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Health Care: Two Primary Concerns<br />

The two primary concerns expressed about health care in America have been that overall health<br />

care spending has been rising and that the distribution of health care is unequal.<br />

Health care spending as a percentage of GDP grew from 5.7% in 1965 to over 17% in 2013.<br />

According to the Department of Health and Human Services, health care spending in the U.S.<br />

was about $2.9 trillion in 2013. Both total health care spending and the percentage of GDP<br />

devoted to health care spending are much higher in the U.S. than in other developed countries.<br />

According to the Congressional Budget Office, about half of increased health care spending has<br />

been caused by “expanded capabilities of medicine brought about by technological advances”.<br />

Example 9A: Until the last forty years, coronary artery disease was inexpensive to treat because<br />

there was no effective treatment. Various technological advances for diagnosing and treating<br />

coronary artery disease (e.g. coronary angiography, bypass surgery, thrombolytic therapy, etc.)<br />

have made treatment of coronary artery disease much more expensive (and effective).<br />

Example 9B: Other examples of technological advances include renal replacement therapy for<br />

kidney failure, bone marrow or stem cell transplantation, neonatal intensive care, joint<br />

replacement, and diagnostic imaging (CT scans, MRIs, ultrasounds, and nuclear scans).<br />

Other factors that have contributed to the increase in health care spending include:<br />

1. Increasing third-party payment of health care expenses. The percentage of health care<br />

payments that were made by consumers out-of-pocket decreased from 52% in 1965 to 12% in<br />

2012. Most health care payments are now made either by governmental health insurance<br />

(Medicare, Medicaid, Children’s Health Insurance Program, etc.) or by private health<br />

insurance. A health care purchase involves more administrative cost when there is a thirdparty<br />

payment instead of an out-of-pocket payment. Increasing third-party payment has also<br />

increased the consumer demand for health care.<br />

Example 10: If car insurance was as comprehensive as most health insurance, it would<br />

reimburse not only for major costs like accident repairs, but also for basic maintenance like oil<br />

changes. If car insurance paid 80 percent of the cost of an oil change, a car owner would want<br />

more oil changes and would be less concerned about finding the cheapest provider. And if the oil<br />

change provider suggested an additional service, such as a cooling system flush, the car owner<br />

would be likely to authorize the service if car insurance would pay 80 percent of the cost. Thus,<br />

car insurance would be much more expensive than it currently is, as car owners would essentially<br />

be pre-paying for car maintenance. Administrative cost would also be greater, since paperwork<br />

would have to be processed for every oil change, tire replacement, etc. More importantly, it is<br />

economically inefficient to produce a cooling system flush at a cost of $80 if the car owner does<br />

not value the service at $80.<br />

2. Increasing prices in the health care sector. Prices in the health care sector have been<br />

rising more than twice as fast as the overall price level.<br />

Example 11: From 1965 to 2013, the overall GDP deflator increased by about 570%. The health<br />

care portion of the GDP deflator increased by about 1400%.<br />

3. Increasing real personal income. Real personal income more than quadrupled between<br />

1965 and 2013. As real personal income has increased, the demand for health care has<br />

proven to be income elastic, with the demand for health care increasing faster than real<br />

personal income.<br />

FOR REVIEW ONLY - NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION<br />

4. Increasing percentage of the population that is 65 years or older and/or overweight.<br />

Agriculture and Health Care 30 - 6

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