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ST 520 Statistical Principles of Clinical Trials - NCSU Statistics ...

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CHAPTER 9 <strong>ST</strong> <strong>520</strong>, A. TSIATIS and D. Zhang<br />

The alternative hypothesis <strong>of</strong> most interest in such trials is that the survival time for one treat-<br />

ment is stochastically larger than the survival time for the other treatment. Specifically, we say<br />

the survival time for treatment 1 is stochastically larger than the survival time for treatment 0<br />

if S1(t) ≥ S0(t) for all t > 0 with strict inequality for at least one value <strong>of</strong> t.<br />

It has become standard practice in clinical trials to use nonparametric tests; that is, tests based<br />

on statistics whose distribution under the null hypothesis does not depend on the underlying<br />

survival distribution S(t) (At least asymptotically). The most widely used test with censored<br />

survival data is the logrank test which we now describe.<br />

Data from a clinical trial comparing the survival distribution between two treatments can be<br />

viewed as realizations <strong>of</strong> the random triplets<br />

where<br />

• Ui = min(Ti, Ci)<br />

– Ti denotes the latent failure time<br />

– Ci denotes the latent censoring time<br />

• ∆i = I(Ti ≤ Ci) denotes failure indicator<br />

• Ai denotes treatment indicator<br />

We also define the following notation:<br />

(Ui, ∆i, Ai), i = 1, . . .,n,<br />

• nj = � n i=1 I(Ai = j) denotes the number <strong>of</strong> patients assigned treatment j = 0, 1; n = n0+n1<br />

• nj(u) = � n i=1 I(Ui ≥ u, Ai = j) denotes the number at risk at time u from treatment<br />

j = 0, 1<br />

• n(u) = n0(u) + n1(u) denotes the total number at risk at time u from both treatments<br />

• dj(u) = � n i=1 I(Ui = u, ∆i = 1, Ai = j) denotes the number <strong>of</strong> observed deaths at time u<br />

from treatment j = 0, 1<br />

PAGE 145

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