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The Minnesota Coronary Survey was particularly

interesting. It included both men and women,

and both groups ate diets in which fat provided

about 40% of the calories. The diet of one group,

however, was high in cholesterol and heavy in

unsaturated fats: just 9% of the calories came from

saturated fat. The diet of the other group contained

much less cholesterol and twice the proportion of

unsaturated fat. When the study ended, researchers

found no difference among the cardiovascular

events, deaths from heart disease, or mortality

from any cause experienced by the two groups.

Because the intervention studies on saturated

fat consumption and heart health have shown no

clear association, a group of epidemiologists at

Harvard School of Public Health and Children’s

Hospital in Oakland, California, performed a

meta-analysis to summarize the overall findings

to date of all the prospective studies published by

2009. Their analysis, published in early 2010,

included data on almost 350,000 subjects

gathered during more than 20 years of observation.

The authors determined that “there is no

significant evidence for concluding that dietary

saturated fat is associated with an increased risk

of coronary heart disease or cardiovascular

disease.” In another 2009 study that looked at

dairy foods (including milk, cheese, and butter),

the authors found that “there is no clear evidence

that dairy food consumption is consistently

associated with higher risk” of cardiovascular

disease. In yet another meta-analysis, published

in 2010, investigators looked at the relation

between red meat and heart disease, diabetes,

and stroke. They found no increased risk. Interestingly,

they did find increased risk associated

with processed-meat consumption.

Not Better than Butter

If any kind of fat truly is very dangerous to eat, it

may be trans fat, the manufactured variety that

includes margarine and hydrogenated shortenings

and cooking oils. In the Nurses’ Health Study,

those women in the highest range of margarine

consumption had a 35% higher risk of heart

disease. And the Framingham study of men found

a strong risk of heart disease associated with

margarine but not with butter.

This is quite ironic because for many years,

margarine was recommended as a healthier

alternative to butter! The prejudice against butter’s

saturated animal fat was strong. Although there

was no proof that margarine’s polyunsaturated fats

were more healthful, they seemed like a perfect

substitute. Now that the studies are in, we know

that the trans fat modification applied to the

polyunsaturated fats made them deadly, whereas

butter is probably harmless despite being rich in

saturated fats and cholesterol.

The confusion over margarine illustrates how

leaping to conclusions based on preliminary data is

not just bad scienceit can actually mislead people

into an early grave. Many diet advocates, when

pressed, will admit that full proof is not yet in for

their favorite theory, but they argue that the answer

is too important to wait for the years of testing.

“What if people die in the meantime?” they ask.

“Let’s go ahead with what we think is healthier for

now,” they reason. The case of trans fat and margarine

shows that “doing good” is not so simple.

Promotion of margarine likely did shorten lives;

the fears of butter were overblown, and trans fat is

more dangerous than first appreciated. Burkitt’s

fiber theory caused people to waste a lot of money

on fiber-enhanced processed foods, but thankfully,

it hurt only their pocketbooks. Pushing margarine

over butter had far more lethal effects.

Are Some Fats Good for You?

Browse the oils or chips aisles at the supermarket,

and you’re bound to see products touting the

supposedly healthful properties of omega-3 fats or

olive oil. Researchers grew interested in these

particular forms of fat when they learned rates of

heart disease seem to be lower in regions where

people eat a lot of these oils.

Omega-3 fats, for example, are found in coldwater

fish, as well as in animals, like seals, that eat

cold-water fish. People native to the Arctic and

other regions with few vegetables largely eat fat

TIMELI NE

Fat and Heart Disease: Advice and Evidence

SCIENCE POLICY

1961 The American Heart

Association issues an alert

that dietary fat is a dangerous

substance

1977 The U.S. government

issues diet advice for the first

time, recommending that fat

consumption be reduced to

30% of total calories

1950s Ancel Keys, M.D., publishes early

results of the Seven Countries study,

a post-WWII, cross-cultural evaluation of

the link between consuming a rich diet and

developing heart disease

1977 The Framingham Heart

Study finds no link between total

1981 The Framingham, Puerto Rico,

and Honolulu heart studies all find that

subjects having heart disease ate no

more or less fat than healthy peers did

1989 The Minnesota Coronary

Survey serves diets greatly reduced in

cholesterol and saturated fat to hospital

patients for one to two years but finds

no change in risk of cardiovascular

illness or death compared to subjects

fed more cholesterol and twice as

much saturated fat

cholesterol levels in the blood and

risk of heart disease

1982 The MRFIT study shows that men who eat

less fat have at best a slightly reduced risk of heart

disease after six to eight years

1997 The Nurses’ Health Study

finds no strong association tying

total fat or saturated fat consumption

to heart disease

2005 The U.S. updates dietary guidelines to

state that “high intake of saturated fats, trans fats,

and cholesterol increases the risk of unhealthy

blood lipid levels, which, in turn, may increase the

risk of coronary heart disease”

2006 The Women’s Health

Initiative trial finds no reduction

of the incidence of heart disease

among women who reduced the

fat and increased the fruits and

vegetables in their diet

2009 The American Heart Association

advises limiting total fat to 24%–35% of

total energy consumed, trans fat to less

than 1%, and saturated fat to 7%

2010 A meta-analysis of all prospective cohort

studies published before September 2009 finds no

significant evidence linking saturated fat consumption

to cardiovascular disease. Another metaanalysis

finds no clear evidence that dairy food

consumption is consistently associated with

cardiovascular disease. A third meta-analysis shows

no evidence of increased risk with red meat

consumption (but does find increased risk with

processed meat consumption)

230 VOLUME 1 · HISTORY AND FUNDAMENTALS

FOOD AND HEALTH 231

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