nominal GDP Real GDP (Chain- Type)
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Box 2-8: Policy Proposals to Raise
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States. Second, by moving to a more
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Box 2-9: Stable Inflation Rate of U
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individual model because of uncerta
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C H A P T E R 3 THE GLOBAL MACROECO
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Figure 3-1 IMF World Real GDP Growt
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Percent 3 0 Figure 3-4 Percent Gap
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Box 3-1: Changing Demographic Trend
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egions are forecasted to have 73 de
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Figure 3-5 Current Account Balance
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Index (2008:Q1=100) 115 Figure 3-6
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some euro-area countries are constr
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takes place in financial markets. A
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numbers or Chinese real GDP growth.
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countries from downside risks in tu
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Figure 3-9 Measures of Industrial A
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Figure 3-vii World Industrial Produ
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Figure 3-11 Brazil's Current Accoun
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Automotive Vehicles, Parts, Engines
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Percent 16 Figure 3-16 Exports as a
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instance, Vietnam’s and Malaysia
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C H A P T E R 4 INEQUALITY IN EARLY
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and preschool; direct investments i
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Figure 4-1 Cognitive and Non-Cognit
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Disparities in Early Health Prenata
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Figure 4-4 Household Food Insecurit
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Figure 4-6 Likelihood of Scoring Ve
- Page 170 and 171:
Figure 4-8 Likelihood of Scoring Ve
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Figure 4-10 High-Income Parents Spe
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Black (1999) shows that school qual
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Differences in early life investmen
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Box 4-2: Types of Public Investment
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Figure 4-12 Annual Cost of Juvenile
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Figure 4-13 Low Birth Weight by Mat
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Federally funded programs, administ
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improving parental behavior and chi
- Page 188 and 189:
Figure 4-14 Increase in Income and
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Figure 4-15 Effects of WIC Particip
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Figure 4-16 Impact of Food Stamp Ex
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Box 4-4: Technological Innovation t
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their children through wages. Studi
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from high school, earn a college de
- Page 200 and 201:
program. The Head Start Impact Stud
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A meta-analysis by Duncan and Magnu
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Figure 4-19 Net Benefit Per Child o
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Box 4-5: Nutrition and Income Progr
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for single mothers across these gro
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Figure 4-21 Average Annual Earnings
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C H A P T E R 5 TECHNOLOGY AND INNO
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if an inventor uncovers a new metho
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Box 5-1: Trade Domestic and interna
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In addition to commercializing new
- Page 220 and 221:
Figure 5-3 Firm Entry and Exit Rate
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while a little over one-third is du
- Page 224 and 225:
Percent 20 Figure 5-4 U.S. Job Crea
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Van Reenen 2013), and that underinv
- Page 228 and 229:
cation of these technologies may yi
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Sector Table 5-1 Contribution to Av
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Figure 5-9 Gross Domestic Expenditu
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Box 5-4: Patent Legislation While t
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technologies—from clean energy te
- Page 238 and 239:
Figure 5-11 Estimated Worldwide Ann
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Figure 5-13 Robot Density: Automoti
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Over time, economists expect wages
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Figure 5-15 Probability of Automati
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Figure 5-16 Share of Information an
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increased competition in the taxi m
- Page 250 and 251:
and that providers use to rate cons
- Page 252 and 253:
Kuhn and Mansour (2014) find that u
- Page 254:
infrastructure priorities would mak
- Page 257 and 258:
Economic Principles for Infrastruct
- Page 259 and 260:
importance of a strong Federal role
- Page 261 and 262:
Percent 10 Figure 6-2 Public Gross
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infrastructure in 2015 for G-7 nati
- Page 265 and 266:
Year Delay per Commuter (Hours) Tab
- Page 267 and 268:
facturers toward cleaner low-emissi
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sustained losses in economic output
- Page 271 and 272:
highways and streets increases priv
- Page 273 and 274:
elasticities since short-run analys
- Page 275 and 276:
Table 6-4 Direct Contribution of th
- Page 277 and 278:
Box 6-3: The Interstate Highway Sys
- Page 279 and 280:
agencies responsible for funding pu
- Page 281 and 282:
output in the near term from high-e
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1.4 Figure 6-7 Ratio of Public Spen
- Page 285 and 286:
firms that are not ultimately respo
- Page 287 and 288:
allocation of risks (Buckberg, Kear
- Page 289 and 290:
the livability of communities, maki
- Page 291 and 292:
Transportation bonds accounted for
- Page 293 and 294:
Box 6-4: 21 st Century Clean Transp
- Page 295 and 296:
it is flying across the country, sh
- Page 297 and 298:
on the needs of the President, the
- Page 299 and 300:
The balance struck in the final Emp
- Page 301 and 302:
Box 7-1: Former CEA Chair Laura D
- Page 303 and 304:
But this was only part of the story
- Page 305 and 306:
The perspective of CEA has varied d
- Page 307 and 308:
and the drag of the wartime tax str
- Page 309 and 310:
Box 7-2: Former CEA Chair Christina
- Page 311 and 312:
jobs package. And in early December
- Page 313 and 314:
Box 7-3: Former CEA Chairman N. Gre
- Page 315 and 316:
Box 7-4: Former CEA Chairman Joseph
- Page 317 and 318:
There were many lessons that I draw
- Page 319 and 320:
Nourse and Keyserling The three yea
- Page 321 and 322:
shut-down towards the end of the Tr
- Page 323 and 324:
authority of the Council” (1977).
- Page 325 and 326:
Box 7-5: Former CEA Chairman Alan G
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comment on or in any way attempt to
- Page 329 and 330:
progress, “confidence in the poli
- Page 331 and 332:
Box 7-6: Former CEA Chairman Martin
- Page 333 and 334:
that it would be very risky not to
- Page 336 and 337:
REFERENCES Chapter 1 American Civil
- Page 338 and 339:
Furman, Jason and Peter Orszag. 201
- Page 340 and 341:
Troy, Leo and Neil Sheflin. 1985. U
- Page 342 and 343:
Glaeser, Edward L., Joseph Gyourko,
- Page 344 and 345:
Romer and David Romer, eds., Reduci
- Page 346 and 347:
Kohsaka, Akira. 2013. Aging and Eco
- Page 348 and 349:
Infant Mortality in the Rural South
- Page 350 and 351:
Black, Sandra E., Paul J. Devereux,
- Page 352 and 353:
Chetty, Raj, Nathaniel Hendren, Fri
- Page 354 and 355:
Deming, David. 2009. “Early Child
- Page 356 and 357:
Fryer, Ronald G., Jr. and Steven D.
- Page 358 and 359:
Hill, Carolyn, William Gormley, and
- Page 360 and 361:
Lefebvre, Pierre and Philip Merriga
- Page 362 and 363:
Education. Accessed 3 February 2016
- Page 364 and 365:
Reynolds, Arthur J., Majida Mehana,
- Page 366 and 367:
Temple, Judy A. and Arthur J. Reyno
- Page 368 and 369:
Atkin, David, Azam Chaudhry, Shamyl
- Page 370 and 371:
Department of Economics, UCSC. Retr
- Page 372 and 373:
Kiebzak, Stephen, Rafert, Greg and
- Page 374 and 375:
January. https://www.pwcmoneytree.c
- Page 376 and 377:
Baladi, Gilbert, Tunwin Svasdisant,
- Page 378 and 379:
International Monetary Fund. 2014.
- Page 380 and 381:
______. 2015b. “Public-Private Pa
- Page 382 and 383:
______. 1994. American Economic Pol
- Page 384 and 385:
Rosen, Harvey S., and Kristin J. Fo
- Page 386:
A P P E N D I X A REPORT TO THE PRE
- Page 389 and 390:
Council Members and Their Dates of
- Page 392 and 393:
Report to the President on the Acti
- Page 394 and 395:
standards; energy policy; intellect
- Page 396 and 397:
policies through briefings with the
- Page 398 and 399:
Office of the Chairman and Members
- Page 400:
A P P E N D I X B STATISTICAL TABLE
- Page 403 and 404:
GOVERNMENT FINANCE, INTEREST RATES,
- Page 405 and 406:
Year or quarter Table B-1. Percent
- Page 407 and 408:
Table B-2. Gross domestic product,
- Page 409 and 410:
Table B-3. Quantity and price index
- Page 411 and 412:
Table B-5. Real exports and imports
- Page 413 and 414:
Year Total Table B-7. Real farm inc
- Page 415 and 416:
Table B-9. Median money income (in
- Page 417 and 418:
Labor Market Indicators Table B-11.
- Page 419 and 420:
Year or month Table B-12. Civilian
- Page 421 and 422:
Table B-14. Employees on nonagricul
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Year or month Table B-15. Hours and
- Page 425 and 426:
Government Finance, Interest Rates,
- Page 427 and 428:
Table B-19. Federal receipts and ou
- Page 429 and 430:
Table B-21. Federal and State and l
- Page 431 and 432:
Table B-23. U.S. Treasury securitie
- Page 433 and 434:
Year and month Bills (at auction) 1
- Page 435:
Year and month Table B-26. Money st