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ST 520 Statistical Principles of Clinical Trials - NCSU Statistics ...

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CHAPTER 6 <strong>ST</strong> <strong>520</strong>, A. TSIATIS and D. Zhang<br />

then we can find the value n which satisfies (6.3).<br />

Consider the previous example <strong>of</strong> normally distributed response data where we use the t-test<br />

to test for treatment differences in the mean response. If we randomize patients with equal<br />

probability to the two treatments so that n1 = n2 ≈ n/2, then substituting (6.1) and (6.2) into<br />

(6.3), we get<br />

or<br />

∆A<br />

�<br />

4<br />

σY n<br />

n 1/2 =<br />

n =<br />

� 1/2 = (Zα + Zβ),<br />

� �<br />

(Zα + Zβ)σY × 2<br />

∆A<br />

� (Zα + Zβ) 2 σ 2 Y<br />

∆ 2 A<br />

Note: For two-sided tests we use Zα/2 instead <strong>of</strong> Zα.<br />

Example<br />

�<br />

× 4<br />

.<br />

Suppose we wanted to find the sample size necessary to detect a difference in mean response <strong>of</strong><br />

20 units between two treatments with 90% power using a t-test (two-sided) at the .05 level <strong>of</strong><br />

significance. We expect the population standard deviation <strong>of</strong> response σY to be about 60 units.<br />

In this example α = .05, β = .10, ∆A = 20 and σY = 60. Also, Zα/2 = Z.025 = 1.96, and<br />

Zβ = Z.10 = 1.28. Therefore,<br />

n = (1.96 + 1.28)2 (60) 2 × 4<br />

(20) 2<br />

or about 189 patients per treatment group.<br />

6.3 Comparing two response rates<br />

≈ 378 (rounding up),<br />

We will now consider the case where the primary outcome is a dichotomous response; i.e. each<br />

patient either responds or doesn’t respond to treatment. Let π1 and π2 denote the population<br />

response rates for treatments 1 and 2 respectively. Treatment difference is denoted by ∆ = π1−π2.<br />

We wish to test the null hypothesis H0 : ∆ ≤ 0 (π1 ≤ π2) versus HA : ∆ > 0 (π1 > π2). In<br />

some cases we may want to test the null hypothesis H0 : ∆ = 0 against the two-sided alternative<br />

HA : ∆ �= 0.<br />

PAGE 88

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