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Zero to One_ Notes on Startups, or How to Build the Future ( PDFDrive )

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THE ENGINEERING QUESTION

A great technology company should have proprietary technology an order of

magnitude better than its nearest substitute. But cleantech companies rarely

produced 2x, let alone 10x, improvements. Sometimes their offerings were

actually worse than the products they sought to replace. Solyndra developed

novel, cylindrical solar cells, but to a first approximation, cylindrical cells are

only 1 / π

as efficient as flat ones—they simply don’t receive as much direct

sunlight. The company tried to correct for this deficiency by using mirrors to

reflect more sunlight to hit the bottoms of the panels, but it’s hard to recover

from a radically inferior starting point.

Companies must strive for 10x better because merely incremental

improvements often end up meaning no improvement at all for the end user.

Suppose you develop a new wind turbine that’s 20% more efficient than any

existing technology—when you test it in the laboratory. That sounds good at

first, but the lab result won’t begin to compensate for the expenses and risks

faced by any new product in the real world. And even if your system really is

20% better on net for the customer who buys it, people are so used to

exaggerated claims that you’ll be met with skepticism when you try to sell it.

Only when your product is 10x better can you offer the customer transparent

superiority.

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