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ST 520 Statistical Principles of Clinical Trials - NCSU Statistics ...

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CHAPTER 9 <strong>ST</strong> <strong>520</strong>, A. TSIATIS and D. Zhang<br />

Must be careful to choose θ, β, γ so that λ(t) ≥ 0 and if we also want a proper distribution, i.e.<br />

S(t) → 0 as t → ∞ then<br />

Λ(∞) = ∞.<br />

Other popular distributions include the log normal distribution where<br />

and the gamma distribution whose density<br />

log(T) ∼ N(µ, σ 2 ),<br />

f(t) is proportional to t ρ e −λt .<br />

Remark: In most clinical trials applications and research in survival analysis it has become<br />

common practice to use non-parametric and semi-parametric models where the shape <strong>of</strong> the<br />

distribution function is left unspecified.<br />

9.2 Censoring and Life-Table Methods<br />

Two important issues in clinical trials where the primary endpoint <strong>of</strong> interest is time to an event<br />

which are different than most studies:<br />

1. Some individuals are still alive (event <strong>of</strong> interest has not occurred) at the time <strong>of</strong> analysis.<br />

This results in right censored data.<br />

2. The length <strong>of</strong> follow-up varies due to staggered entry.<br />

This is illustrated in the schematic shown in the next page.<br />

The time to event <strong>of</strong> interest in most clinical trials is the time from entry into the study until<br />

death (right-hand panel).<br />

In addition to censoring occurring because <strong>of</strong> insufficient follow-up, it may also occur for other<br />

reasons such as<br />

• loss to follow-up (patient drops out <strong>of</strong> the study, stops coming to the clinic or moves away)<br />

PAGE 136

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