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Ties That Bind - Bay Area Council Economic Institute

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Investment: Building Global Businesses in a New China<br />

costs among a large number of fabless customers. The fabless/foundry model<br />

also offers flexibility in terms of mixed lots and an individual company’s peak<br />

demand. Some integrated device manufacturers…have chosen to go “fablite” for<br />

part of their product lines, while continuing to internally produce other products.<br />

The fabless/foundry model has grown rapidly, with the fabless part of the business<br />

now representing 20% of the total U.S. industry. The fabless/foundry model<br />

has been primarily in digital logic chips. Microprocessors, DRAMs, analog and<br />

discrete products continue to be produced primarily by Integrated Device Manufacturers,<br />

or IDMs.<br />

Industry experts differ on how much further this model will grow. Some experts<br />

argue that high costs of 300mm wafer fabs will lead to more companies choosing<br />

to become fabless, or fablite. Others note that below 0.25 microns, the physics<br />

of the devices on each chip becomes increasingly difficult and that integrated<br />

device manufacturers who can better couple design and process engineering have<br />

an advantage.”<br />

After falling behind Japan in the mid-1980’s, U.S. semiconductor manufacturers regained<br />

the market share lead in 1992 and have held about 50% worldwide market share since 1997.<br />

In 2005, the U.S. industry had $110 billion of the $228 billion world semiconductor market,<br />

about 48%; North American fabless companies accounted for about $29 billion, or about 26%<br />

of U.S. industry revenues. U.S. designers and manufacturers accounted for 61% of the Americas<br />

market, 51% of the European market, 24% of the Japan market, and 52% of the remaining Asia-<br />

Pacific market.<br />

Of the major product markets, the U.S. was strongest in the micro market—including microprocessors<br />

and digital signal processors, with an 83% share. U.S. producers hold a 47% share in<br />

MOS Logic, which includes many of the semi-custom products such as field programmable logic<br />

devices; a 58% share in analog chips for consumer, computer, automobile and telecom applications;<br />

and a 21% share in memory chips.<br />

From 1997–2005, as U.S. market share has held steady at around 50% (and ended at 48% as<br />

mentioned), Japanese producers have seen market share decline from 30% to 23%, and other<br />

producers—some Korean and European, but mainly in Taiwan and the PRC—grow from 20–<br />

29% of the global market.<br />

China Grabs Foundry Market Share<br />

Well into the 1990s, chip design stayed in Silicon Valley and fabrication shifted to Taiwan foundries<br />

operated by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., United Microelectronics Corp. or a<br />

multitude of smaller production firms. Today TSMC and UMC account for more than half of<br />

total foundry capacity in Asia, and the largest concentration of 300mm wafer capacity in the<br />

world. They easily dominated the $19.5 billion global foundry market in 2005 ($16.5 billion generated<br />

by pure play foundries, and another estimated $3 billion from foundries operated by<br />

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