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stock repurchase announcements: a test of market ... - Asbbs.org

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Dhareshwar and Bacon<br />

AER<br />

0<br />

-0.02<br />

-0.03<br />

-0.04<br />

-0.05<br />

AER v/s Time<br />

-30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30<br />

-0.01<br />

CHART 4: Bad News Stocks : CAER over event period<br />

CAER<br />

-1<br />

-1.5<br />

-2<br />

CAER v/s Time<br />

0<br />

-30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30<br />

-0.5<br />

The graphs in Charts 1 and 2 demonstrate that the “good news” <strong>announcements</strong> <strong>of</strong><br />

quarterly earnings had a significant positive impact on the firms’ share price on announcement<br />

day 0 and up to at least 30 days after announcement day 0. As for the bad news category <strong>of</strong> firms,<br />

the announcement <strong>of</strong> quarterly earnings had a significant negative impact on the firms’ share<br />

price upto atleast 30 days after the earnings announcement day 0. Thus the post earnings<br />

announcement drift phenomenon is evident in this sample <strong>of</strong> firms.The evidence supports the<br />

alternate hypothesis H11: The risk adjusted return <strong>of</strong> the <strong>stock</strong> price <strong>of</strong> the sample <strong>of</strong> firms<br />

announcing quarterly earnings is significantly affected by this type <strong>of</strong> information on the<br />

announcement date when made public. This is consistent with the weak form <strong>market</strong> efficiency<br />

hypothesis which states that the <strong>stock</strong> price reflects all past information. For the sample <strong>of</strong> firms<br />

analyzed, an investor maybe able to earn an above normal risk adjusted return by acting on the<br />

public announcement <strong>of</strong> quarterly earnings using price momentum strategies. As for the no news<br />

category <strong>of</strong> firms, no significant impact is observed on or around the quarterly earnings<br />

announcement day 0 as seen in the graph <strong>of</strong> CAER for the No News category in chart 6 below.<br />

ASBBS E-Journal, Volume 4, No.1, 2008 29<br />

time<br />

CHART 5: No News Stocks : AER over Event period<br />

time

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