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BoundedRationality_TheAdaptiveToolbox.pdf

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254<br />

Thomas D. Seeley<br />

ceased to dance for one site and later danced for another site after being recruited<br />

to it. However, the precise mechanisms of the decision-making process in honeybee<br />

swarms remained a mystery until recently, even though they were the subject<br />

of much discussion (see Wilson 1971; Dawkins 1982; Markl 1985; Griffin<br />

1992).<br />

One thing that has favored the analysis of group decision making in honeybee<br />

swarms is that this process is an external one: it occurs on the surface of the<br />

swarm cluster where it is easily observed. The swarm's surface is where the<br />

scout bees produce the waggle dances that advertise the sites they favor. Thus<br />

one can monitor the building of a consensus among a swarm's scouts by videorecording<br />

their dances. Recently, complete records of the scout bees' dances in<br />

three swarms were made using swarms that consisted entirely of bees labeled for<br />

individual identification (Seeley and Buhrman 1999). With each bee so labeled,<br />

it was possible to follow each bee's history of dancing throughout the decision-making<br />

process of each swarm. In each case, the videorecords yielded not<br />

only a synoptic view of this process at the level of the whole swarm, but also key<br />

insights into the rules of behavior used by individual bees in collectively producing<br />

a decision.<br />

Group-level View<br />

The record of dances performed on one of the swarms is shown in Figure 14.2.<br />

Each panel in this figure shows, for an approximately two-hour period, the number<br />

of bees that danced for each potential nest site and the total number of waggle<br />

runs that the dancing bees performed for each site. We can see that the time when<br />

dances were performed was spread over three days and totaled some 16 hours of<br />

active deliberations. During the first half of the decision-making process (i.e.,<br />

what is shown in the first four panels), the scout bees reported all 11 of the potential<br />

nest sites that they would consider. We can also see that during the first half<br />

of the process the scouts did not advertise any one of the alternative sites more<br />

strongly than the others; during the second half, however, one of the sites gradually<br />

began to be advertised more strongly than all the others. Indeed, during the<br />

last few hours of the decision making, the site that had emerged as the front-runner<br />

(site G) became the object of all the dances performed on the swarm: by the<br />

end there was unanimity among the dancing bees.<br />

Besides the conspicuous transition from diversity to uniformity in the sites<br />

advertised by the dances, we also see a crescendo in dancing at the end of the d&<br />

cision making. If one compares the last panel with the seven prior panels in<br />

terms of number of dancing bees, dances, and number of waggle runs, one sees<br />

that the last panel has by far the highest number of each. Note too that the site that<br />

was ultimately chosen (site G) was not the first site advertised on the swarm; it<br />

was seventh out of 11 sites. Also, we see that many potential nest sites are advertised<br />

only weakly and briefly on the swarm, i.e., by just one to three bees and often<br />

in just one or two panels (sites C, E, F, H, I, J, and K).

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