Transparency Initiative (EITI)

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9.2 RESULTS MODEL
To shed light on the links between activities of M-EITI towards
improved transparency, accountability, and aggregated
impacts, the reconstruction of the theory of change
started with an analysis of the MSG’s work plan. The 2013-
2015 work plan sets this goal for M-EITI: ‘Promote and
strengthen good governance through transparency, accountability,
participation and sustainable exploration of
extractive resources’, with objectives that are procedural in
nature leading to producing a comprehensive report, accompanied
with training and communication activities.
The second part of the goal, ‘sustainable exploration of extractive
resources’ was not clearly defined and it is not clear
what processes will guarantee its compliance. The 2016-
2018 work plan appears to be a much better structured plan
with clear objectives and a path to achieve them, but it does
not make a distinction between outputs and outcomes and
is lacking outcome indicators for adequate monitoring. Finally,
a couple of areas that are not adequately covered in
the M-EITI work plan have been discussed in the course of
the study and included in the results model. These areas are
local content and revenue redistribution (current and for
future generations).
COUNTRY-SPECIFIC RESULTS MODEL (DRAFT IN PROGRESS AS
DISCUSSED WITH MSG MEMBERS IN JULY 2016)
Levels Areas Indicators
(in addition to the ones listed in the generic
model)
Conditions
(conducive/obstructive)
Highly
aggregated
impact
Sustainable development in
Mozambique
• Poverty reduction
• Economic diversification
• Economic growth
1. USD X income per capita
2. USD X income per capita in regions of EI
influence.
3. X% of population below the poverty level
4. GINI coefficient
Same as in generic model.
Specifically:
1. Political will to establish
a peaceful solution
to conflict.
2. Macroeconomic conditions
substantially improved
with a sound
fiscal program accepted
by IMF and donors implemented.
3. Capacity of key government
agencies to manage
the EI sector – including
monitoring of
contracts – improved.
4. Favorable fiscal terms.