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For more on prospective studies, randomized

trials, meta-analysis, and other ways of

scientifically testing ideas about how what we

eat affects our health, see Testing a Dietary

System, page 218.

DIETARY SYSTEMS

The rise and fall of dietary fiber illuminates the

typical trajectory of a dietary system. You may

have heard that fiber-rich foods will help to reduce

your risk of colorectal cancer. This powerful idea

originated with Denis Burkitt, M.D., an Irish

medical missionary who spent many years in

Kenya and Uganda in the 1940s and thereafter.

Burkitt was a competent surgeon who is credited

with the discovery in African children of a new

type of cancer, now known as Burkitt’s lymphoma.

Burkitt also cast his keen eye upon colorectal

cancer, realizing that he had observed remarkably

few cases of it among the people he doctored.

Upon his return to the United Kingdom in the

1960s, he wrote up an anecdotal studya study

based solely on his own experiencecomparing

patterns of disease in British and African hospitals.

He concluded that there was less colorectal

cancer in Africa.

Whether this is actually statistically true is

unclear: Burkitt did not present a proper analysis.

Nevertheless, the idea that rural Africans had

lower rates of colorectal cancer was Burkitt’s

inspiration for a hypothesis. He speculated that

a diet high in fiber would push fecal matter out of

the gut more quickly so that residual bile acid

would have less time to have a carcinogenic effect.

This led to tireless promotion of the theory,

including a 1979 book for general audiences titled

Don’t Forget Fibre In Your Diet, which was an

international best seller and made him a nutrition

celebrity. While a few small studies seemed to

confirm Burkitt’s hypothesis, a few others seemed

to refute it. There certainly was no scientific proof

that fiber prevented colorectal cancer, however.

By 1984, food companies climbed on the

bandwagon. Kellogg added health claims to its

All-Bran brand of breakfast cereal. Changes in

U.S. federal law in 1990 allowed manufacturers

greater liberty to make health claims in food

advertisements and on labels. Health food stores,

cookbook authors, and journalists who covered

food and nutrition joined in. Soon, there were

hundreds of food products, books, and articles

proclaiming the benefits of high fiber content.

From a scientific perspective, however, the

connection between fiber and cancer was still little

more than speculation. Dietary studies are

notoriously rife with bias of various kinds and

plagued by confounding factors that can create an

illusion of a causal link where none really exists.

Durable conclusions can come only from large,

randomized intervention trials: studies that

randomly divide hundreds or thousands of people

into at least two groupsone of which eats

a specific diet and another that eats normally

and that then tracks the health of every subject.

Even then, chance can play a role, so results

cannot be considered definitive until several such

studies have arrived at the same conclusion and

have ruled out any possible confounders.

Did Burkitt’s idea have merit? The first tests

were performed using small, simple studies, which

are far quicker and much less expensive than large,

randomized trials. In some of these small-scale

studies, people who ate lots of fiber did seem to

experience lower rates of certain diseases. Burkitt

and others trumpeted these preliminary findings.

They should have been more cautious. Dietary

fiber comes from many kinds of food, and foods

are chemically complex things. Some contain lots

of potentially healthful compounds; fiber is just

oneor two, actually, because fiber comes in both

soluble and insoluble forms. So even if eating

certain foods with fiber does reduce disease,

a conscientious scientist has to ask whether the

effect is due to the fiber or to some other compound

that is along for the ride.

Twenty years after Burkitt published his book,

the first large, long-term trial on fiber reported its

results. The Nurses’ Health Study had followed

more than 88,000 women. After crunching the

numbers, the researchers concluded that no

matter how much fiber the nurses ate, their risk of

colorectal cancer was essentially the same.

Although this study was imperfect in many

ways, other prospective studies (in which people

have their health and lifestyles tracked over

a period of time) and randomized trials soon

reported the same results. High dietary-fiber

intake doesn’t significantly reduce the likelihood of

colon cancer, and a low-fat diet, a diet high in

fruits, or a diet high in vegetables doesn’t, either. In

fact, subjects in one study who ate more vegetables

actually showed a higher risk of colorectal cancer,

although the increase was so small that it was

likely just due to chance. None of the popular

dietary-system theories about colon cancer proved

to have any value.

Dodging Reality

Burkitt did not live to see his theory refuted. At

the time of his death in 1993, he was still being

feted for his great fiber discovery. One might think

that, confronted with such strong evidence that

there is no practical value in eating fiber to prevent

colon cancer, Burkitt’s followers and fellow fiber

advocates would recant. They did not. Instead, the

advocates switched gears as soon as the scientific

papers came out: they began arguing there were

plenty of other reasons to eat a high-fiber diet.

Sources that ostensibly should be even more

responsible acted likewise. When the U.S. National

Institutes of Health published the results of

the Polyp Prevention Trial and the Wheat Bran

Fiber Study in 2000, the press release included

a question-and-answer section. It gave three

answers to the question, “Why didn’t these trials

show a protective effect?” All three are excuses

seeking to explain away the results. None of them

concedes that the idea was wrong. Another part of

the press release tries to reassure people that there

are other reasons to eat a high-fiber diet.

This is intellectually dishonest, but it is also

human nature. People are reluctant to admit they

were wrong. This is particularly true for health

“experts” who want to maintain an aura of authority,

an aura that they know what is best. If they

admit the entire fiber escapade was a sham, people

might be less likely to believe them the next time

around.

Consumers might also be angry that they were

swindled into paying billions of dollars to buy

foods with useless fiber supplements that did

nothing to decrease their likelihood of contracting

colon cancer. Food companies have the most to

lose: they want to continue promoting their

high-fiber products and supplements, so they don’t

want to admit that the whole fiber issue was based

on what was, at best, a mistake.

To this day, you’ll hear statements from nutrition

authorities, particularly in the mainstream

press, that tout the cancer-preventing benefits of

high-fiber diets. A 2008 position paper from the

American Dietetic Association states, “Despite the

inconsistency in the results of fiber and colon

cancer studies, the scientific consensus is that there

is enough evidence on the protectiveness of dietary

fiber against colon cancer that health professionals

should be promoting increased consumption of

dietary fiber.” Yet nothing of the sort is true. The

data from clinical trials consistently and conclusively

fail to show any benefit from fiber for colon

cancer. Such a stubborn grip on dogma is irresponsible

but typical of converts to dietary systems.

Health claims dominate the packaging of many kinds of foods these days. But these promises are rarely based on

sound science, and government authorities do little to keep manufacturers from stretching the truth.

214 VOLUME 1 · HISTORY AND FUNDAMENTALS

FOOD AND HEALTH 215

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