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Asian Sky Quarterly - Q3 2020

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ECONOMICS<br />

EAST ASIA & CENTRAL ASIA<br />

JAPAN, SOUTH KOREA & INDIA<br />

Japan<br />

The Japanese economy shrank 7.9% q-o-q in Q2 <strong>2020</strong>, after a 0.6%<br />

fall in Q1. This was the third straight quarter of contraction and the<br />

steepest on record, amid the severe impact of the COVID-19 crisis.<br />

On an annualized basis, the economy collapsed at a record 28.1%<br />

y-o-y in Q2, compared with forecasts of a 28.6% slump.<br />

GDP GROWTH (BILLION USD)<br />

Japan South Korea India<br />

$4,927 $4,860<br />

$4,971 $4,881 $4,981<br />

$4,389<br />

$4,592<br />

South Korea<br />

South Korea’s GDP shrank 3.2% q-o-q in the three months to<br />

June <strong>2020</strong> following a 1.3% drop in the previous period, entering<br />

a recession due to the negative impact of the COVID-19. On an<br />

annual basis, the GDP fell by 2.7% after expanding 1.4 percent. This<br />

was the largest pace of contraction since the last quarter of 2008<br />

as manufacturing sank 8.9%, mainly dragged by transportation<br />

equipment and computer, electronic & optical products.<br />

$2,095<br />

$1,378<br />

$2,274<br />

$1,415<br />

$2,597<br />

$1,531<br />

$2,769<br />

$1,619<br />

$2,899<br />

$1,640<br />

$2,899<br />

$1,614<br />

$2,935<br />

$1,563<br />

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong>Q1 <strong>2020</strong>Q2<br />

India<br />

The Indian economy shrank 23.9% y-o-y during Q2. This is the<br />

biggest contraction on record, as India imposed a coronavirus<br />

lockdown in late March and extended it several times, halting most<br />

economic activities. Still, India remains the third worst-affected<br />

country in the world by the pandemic. Construction (-50.3%), hotels<br />

and transportation (-47%) and manufacturing (-39.3%) recorded the<br />

biggest falls. In contrast, government consumption jumped 16.4%<br />

as the government implemented relief measures to help curb the<br />

impact of the pandemic.<br />

PURCHASING MANAGER’S INDEX<br />

Japan South Korea India<br />

60.0%<br />

55.0%<br />

50.0%<br />

45.0%<br />

40.0%<br />

35.0%<br />

30.0%<br />

25.0%<br />

Expansion Contraction<br />

20.0%<br />

Aug20<br />

Jul20<br />

Jun20<br />

May20<br />

Apr20<br />

Mar20<br />

Feb20<br />

Jan20<br />

Dec19<br />

Nov19<br />

Oct19<br />

Sep19<br />

Aug19<br />

Source: Focus Economics & Trading Economics<br />

FLEET SIZE GROWTH:<br />

BUSINESS JET<br />

FLEET SIZE GROWTH:<br />

TURBINE HELICOPTER<br />

FLEET SIZE GROWTH:<br />

TURBOPROP<br />

Japan South Korea India Japan South Korea India Japan<br />

South Korea India<br />

138<br />

140<br />

140<br />

138 140<br />

646<br />

647<br />

646<br />

664 679<br />

134<br />

155<br />

155<br />

97<br />

94<br />

92<br />

78<br />

78<br />

73<br />

76<br />

54<br />

54<br />

55<br />

63 62<br />

21<br />

21<br />

19<br />

21 19<br />

286<br />

291<br />

287<br />

285<br />

302<br />

16<br />

16<br />

19<br />

17<br />

17<br />

222<br />

227<br />

229<br />

233 231<br />

2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q3</strong><br />

2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q3</strong><br />

2016 2017 2018 2019 <strong>2020</strong><strong>Q3</strong><br />

* Data Source: ASG's Annual Business Jet Fleet Report and Helicopter Fleet Report. Turboprop data provided by Amstat.<br />

6 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — THIRD QUARTER <strong>2020</strong>

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