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Water as Leverage- Setting the scene for a call for action

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<strong>Water</strong> <strong>as</strong> <strong>Leverage</strong> <strong>for</strong> Resilient Cities Asia<br />

Semarang<br />

Organizing a City below<br />

Sea Level<br />

The city center of Semarang is a<br />

low-lying area, pressured by sea<br />

level rise and vulnerable to frequent<br />

tidal floods, especially in <strong>the</strong><br />

tropical se<strong>as</strong>on.[1] Its co<strong>as</strong>t used<br />

to be lined with long stretches of<br />

mangrove <strong>for</strong>est, capturing sediment<br />

flows and extending <strong>the</strong> city’s<br />

land on sea.[2] The combination<br />

of natural sedimentation and<br />

human land reclamation h<strong>as</strong> led<br />

Semarang to expand seawards.[3]<br />

However, <strong>the</strong>se weaker clay-layered<br />

sediments are not ideal <strong>for</strong> building<br />

upon, causing problems of land<br />

subsidence.[4]<br />

Additionally, insufficient freshwater<br />

supply <strong>for</strong>ced <strong>the</strong> city to extract<br />

groundwater from deep aquifers,<br />

speeding up <strong>the</strong> process of land<br />

subsidence.[5] Semarang is a<br />

sinking city, subsiding by an average<br />

of about 6 to 7 centimeters and a<br />

maximum of 14 to 19 centimeters<br />

in <strong>the</strong> most-affected are<strong>as</strong>. By<br />

comparison, sea level rise due to<br />

climate change amounts to about<br />

2 millimeters each year. While <strong>the</strong><br />

in<strong>for</strong>mal settlements in <strong>the</strong> lowestlying<br />

are<strong>as</strong> of <strong>the</strong> city are <strong>the</strong> most<br />

vulnerable, this phenomenon causes<br />

severe damage to housing and<br />

infr<strong>as</strong>tructure throughout <strong>the</strong> city.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> future, parts of <strong>the</strong> city will<br />

lie below sea level, incre<strong>as</strong>ing its<br />

vulnerability to flooding during high<br />

tide.[6]<br />

Semarang’s city planners are<br />

presently debating <strong>the</strong> locations<br />

and heights of prospective building<br />

developments in relation to where<br />

land subsidence occurs.[7] Can<br />

this process only lead to a very<br />

restrictive <strong>for</strong>m of urban planning or<br />

could <strong>the</strong> issue of sinking become an<br />

opportunity to develop amphibious<br />

activities and functions – urban or<br />

o<strong>the</strong>rwise – that benefit from <strong>the</strong><br />

direct and se<strong>as</strong>onal presence of<br />

water?<br />

Though <strong>the</strong> causes of land<br />

subsidence are currently being<br />

addressed, it will take many years<br />

be<strong>for</strong>e <strong>the</strong> process comes to a<br />

standstill. Even in <strong>the</strong> best scenario,<br />

<strong>the</strong> land will still sink by 1.6 meters.<br />

The mangrove restoration programs<br />

are believed to have positive<br />

effects on land subsidence, but <strong>the</strong><br />

mangroves alone are incapable of<br />

mitigating <strong>the</strong> sinking process <strong>as</strong> a<br />

whole. The challenge is <strong>the</strong>re<strong>for</strong>e<br />

twofold: one <strong>the</strong> one hand, what<br />

could be a systematic strategy that<br />

solves <strong>the</strong> problem of sinking in <strong>the</strong><br />

long term, and, on <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand,<br />

what planning strategy should <strong>the</strong><br />

city endorse in <strong>the</strong> meantime? For<br />

example, is it sustainable to build a<br />

hard co<strong>as</strong>tal defense infr<strong>as</strong>tructure<br />

in a place that is dr<strong>as</strong>ti<strong>call</strong>y sinking;<br />

or is it eventually more fe<strong>as</strong>ible to<br />

retreat and [partially] move <strong>the</strong> city of<br />

Semarang to higher ground?[8]<br />

[5]<br />

[4]<br />

[2]<br />

[7]<br />

[3]<br />

[6]<br />

[8]<br />

[1]<br />

110 Call <strong>for</strong> Action<br />

PART 1 / From Global <strong>Water</strong> Issues to a Call <strong>for</strong> Action<br />

111

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