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Asian Sky Quarterly - Q3 2020

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ECONOMICS<br />

GREATER CHINA<br />

ASIA-PACIFIC REGION<br />

CHARTER REPORT <strong>2020</strong><br />

NOW AVAILABLE<br />

MAINLAND CHINA, HONG KONG, MACAU & TAIWAN<br />

Mainland China<br />

The Chinese economy grew by 3.2% year-on-year (y-o-y) in the<br />

second quarter of <strong>2020</strong>, rebounding from a record 6.8% contraction<br />

in the previous three-month period. The country became the<br />

first major economy to report growth following the coronavirus<br />

pandemic, as factories and stores reopened following months of<br />

coronavirus-induced restrictions. However, a continuing fall in retail<br />

trade underlined weakness in consumer spending and the need for<br />

more support from Beijing to accelerate the economic recovery.<br />

Hong Kong<br />

The Hong Kong economy declined 9% y-o-y in Q2 of <strong>2020</strong>, after<br />

contracting 9.1% in the prior period. The coronavirus pandemic<br />

was largely under control in May and June, and the recovery in<br />

mainland China has helped to partly offset the external headwinds<br />

facing Hong Kong's exports of goods. Private consumption declines<br />

moderated (-3.8% vs -7.2% in Q1) while government spending grew<br />

(1.8% vs 3.5% in Q1).<br />

Taiwan<br />

Taiwan's economy shrank 0.58% y-o-y in Q2 of <strong>2020</strong>. This was the<br />

steepest GDP contraction since the third quarter of 2009 as the<br />

coronavirus pandemic hurt both domestic and external demand.<br />

Private final consumption slumped 4.98% (vs -1.55% in Q1) and<br />

government spending declined 1.0% (vs 3.26% in Q1), while fixed<br />

investment growth slowed to 2.73% from 6.32%..<br />

GDP GROWTH (BILLION USD)<br />

$11,016<br />

$525<br />

$309<br />

$45<br />

54.0%<br />

52.0%<br />

50.0%<br />

48.0%<br />

46.0%<br />

44.0%<br />

42.0%<br />

40.0%<br />

38.0%<br />

36.0%<br />

34.0%<br />

32.0%<br />

30.0%<br />

Mainland China<br />

$11,138<br />

$531<br />

$321<br />

$45<br />

Mainland China<br />

$12,134<br />

$579<br />

$342<br />

$51<br />

Taiwan<br />

Taiwan<br />

Hong Kong<br />

Hong Kong<br />

Macau<br />

$13,608 $14,200 $12,835 $14,311<br />

$589 $605 $597 $589<br />

$363 $362 $335 $335<br />

$55 $50<br />

$25<br />

$8<br />

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong>Q1 <strong>2020</strong>Q2<br />

PURCHASING MANAGER’S INDEX<br />

Aug19<br />

Sep19<br />

Oct19<br />

Nov19<br />

Dec19<br />

Jan20<br />

Feb20<br />

Mar20<br />

Apr20<br />

May20<br />

Jun20<br />

Jul20<br />

Aug20<br />

Expansion Contraction<br />

Source: Focus Economics & Trading Economics<br />

FLEET SIZE GROWTH:<br />

BUSINESS JET<br />

FLEET SIZE GROWTH:<br />

TURBINE HELICOPTER<br />

FLEET SIZE GROWTH:<br />

TURBOPROP<br />

Mainland China Taiwan Mainland China Taiwan Mainland China Taiwan<br />

Hong Kong<br />

Macau<br />

Hong Kong<br />

Hong Kong<br />

313<br />

344<br />

338<br />

332 679 719 752<br />

321<br />

157 164<br />

184<br />

581<br />

184<br />

495<br />

133<br />

129<br />

135<br />

135<br />

122<br />

129<br />

10<br />

24<br />

11<br />

25<br />

9<br />

27 27 29<br />

5 5 5<br />

27<br />

25 24 22<br />

21<br />

4<br />

3<br />

23<br />

10 10 10<br />

19<br />

17<br />

15 15<br />

4<br />

2<br />

4<br />

2<br />

2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q3</strong><br />

2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q3</strong><br />

2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q3</strong><br />

* Data Source: ASG's Annual Business Jet Fleet Report and Helicopter Fleet Report. Turboprop data provided by Amstat.<br />

4 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>

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