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Zero to One_ Notes on Startups, or How to Build the Future ( PDFDrive )

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HOW TO FIND SECRETS

There are two kinds of secrets: secrets of nature and secrets about people.

Natural secrets exist all around us; to find them, one must study some

undiscovered aspect of the physical world. Secrets about people are different:

they are things that people don’t know about themselves or things they hide

because they don’t want others to know. So when thinking about what kind of

company to build, there are two distinct questions to ask: What secrets is nature

not telling you? What secrets are people not telling you?

It’s easy to assume that natural secrets are the most important: the people who

look for them can sound intimidatingly authoritative. This is why physics PhDs

are notoriously difficult to work with—because they know the most fundamental

truths, they think they know all truths. But does understanding electromagnetic

theory automatically make you a great marriage counselor? Does a gravity

theorist know more about your business than you do? At PayPal, I once

interviewed a physics PhD for an engineering job. Halfway through my first

question, he shouted, “Stop! I already know what you’re going to ask!” But he

was wrong. It was the easiest no-hire decision I’ve ever made.

Secrets about people are relatively underappreciated. Maybe that’s because

you don’t need a dozen years of higher education to ask the questions that

uncover them: What are people not allowed to talk about? What is forbidden or

taboo?

Sometimes looking for natural secrets and looking for human secrets lead to

the same truth. Consider the monopoly secret again: competition and capitalism

are opposites. If you didn’t already know it, you could discover it the natural,

empirical way: do a quantitative study of corporate profits and you’ll see they’re

eliminated by competition. But you could also take the human approach and ask:

what are people running companies not allowed to say? You would notice that

monopolists downplay their monopoly status to avoid scrutiny, while

competitive firms strategically exaggerate their uniqueness. The differences

between firms only seem small on the surface; in fact, they are enormous.

The best place to look for secrets is where no one else is looking. Most people

think only in terms of what they’ve been taught; schooling itself aims to impart

conventional wisdom. So you might ask: are there any fields that matter but

haven’t been standardized and institutionalized? Physics, for example, is a real

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